SurveysJun 26, 2024
Consumer Confidence Slips in June Amid Rising PricesSurveysAug 01, 2024
Consumers Feeling a Little More Confident in July
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index rose to 100.3 from a downwardly revised 97.8 in June.
Confidence among consumers improved last month, according to The Conference Board, with U.S. shoppers feeling more optimistic about the next six months, but slightly less secure about their current situations.
New York—Consumer confidence increased in July but remains within the “narrow range” it has occupied for the past two years, as high prices and interest rates continue to weigh on consumers’ minds, The Conference Board said Tuesday.
According to the board’s latest Consumer Confidence Index, U.S. consumers were feeling more positive last month, though they’re generally more optimistic about the short-term future than the present.
The index rose to 100.3 in July from a downwardly revised 97.8 in June.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ views on the current state of business and the job market, fell from 135.3 in June to 133.6 in July, but the Expectations Index, which asks consumers how they think conditions will be six months from now, rose to 78.2 from 72.8 in June.
However, it remains below 80, which usually signals a recession ahead.
“Confidence increased in July, but not enough to break free of the narrow range that has prevailed over the past two years,” The Conference Board Chief Economist Dana M. Peterson said.
“Even though consumers remain relatively positive about the labor market, they still appear to be concerned about elevated prices and interest rates, and uncertainty about the future; things that may not improve until next year.”
Age group-wise, Peterson said consumers under 35 and those who are 55 and older (the oldest members of Gen X and the baby boomers) felt more confident in July, while confidence declined among consumers ages 35-54, a mix of millennials and Gen Xers.
On a month-over-month basis, no clear pattern emerged in terms of income groups, she said, but on average over the last six months, consumers making more than $100,000 were the most confident.
She added that the proportion of consumers predicting a recession increased in July but still remains well below its 2023 peak.
Related stories will be right here …
According to the board’s latest Consumer Confidence Index, U.S. consumers were feeling more positive last month, though they’re generally more optimistic about the short-term future than the present.
The index rose to 100.3 in July from a downwardly revised 97.8 in June.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ views on the current state of business and the job market, fell from 135.3 in June to 133.6 in July, but the Expectations Index, which asks consumers how they think conditions will be six months from now, rose to 78.2 from 72.8 in June.
However, it remains below 80, which usually signals a recession ahead.
“Confidence increased in July, but not enough to break free of the narrow range that has prevailed over the past two years,” The Conference Board Chief Economist Dana M. Peterson said.
“Even though consumers remain relatively positive about the labor market, they still appear to be concerned about elevated prices and interest rates, and uncertainty about the future; things that may not improve until next year.”
Age group-wise, Peterson said consumers under 35 and those who are 55 and older (the oldest members of Gen X and the baby boomers) felt more confident in July, while confidence declined among consumers ages 35-54, a mix of millennials and Gen Xers.
On a month-over-month basis, no clear pattern emerged in terms of income groups, she said, but on average over the last six months, consumers making more than $100,000 were the most confident.
She added that the proportion of consumers predicting a recession increased in July but still remains well below its 2023 peak.
The Conference Board, a New York-based nonprofit think tank, publishes its Consumer Confidence Index every month. It is based on an online survey that technology company Toluna conducts on behalf of the board. The survey includes write-in responses.
In July, those responses showed that higher prices, especially for food and groceries, and inflation continue to color consumers’ outlook on the economy.
Other factors include the U.S. political situation and the labor market.
The Conference Board said mentions about the forthcoming presidential election increased in July, though the share of respondents who wrote that the 2024 election will impact the economy is lower than it was in July 2016.
The Conference Board asked a supplemental question about future spending on services in July.
Consumers said over the next six months, they plan to spend less on discretionary services, like travel, amusement parks and gambling, and to save money by opting for the less expensive choice, e.g., streaming a film at home instead of going to the movies.
They will continue to prioritize non-discretionary expenditures, like health care and service and repairs on their cars and trucks, The Conference Board said.
Editors' Picks
Sponsored by
More on Surveys
The Latest
Policies & IssuesJan 10, 2025
Jewelers Relief Fund Reopened to Aid Victims of LA Fires Created by JA and DCA, the fund is collecting money for jewelry businesses damaged by the wildfires in Los Angeles County.
Policies & IssuesJan 10, 2025
Harwell Godfrey, Stephanie Gottlieb Are Raising Money for LA Wildfire ReliefSeveral jewelry designers are lending a helping hand to charities in Los Angeles amid the raging wildfires.
TrendsJan 10, 2025
Piece of the Week: Elsa Jin’s ‘Mozi’ BroochAdrien Brody received his first Golden Globe while wearing the “Mozi” brooch, which depicts a spill of traditional Chinese calligraphy ink.
Brought to you by
A Diamond Is Forever Celebrates "Forever Present" Holiday CampaignA Diamond is Forever hosted a holiday celebration in honor of their new marketing campaign, ‘Forever Present.’
SourcingJan 10, 2025
De Beers, GJEPC Partner to Promote Natural DiamondsThe pair will work together to support independent retailers in India with marketing assets, training materials, and other tools.
Weekly QuizJan 09, 2025
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
CrimeJan 09, 2025
US Customs Seizes Counterfeit Tiffany & Co. JewelsOfficers in Champlain, New York valued the jewels, if genuine, at nearly $30,000.
CollectionsJan 09, 2025
Karma El Khalil’s New Collection is an Ode to the MoonThe “Moonlight Rhapsody” collection is overflowing with gemstones, from raw opal to morganite and spessartite.
Brought to you by
De Beers Group Launches Holiday Campaign for Natural Diamonds‘Forever Present’ campaign revives the iconic A Diamond is Forever tagline and celebrates the diamond dream.
Events & AwardsJan 09, 2025
Here Is the 2025 AGTA GemFair Tucson Educational LineupThe seminar series covers topics from market trends and colored stone terminology to working with museums and growing an Instagram profile.
SourcingJan 09, 2025
Reena Ahluwalia Unveils New Works in ‘Diamond Trails’ AnthologyThe artist collaborated with industry creatives on the project, which features five fictional stories and five corresponding paintings.
IndependentsJan 09, 2025
Virginia Jewelers Raise Nearly $26K for Children’s Hospital at Charity BallNine jewelers donated jewels for a raffle to support the Children’s Hospital Foundation at Virginia Commonwealth University.
WatchesJan 08, 2025
Oris Debuts Hot Pink Miss Piggy WatchMiss Piggy shared her thoughts on being fabulous, the importance of accessories, and how to be your own cheerleader.
Lab-GrownJan 08, 2025
Effy Introduces Brand Dedicated to Lab-Grown Diamonds“Promise by Effy” includes fashion jewelry and engagement rings.
IndependentsJan 08, 2025
Haltom’s Jewelers to Close After 130 YearsThe Texas-based jeweler is closing all three locations.
TrendsJan 08, 2025
Zendaya’s Engagement Ring Combines Vintage and Modern ElementsZendaya’s ring, featuring an east-west set elongated cushion-cut diamond, is said to be from British designer Jessica McCormack.
ColumnistsJan 07, 2025
The Smart Lab: The Hottest Digital Marketing Trends For 2025Micro-influencers, customer reviews, and shoppable videos are going to be key to getting customers’ attention, Emmanuel Raheb writes.
TrendsJan 07, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: January Is for GarnetGarnet is comprised of a group of minerals, giving those with a birthday in January options when it comes to their birthstone.
IndependentsJan 07, 2025
Edge Retail Academy Names 2024 ‘Wag’ Award Winner The annual award, created in memory of business coach William “Wag” Wagner, went to a retailer in Fairfax, Virginia.
MajorsJan 07, 2025
Jewelers for Children Promotes Round-Up Fundraising ProgramRetailers and vendors can ask customers to make a donation by rounding up to the next dollar at checkout.
SourcingJan 07, 2025
Columbia Gem House To Debut Lightning Ridge Opal CollectionThe wholesaler is partnering with Australian brand Cheal Opal on a new offering of calibrated stones.
EditorsJan 06, 2025
White Hot: 8 Glamorous Jewelry Looks From the Golden GlobesFrom Zendaya to Selena Gomez and Zoe Saldaña, many stars at the 82nd Golden Globes were wearing white gold or platinum jewelry.
CrimeJan 06, 2025
FBI Adds 2 Suspected Jewelry Thieves to Its Wanted ListDescribed by JSA as being “habitual offenders,” Vasile Sava and Onita Rostas have federal warrants out for their arrest in Kansas.
MajorsJan 06, 2025
PDPaola Opens First U.S. StoreThe Barcelona-based brand’s flagship boutique is located in New York City’s West Village neighborhood.
IndependentsJan 06, 2025
Facets of Fire Debuts New Jewelry DisplaysA solar-powered loose diamond holder rotates the stones to show off how they catch the light.
IndependentsJan 03, 2025
Kelly Newton, Shipley Award Winner and Devoted Family Man, Dies at 74Newton owned and operated Newton’s Jewelers in Fort Smith, Arkansas, and is remembered for being positive, honest, and loving.
Events & AwardsJan 03, 2025
12 Works by Glenn Lehrer, Paula Crevoshay on Display at Lapidary Museum“Synergy & Symbiosis” is open now through late April at the Lizzadro Museum of Lapidary Art in Oak Brook, Illinois.
CollectionsJan 03, 2025
Piece of the Week: Renna’s ‘Butterfly Caspian’ NecklaceBegin 2025 with a butterfly intaglio symbolizing change and transformation.
