SurveysJun 25, 2024
Jewelry a Top Performer in ‘Stalled’ Luxury Market, Says Bain & Co.SurveysJun 26, 2024
Consumer Confidence Slips in June Amid Rising Prices
The costs of food and groceries remained a top concern, followed by the labor market and U.S. politics.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 100.4 in June from 101.3 in May.
New York—U.S. consumer confidence fell in June as concerns about rising prices remain.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 100.4 in June from a downwardly revised 101.3 in May.
Similar to last month, June’s write-in responses showed high prices, especially for food and groceries, continued to impact consumers’ views of the economy, followed by the labor market and U.S. politics.
“Consumers expressed mixed feelings this month: their view of the present situation improved slightly overall, driven by an uptick in sentiment about the current labor market, but their assessment of current business conditions cooled,” said Dana M. Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.
“Meanwhile, for the second month in a row, consumers were a bit less pessimistic about future labor market conditions. However, their expectations for both future income and business conditions weakened, weighing down the overall Expectations Index."
As for election season, the share of respondents who said the 2024 election would impact the economy was low in comparison to write-ins in June 2016 and slightly higher than in 2020.
“Confidence pulled back in June but remained within the same narrow range that’s held throughout the past two years, as strength in current labor market views continued to outweigh concerns about the future,” said Peterson.
“However, if material weaknesses in the labor market appear, confidence could weaken as the year progresses.”
The decline in confidence from May to June was attributed mainly to consumers aged 35 to 54.
Those under 35 and those 55 and older saw an improvement, though there was no clear pattern according to income groups, said Peterson.
On a six-month moving average basis, confidence continued to be highest among the youngest and wealthiest consumers, it found, including those under 35 and those making more than $100,000.
The average 12-month inflation expectations declined slightly to 5.3 percent from 5.4 percent in May.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ current view of business and labor market conditions, rose to 141.5 in June from 140.8 in May.
Consumers’ view of current business conditions was less optimistic in June, with the percentage of respondents who said current business conditions are “good” down to 20 percent from 21 percent in May, while those who said conditions are “bad” was flat at 18 percent.
Consumers’ view of the labor market improved in June, with those who said jobs were “plentiful” up to 38 percent from 37 percent in May, while those who said jobs were “hard to get” was flat at 14 percent.
Related stories will be right here …
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 100.4 in June from a downwardly revised 101.3 in May.
Similar to last month, June’s write-in responses showed high prices, especially for food and groceries, continued to impact consumers’ views of the economy, followed by the labor market and U.S. politics.
“Consumers expressed mixed feelings this month: their view of the present situation improved slightly overall, driven by an uptick in sentiment about the current labor market, but their assessment of current business conditions cooled,” said Dana M. Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.
“Meanwhile, for the second month in a row, consumers were a bit less pessimistic about future labor market conditions. However, their expectations for both future income and business conditions weakened, weighing down the overall Expectations Index."
As for election season, the share of respondents who said the 2024 election would impact the economy was low in comparison to write-ins in June 2016 and slightly higher than in 2020.
“Confidence pulled back in June but remained within the same narrow range that’s held throughout the past two years, as strength in current labor market views continued to outweigh concerns about the future,” said Peterson.
“However, if material weaknesses in the labor market appear, confidence could weaken as the year progresses.”
The decline in confidence from May to June was attributed mainly to consumers aged 35 to 54.
Those under 35 and those 55 and older saw an improvement, though there was no clear pattern according to income groups, said Peterson.
On a six-month moving average basis, confidence continued to be highest among the youngest and wealthiest consumers, it found, including those under 35 and those making more than $100,000.
The average 12-month inflation expectations declined slightly to 5.3 percent from 5.4 percent in May.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ current view of business and labor market conditions, rose to 141.5 in June from 140.8 in May.
Consumers’ view of current business conditions was less optimistic in June, with the percentage of respondents who said current business conditions are “good” down to 20 percent from 21 percent in May, while those who said conditions are “bad” was flat at 18 percent.
Consumers’ view of the labor market improved in June, with those who said jobs were “plentiful” up to 38 percent from 37 percent in May, while those who said jobs were “hard to get” was flat at 14 percent.
The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions in the near future, fell to 73 from 74.9 in May.
Notably, an Expectations Index reading below 80 often signals a recession ahead, said the Conference Board. It has been below 80 for five consecutive months.
Consumers’ view of the short-term business conditions outlook was more pessimistic in June.
The percentage of respondents who expect business conditions to improve was down to 13 percent from 14 percent, while those who expect conditions to worsen was unchanged at 17 percent.
Consumers’ assessment of the short-term labor market outlook in June was slightly more positive.
The percentage of respondents who expect more jobs to be available was flat at 13 percent, while the number of respondents who expect fewer jobs to be available was down to 17 percent from 19 percent.
Consumers’ assessment of their short-term income prospects was more negative.
The number of respondents who expect their incomes to increase was down to 15 percent from 18 percent in May, while those who expect their incomes to decrease was flat at 12 percent.
Consumers were also less optimistic about their family’s current financial situation, a measure not included when calculating the Present Situation and Expectations Index.
Their view of their family’s future financial situation was unchanged.
The “Consumers’ Perceived Likelihood of a U.S. Recession Over the Next 12 Months” declined in June after rising in April and May.
Consumers were optimistic about the stock market, however, with 48 percent expecting stock prices to increase over the year ahead, 24 percent expecting a decrease, and 28 percent expecting no change.
The number of consumers expecting higher interest rates over the next twelve months dropped to 53 percent, its lowest level since February.
Purchasing plans for homes were unchanged in June and remained historically low, said the Conference Board. Plans to buy cars were also at a standstill.
Buying plans for most big-ticket appliances and smartphones were up slightly, while fewer planned to buy a laptop or PC.
The number of respondents planning a vacation over the next six months continued to increase, staying above June 2023 levels.
Notably, more people plan to travel by car than by plane.
The number of consumers planning to go on vacation is about 10 percentage points lower than it was pre-pandemic.
More on Surveys
The Latest
FinancialsMar 19, 2026
Signet Jewelers to Close 100 Stores, Shutter James Allen BannerThe jewelry retailer announced changes to its store network and brand portfolio during its fourth-quarter earnings call.
AuctionsMar 19, 2026
26-Carat Diamond Tops $1M at AuctionThe historic stone, which sold at Elmwood’s in London, is the largest white diamond to be offered on the U.K. market in more than a decade.
Events & AwardsMar 19, 2026
JCK Rocks To Ride With NellyThree-time Grammy award-winning artist Nelly is set to perform at the annual event at Tao Beach in Las Vegas on May 31.
Brought to you by
Protect Your Customers and Your BusinessYou deserve to know what you are selling–to protect your customers as well as your business and your reputation.
AuctionsMar 18, 2026
Collection of the ‘Severely Beautiful’ Lady Wardington Fetches $161KThe model and fashion editor’s gold evening bags were the top lots at the London sale, going for more than $25,000 each.
Weekly QuizMar 19, 2026
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
PodcastsMar 18, 2026
Episode 3: An Interview With Jewelry Designer Johnny NelsonFresh off winning the David Yurman Gem Awards Grant, Nelson discusses the ring that launched his career and his plans for the future.
SourcingMar 18, 2026
Lucara Recovers Nearly 37-Carat Blue DiamondThe “stunning” Type IIb stone was found via x-ray technology at its Karowe mine in Botswana.
Brought to you by
Is This You? Every Jeweler Has This Problem; We Have the Solution.Every jeweler faces the same challenge: helping customers protect what they love. Here’s the solution designed for today’s jewelry business.
MajorsMar 18, 2026
Stuller Releases New Edition of Jewelry Education Book“The Basics of Jewelry” has been updated to include modern topics and visuals.
Events & AwardsMar 17, 2026
The Best Moments From the 2026 Gem Awards Held just before the Oscars, the jewelry industry’s big awards show had its share of standout jewelry, gowns, and acceptance speeches.
SourcingMar 17, 2026
Cruzeiro Mine Debuts ‘Winter Tourmaline’The Brazilian mine’s new collection features cabochons in soft, muted shades like silver and lilac.
TrendsMar 17, 2026
Natalie Portman Is Tiffany & Co.’s New AmbassadorThe Academy Award-winning actress stars in Tiffany & Co.’s latest commercial, which debuted Sunday night during the Oscars.
MajorsMar 17, 2026
Kering Establishes Jewelry Division, Appoints CEOThe organizational change follows Kering’s promise of a transformation after declining sales in 2025.
EditorsMar 16, 2026
2026 Oscars Jewelry: One Necklace After AnotherNatalie Francisco rounds up the top Oscars jewels, including Rose Byrne’s Taffin necklace with a more than 20-carat yellow-brown diamond.
WatchesMar 16, 2026
TAG Heuer Has a New CEOBéatrice Goasglas has been with TAG Heuer since 2018. She is the first woman to head the 166-year-old, LVMH-owned watch brand.
IndependentsMar 16, 2026
Ben Bridge Debuts New Honolulu BoutiqueThe store features the first in-store build for the jeweler’s in-house “Bella Ponte” bridal brand.
AuctionsMar 16, 2026
Bonhams Paris To Offer Antique, Signed Jewels The live fine jewelry auction will take place later this week, showcasing antique pieces, rare gemstones, and signed jewels.
CollectionsMar 13, 2026
A Trio of Jewels from the 3 Gem Award Nominees for Jewelry DesignOur Pieces of the Week honor the 2026 nominees for the Gem Award for Jewelry Design, Silvia Furmanovich, Cece Fein-Hughes, and Catherine Sarr.
WatchesMar 13, 2026
Citizen, Vera Wang to Launch Watch CollectionThe 24-piece watch collection is set to debut in spring 2027.
SourcingMar 13, 2026
Andrea Pooler Joins Third-Generation Diamond Company as COO Pooler, who has more than 25 years’ experience in jewelry, is now chief operating officer of Modani Jewels, Soham Diamonds, and SNJ Creations.
MajorsMar 13, 2026
24 Karat Club of New York’s Banquet to Return to Waldorf AstoriaThe reopening of the Waldorf Astoria means a homecoming for the industry group’s annual event, which will take place Saturday.
CollectionsMar 12, 2026
Jessica McCormack Sends Gold, Gemstones Into ‘Orbit’McCormack looked to the 19th century’s “golden age” of astronomy when designing her new celestial-themed collection.
Events & AwardsMar 12, 2026
Johnny Nelson Wins David Yurman Gem Awards GrantNelson will be honored as the inaugural grant winner at the Gem Awards gala on Friday.
TechnologyMar 12, 2026
Caratwise Launches, Names Former Signet Exec CEO The new smart design software allows jewelers to configure, price, and confirm a custom engagement ring in real time for in-store customers.
SourcingMar 12, 2026
Grandview Klein Opens New Factory in South Africa The 10,000-square-foot diamond manufacturing facility officially opened in late February and employs 50 people.
Events & AwardsMar 12, 2026
MJSA ‘Future of Jewelry Making’ Scholarship Applications OpenThe MJSA Education Foundation’s scholarships support students pursuing jewelry careers.
AuctionsMar 11, 2026
‘Spectacular’ 26-Carat Diamond Going Up for Auction in London The largest white diamond to come to market in the U.K. in more than a decade, the VVS1, I-color stone is expected to top $1 million.
