SurveysApr 29, 2024
Mother’s Day Jewelry Spending to Reach $7B, Says NRFSurveysMay 01, 2024
Consumer Confidence Falls in April
Concerns about rising prices, politics, and global conflicts continue to dampen consumer outlook.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 97 in April, marking a third consecutive month of decline.
New York—U.S. consumer confidence fell in April as consumers held a more negative outlook about the current labor market and future jobs, income, and business conditions.
It marks the third consecutive month of decline, reaching its lowest level since July 2022.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 97 in April, down from a downwardly revised 103.1 in March.
“Despite these three months of weakness, the gauge continues to move sideways within a relatively narrow range that’s largely held steady for more than two years,” said the Conference Board.
“Despite April’s dip in the overall index, since mid-2022, optimism about the present situation continues to more than offset concerns about the future,” said Dana M. Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board.
Confidence declined among all age groups and income levels, except for the $25,000 to $49,999 bracket.
Consumers under 35 continued to show greater confidence than those over 35.
Households with incomes below $25,000 and those above $75,000 reported the largest drop in confidence.
Over a six-month basis, confidence for consumers earning less than $50,000 has been stable, while confidence among consumers earning more has declined.
“According to April’s write-in responses, elevated price levels, especially for food and gas, dominated consumer’s concerns, with politics and global conflicts as distant runners-up,” said Peterson.
Average 12-month inflation expectations remained stable at 5.3 percent in spite of concerns about food and energy prices.
The “Consumers’ Perceived Likelihood of a U.S. Recession Over the Next 12 Months” rose slightly in April but was below the May 2023 peak.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ current view of business and labor market conditions, fell to 142.9 in April from a downwardly revised 146.8 in March.
Consumers’ view of current business conditions was more optimistic in April, with the percentage of respondents who said current business conditions are “good” up at 21 percent from 19 percent in March, while those who said conditions are “bad” decreased to 17 percent from 18 percent.
Consumers’ view of the labor market, however, was more negative.
The percentage of respondents who felt jobs were plentiful was down to 40 percent from 42 percent, while 15 percent said jobs were “hard to get,” up from 12 percent in March.
Related stories will be right here …
It marks the third consecutive month of decline, reaching its lowest level since July 2022.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 97 in April, down from a downwardly revised 103.1 in March.
“Despite these three months of weakness, the gauge continues to move sideways within a relatively narrow range that’s largely held steady for more than two years,” said the Conference Board.
“Despite April’s dip in the overall index, since mid-2022, optimism about the present situation continues to more than offset concerns about the future,” said Dana M. Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board.
Confidence declined among all age groups and income levels, except for the $25,000 to $49,999 bracket.
Consumers under 35 continued to show greater confidence than those over 35.
Households with incomes below $25,000 and those above $75,000 reported the largest drop in confidence.
Over a six-month basis, confidence for consumers earning less than $50,000 has been stable, while confidence among consumers earning more has declined.
“According to April’s write-in responses, elevated price levels, especially for food and gas, dominated consumer’s concerns, with politics and global conflicts as distant runners-up,” said Peterson.
Average 12-month inflation expectations remained stable at 5.3 percent in spite of concerns about food and energy prices.
The “Consumers’ Perceived Likelihood of a U.S. Recession Over the Next 12 Months” rose slightly in April but was below the May 2023 peak.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ current view of business and labor market conditions, fell to 142.9 in April from a downwardly revised 146.8 in March.
Consumers’ view of current business conditions was more optimistic in April, with the percentage of respondents who said current business conditions are “good” up at 21 percent from 19 percent in March, while those who said conditions are “bad” decreased to 17 percent from 18 percent.
Consumers’ view of the labor market, however, was more negative.
The percentage of respondents who felt jobs were plentiful was down to 40 percent from 42 percent, while 15 percent said jobs were “hard to get,” up from 12 percent in March.
The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions in the near future, fell to 66.4 from an upwardly revised 74 in March.
Notably, an Expectations Index reading below 80 often signals a recession ahead, said the Conference Board.
Expectations for the next six months slipped to the lowest level since July 2022, it said.
Looking at short-term business conditions, respondents’ outlooks were more pessimistic, with 13 percent of respondents expecting business conditions to improve, down from 14 percent in March.
The number of respondents that expect them to worsen was up to 20 percent from 19 percent.
Consumers’ assessment of the short-term labor market outlook in April was also more negative.
The percentage of respondents who expect more jobs to be available was down to 12 percent from 14 percent, while the number of respondents who expect fewer jobs to be available was up to 20 percent from 19 percent.
Consumers’ assessment of their short-term income prospects was also more pessimistic in April.
The number of respondents who expect their incomes to increase was down to 15 percent from 17 percent in March, while a flat 14 percent of respondents expect their incomes to decrease.
Consumers were also less optimistic about their family’s financial situation, both currently and over the next six months, a measure not included when calculating the Present Situation and Expectations Index.
Expectations that stock prices will increase over the year ahead declined slightly, after rising every month since November of last year, it said.
The percentage of consumers expecting higher interest rates in the year ahead rose again to 53.8 percent in April.
Plans to buy homes and big-ticket appliances, purchases that tend to be sensitive to interest rates, continued to soften.
Vacation plans, both within the U.S. and abroad, also declined to the lowest level since June 2023.
More on Surveys
The Latest
SourcingJun 02, 2025
Gemfields’ June Auction to Include 36-Carat RubyThe large stone will be offered at its June sale along with a selection of secondary-type rubies from a new area of the Montepuez mine.
GradingJun 02, 2025
GSI Opens New Lab in Thailand Located in Bangkok, the laboratory is Gemological Science International’s 14th location worldwide.
TrendsJun 02, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: Three Gems for June Those born in June have a myriad of options for their birthstone jewelry.
Brought to you by
The True Power Behind the Counter: Why Sales Associates Are the Heart of the Jewelry BusinessWhen investing in your jewelry business, it's important not to overlook the most crucial element of success: the sales associates.
SourcingJun 02, 2025
David Allouche Joins Grandview Klein DiamondsThe diamond industry veteran has been named its senior sales executive.
Weekly QuizMay 30, 2025
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
FinancialsMay 30, 2025
Movado’s Q1 Sales Slip Amid ‘Challenging’ Retail Environment The company plans to raise the prices of select watches to offset the impact of tariffs.
Policies & IssuesMay 30, 2025
Tariffs & Designers: Navigating Pricing in an Unstable EnvironmentBetween tariffs and the sky-high cost of gold, designers enter this year’s Las Vegas shows with a lot of questions and few answers.
Brought to you by
Clienteling Isn’t a Buzzword. It’s an Essential Business Model.More shoppers are walking out without buying. Here’s how smart jewelers can bring them back—and the tool they need to do it right.
CollectionsMay 30, 2025
Piece of the Week: Renato Cipullo’s ‘Hematite Blaze’ NecklaceDesigned by founder Renato and his daughter Serena Cipullo, it showcases a flame motif representing unity and the power of gathering.
Policies & IssuesMay 30, 2025
Trade Court Declares Trump’s Tariffs InvalidHowever, the tariffs remain in effect in the short term, as an appeals court has stayed the U.S. Court of International Trade’s decision.
CollectionsMay 29, 2025
Britney Spears Files Trademark for New Jewelry LineThe pop icon is one step closer to launching her “B Tiny” jewelry collection, a collection she first began posting about last fall.
Supplier BulletinMay 29, 2025
Inoveo Platinum Grain, Exclusively Distributed by StullerSponsored by Stuller
SourcingMay 29, 2025
Grizzly Auctions 6,620-Carat EmeraldIt was featured in the miner’s latest sale, which brought in $24.8 million.
TechnologyMay 29, 2025
GemFind Launches AI Product Description SoftwareGemText AI uses artificial intelligence to generate tailored product titles, descriptions, and tags with jewelry-specific language.
MajorsMay 28, 2025
Graff Unveils New Las Vegas FlagshipThe 3,300-square foot location is the jeweler's largest store in North America.
CrimeMay 28, 2025
8 Convicted in Kim Kardashian Jewelry Heist TrialAging and with myriad health issues, none will serve time for their roles in robbing the billionaire celebrity at gunpoint in 2016.
CollectionsMay 28, 2025
NY Liberty’s 2024 Championship Rings Honor Historic WinThe WNBA team received rings imbued with meaning, from leaf motifs and its Liberty torch to the number of diamonds used.
MajorsMay 28, 2025
Andrew Rickard Named JBT PresidentA longtime executive at RDI Diamonds, Rickard has served on the JBT board for the past five years.
MajorsMay 27, 2025
MJSA to Become Part of Jewelers of America The two organizations have signed an affiliation agreement that’s expected to be finalized in the coming weeks.
AuctionsMay 27, 2025
Al Capone’s Patek Philippe Pocket Watch Back Up for AuctionThe platinum and diamond watch is part of Sotheby’s upcoming Important Watches sale.
AuctionsMay 27, 2025
182-Carat Paraíba-Type Tourmaline Sells for $487K Recovered in Mozambique, “The Kat Florence Lumina” was part of Bonhams’ Hong Kong jewelry auction held last week.
TrendsMay 27, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: Candy-Colored GemstonesGet a taste of the delicious candy-like gemstones in this Amanda’s Style File.
CrimeMay 23, 2025
JSA Shares Holiday Weekend Security Tips Amid Spike in BurglariesJSA’s Scott Guginsky provided a list of nine security measures jewelers should observe while locking up for the long weekend.
CollectionsMay 23, 2025
Piece of the Week: Bliss Lau’s ‘Bright’ RingFrom Lau’s “Love of a Kind” series, the engagement ring was inspired by the moon and holds a different meaning depending on how it is worn.
GradingMay 23, 2025
GIA Updates Pearl Classification SystemThe lab has adjusted the scale it uses for nacre grading.
Supplier BulletinMay 22, 2025
How to Put Natural Diamonds Back in the SpotlightSponsored by GCAL by Sarine
CrimeMay 22, 2025
NY Jeweler Sentenced in Shoving Death of Colleague at IJO ShowDavid Walton will serve three years’ probation after an incident in a hotel bar led to the death of West Virginia jeweler David Ettinger.
