Shoppers to Spend More on Winter Holidays This Year, Says NRF
Discounts and promotions could persuade consumers to shop earlier this year, the survey found.

Consumers are expected to spend $875 on average celebrating the winter holidays this year, according to the National Retail Federation’s latest consumer survey conducted by Prosper Insights & Analytics.
(The survey is a measure of overall spending on gifts, decorations, food, and other key seasonal items; NRF will release its annual holiday sales forecast focusing on core retail in November.)
That’s $42 more than what they planned to spend last year and is in line with the average holiday budget over the last five years.
Of that budget, around $620 will be spent on gifts, with the other $225 going to decorations, candy, food, and other holiday items.
“The winter holidays are an important tradition to many American families, and shoppers are prioritizing their holiday purchases for the people most important to them,” said NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay.
“Retailers have been preparing for months to ensure their inventories will meet demand, while at the same time helping consumers maximize their budgets with shopping events and discounts running throughout the extended holiday shopping season.”
Almost all U.S. adults surveyed (92 percent) plan to celebrate a holiday event like Christmas, Hanukkah, or Kwanzaa this winter, which is in line with last year, said NRF.
As in previous years, 43 percent of holiday shoppers are expected to start checking gifts off their list before November.
The NRF’s survey found the top reason respondents cited for shopping early was to “spread out their budgets” (60 percent), followed by avoiding the stress of last-minute shopping (46 percent), and avoiding crowds (45 percent).
Still, most shoppers (62 percent) don’t expect to finish holiday shopping until December.
“However, early sales may sway consumers to shop even earlier,” Prosper Executive Vice President of Strategy Phil Rist said.
“This year, seven in 10 holiday shoppers say they are considering taking advantage of October sales events to pick up holiday gifts, décor and other items on their list.”
A recent Shopify holiday survey showed similar results, with 41 percent of respondents planning to start holiday shopping this month or earlier.
The Shopify survey showed that consumers, particularly in Gen Z, could be persuaded to shop sooner if retailers offered holiday deals and promotions.
Though respondents told NRF they plan to spend more this year, they are still budget-conscious, with 62 percent of respondents saying sales and promotions are even more important than last year.
More than one-third (36 percent) said they’re scaling back spending in other areas to cover the cost of holiday gifts.
Thirty percent of respondents said they’re buying gifts for fewer people this year while 27 percent said they’re buying less for themselves.
As for where they’re shopping, the NRF survey found 58 percent of consumers plan to shop online this year.
Department stores (49 percent) took the No. 2 spot, followed by discount stores (48 percent), and grocery stores and supermarkets (44 percent).
Gift cards remain the most popular gift to receive, with 55 percent of holiday shoppers saying they would like one, followed by clothing or accessories (49 percent), books, video games or other media (28 percent), and personal care or beauty items (25 percent).
Nearly one-quarter of shoppers (23 percent) plan to gift someone an experience this year, in line with last year and up 19 percent from 2021.
The survey, conducted in October, asked 8,103 adult consumers about their holiday shopping plans.
The Latest

The Swiss government announced the deal, which cuts the tax on Swiss imports by more than half, on social media Friday morning.

A buyer paid $4.4 million for the piece, which Napoleon wore on his hat for special occasions and left behind when he fled Waterloo.

Plus, how tariffs and the rising price of gold are affecting its watch and jewelry brands.

Roseco’s 704-page catalog showcases new lab-grown diamonds, findings, tools & more—available in print or interactive digital editions.

Furmanovich designed the box to hold Mellerio’s “Color Queen,” a high jewelry collection consisting of 10 rings.


Jennifer Hopf, who has been with JCK since 2022, will lead the execution of the long-running jewelry trade show.

Adler’s Jewelry is set to close its two stores as 82-year-old owner Coleman E. Adler II retires.

From educational programs, advocacy, and recent MJSA affiliation, Jewelers of America drives progress that elevates businesses of all sizes.

Founder Jim Tuttle shared how a dedication to craftsmanship and meaningful custom jewelry fueled the retailer’s double-digit growth.

The third-generation jeweler is remembered as a passionate creative with a love of art, traveling and sailboat racing.

JSA and Cook County Crime Stoppers are both offering rewards for information leading to the arrest of the suspect or suspects involved.

A buyer paid $25.6 million for the diamond at Christie’s on Tuesday. In 2014, Sotheby’s sold the same stone for $32.6 million.

Mercedes Gleitze famously wore the watch in her 1927 swim across the English Channel, a pivotal credibility moment for the watchmaker.

GIA is offering next-day services for natural, colorless diamonds submitted to its labs in New York and Carlsbad.

Tiffany & Co., David Yurman, and Pandora have launched holiday campaigns depicting their jewelry as symbols of affection and happiness.

Late collector Eddy Elzas assembled “The Rainbow Collection,” which is offered as a single lot and estimated to fetch up to $3 million.

At the 2025 World Series, the Los Angeles Dodgers’ Yoshinobu Yamamoto sported a custom necklace made by California retailer Happy Jewelers.

The brand’s seventh location combines Foundrae’s symbolic vocabulary with motifs from Florida’s natural surroundings.

The retailer also shared an update on the impact of tariffs on watch customers.

Pink and purple stones were popular in the AGTA’s design competition this year, as were cameos and ocean themes.

All proceeds from the G. St x Jewel Boxing raffle will go to City Harvest, which works to end hunger in New York City.

Courtney Cornell is part of the third generation to lead the Rochester, New York-based jeweler.

De Beers also announced more changes in its upper ranks ahead of parent company Anglo American’s pending sale of the company.

Former Signet CEO Mark Light will remain president of Shinola until a replacement for Ulrich Wohn is found.

Kindred Lubeck of Artifex has three rings she designed with Anup Jogani in Sotheby’s upcoming Gem Drop sale.

The company focused on marketing in the third quarter and introduced two new charm collections, “Pandora Talisman” and “Pandora Minis.”

The jewelry retailer raised its full-year guidance, with CFO Jeff Kuo describing the company as “very well positioned” for the holidays.




















