Shoppers to Spend More on Winter Holidays This Year, Says NRF
Discounts and promotions could persuade consumers to shop earlier this year, the survey found.
![Shoppers are expected to spend $875 on average celebrating winter holidays this year, up from $833 last year, according to the National Retail Federation’s latest consumer survey, conducted by Prosper Insights & Analytics. Stock image of holiday gifts in bags](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/558e7a95718f2eef988f17aaa430bec5.jpg)
Consumers are expected to spend $875 on average celebrating the winter holidays this year, according to the National Retail Federation’s latest consumer survey conducted by Prosper Insights & Analytics.
(The survey is a measure of overall spending on gifts, decorations, food, and other key seasonal items; NRF will release its annual holiday sales forecast focusing on core retail in November.)
That’s $42 more than what they planned to spend last year and is in line with the average holiday budget over the last five years.
Of that budget, around $620 will be spent on gifts, with the other $225 going to decorations, candy, food, and other holiday items.
“The winter holidays are an important tradition to many American families, and shoppers are prioritizing their holiday purchases for the people most important to them,” said NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay.
“Retailers have been preparing for months to ensure their inventories will meet demand, while at the same time helping consumers maximize their budgets with shopping events and discounts running throughout the extended holiday shopping season.”
Almost all U.S. adults surveyed (92 percent) plan to celebrate a holiday event like Christmas, Hanukkah, or Kwanzaa this winter, which is in line with last year, said NRF.
As in previous years, 43 percent of holiday shoppers are expected to start checking gifts off their list before November.
The NRF’s survey found the top reason respondents cited for shopping early was to “spread out their budgets” (60 percent), followed by avoiding the stress of last-minute shopping (46 percent), and avoiding crowds (45 percent).
Still, most shoppers (62 percent) don’t expect to finish holiday shopping until December.
“However, early sales may sway consumers to shop even earlier,” Prosper Executive Vice President of Strategy Phil Rist said.
“This year, seven in 10 holiday shoppers say they are considering taking advantage of October sales events to pick up holiday gifts, décor and other items on their list.”
A recent Shopify holiday survey showed similar results, with 41 percent of respondents planning to start holiday shopping this month or earlier.
The Shopify survey showed that consumers, particularly in Gen Z, could be persuaded to shop sooner if retailers offered holiday deals and promotions.
Though respondents told NRF they plan to spend more this year, they are still budget-conscious, with 62 percent of respondents saying sales and promotions are even more important than last year.
More than one-third (36 percent) said they’re scaling back spending in other areas to cover the cost of holiday gifts.
Thirty percent of respondents said they’re buying gifts for fewer people this year while 27 percent said they’re buying less for themselves.
As for where they’re shopping, the NRF survey found 58 percent of consumers plan to shop online this year.
Department stores (49 percent) took the No. 2 spot, followed by discount stores (48 percent), and grocery stores and supermarkets (44 percent).
Gift cards remain the most popular gift to receive, with 55 percent of holiday shoppers saying they would like one, followed by clothing or accessories (49 percent), books, video games or other media (28 percent), and personal care or beauty items (25 percent).
Nearly one-quarter of shoppers (23 percent) plan to gift someone an experience this year, in line with last year and up 19 percent from 2021.
The survey, conducted in October, asked 8,103 adult consumers about their holiday shopping plans.
The Latest
![Navneet Gems and Minerals launched its sapphire collection at the recent GJX Tucson show, offering both calibrated and single stones. Navneet montana sapphire](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/b94bedb15dd33b9bde58b3512d35e75a.jpg)
The wholesale collection features material from the Rock Creek mine in a variety of colors.
![The new “Divinely Guided” collection is available through &Livy, a jewelry brand Carolyn Rafaelian launched in 2023. It is a collaboration between Rafaelian and Theresa Caputo, best known as the star of TLC’s “Long Island Medium.” Theresa Caputo &LIVY jewelry](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/612dbcd6cd62dc991e55c125cf7857a3.jpg)
The “Divinely Guided” collection, created in collaboration with Theresa Caputo, features symbols that celebrate the power of connection.
![Lorraine West Diamond Open Heart Ring](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/968bb063a1fc055d60856068c3bb16e2.jpg)
Show some love on Valentine’s Day with this 14-karat yellow gold ring that features pavé diamonds.
![Top Image.png](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/17d84393fb1ce78143e2cc3ca59f2af5.png)
Colored stones are stepping into a jewelry spotlight typically reserved for diamonds—are you ready to sell color?
![The suspect seen here attempted to steal $1.5 million worth of jewelry from a Macy’s store in Brooklyn, New York, but was thwarted by an employee. The thief is still at large and the New York Police Department is asking the public to help identify the suspect. (Image courtesy of the NYPD) Surveillance image of Macy’s jewelry thief](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/cc22350705b7ad6d76cb34f999447144.jpg)
The employee confronted the thief, causing the suspect to flee and leave behind the suitcases full of jewelry.
![](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/99a46b30cc354962ac2e29ecd113587a.jpg)
![The board of Namib Desert Diamonds has suspended CEO Alisa Amupolo, Chief Operations Officer Uahoroka Kauta, and Security Manager Paulinus Sheyapo following the Jan. 18 armed robbery at its headquarters in Windhoek, Namibia. Namdia rough diamonds](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/646f7cf1bdc05c5291f437fafef5a8f1.jpg)
Namib Desert Diamonds also put its security manager on leave following last month’s robbery that left one employee dead.
![At the Spectrum Awards Gala, held Feb. 8 in Tucson, AGTA announced the winners of its Spectrum and Cutting Edge Buyer’s Choice awards—the “Whisper of the Ancestors” lapel pin (left) and a nearly 13-carat faceted rhodochrosite from Colorado (right). Spectrum and Cutting Edge Buyer’s Choice awards](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/97d2297b7092458ec4b5a1739847aa77.jpg)
AGTA recently concluded its 2025 GemFair event in Tucson and is already gearing up for next year’s show, set for Feb. 2-6, 2026.
![Resolutions - 2025.jpg](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/7b2ba343f8d947757b0ff597db4ca873.jpg)
The new year feels like a clean slate, inspiring reflection, hope, and the motivation to become better versions of ourselves.
![Seen here are Royal Chain’s new 14-karat gold fashion link pieces from the jewelry supplier’s spring 2025 collection. Royal Chain models in 14-karat gold fashion links](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/331c503576f6414f0d9dacfc531c72ca.jpg)
More than 400 new pieces are featured in the supplier’s latest catalog.
![Azra Mehdi’s pink sapphire ombré heart dog tag necklace is one of 20 pieces featured in Amanda’s Style File for Valentine’s Day. Azra Mehdi pink sapphire ombré heart dog tag necklace in 14-karat rose gold](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/d6dba9f3750ea176104e7a343908044f.jpg)
This curation celebrates love with heart-shaped jewelry of all shapes and sizes.
![Jewelers of America and the Diamond Council of America’s Jewelers Relief Fund has been reopened to help jewelry business impacted by the Los Angeles wildfires. The fund was first launched in 2017 in the wake of Hurricane Harvey in Houston. Jewelers Relief Fund logo](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/2ce7c756ede9818b47eed6b79f9b61af.jpg)
The fund is collecting money for jewelry businesses damaged by the wildfires in Los Angeles County.
![From left to right, rings by Single Stone, Marrow Fine, and Stephanie Gottlieb Fine Jewelry, highlighting the diamond engagement ring trends expected to be ubiquitous this year. 3 natural diamond engagement rings by Marrow Fine, Stephanie Gottlieb, Single Stone, and Sylvie Jewelry](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/ade9f3b843b8647a18697d9fa79f1928.jpg)
From chunky bands to vintage diamond cuts and bezel settings, these are the trends experts are seeing take over the bridal market.
![This cushion-cut diamond engagement ring by designer Jean Prounis is one of the rings featured on the cover of “The History of Diamond Engagement Rings: A True Romance” and is a favorite of author Marion Fasel. (Photo courtesy of Marion Fasel) Jean Prounis cushion-cut diamond engagement ring](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/fb220c446b914b547d342c31d91992de.jpg)
Fasel discusses researching her new book, the most enduring engagement ring styles, and the diamond shape Taylor Swift will pick.
![De Beers Jewellers uses rough green diamonds and polished round brilliant-cut white diamonds in the “Embrace” bracelet as an abstract nod to a tree’s roots. The main 1.72-carat oval diamond is set in a bezel made of jet, which the jeweler is using for the first time in this collection. De Beers Jewellers Embrace Bracelet](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/0b19cbf49dc1444ce2bcbfb236eeb421.jpg)
The “Essence of Nature, Chapter One” collection echoes trees and roots, literally and figuratively, through three sets of high jewelry.
![Shree Ramkrishna Exports announced on International Reducing CO2 Emissions Day, which is observed every Jan. 28, that when it comes to manufacturing natural diamonds, its greenhouse gas emissions are now 30 percent below the industry average. Shree Ramkrishna Exports (SRK) diamonds](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/dbb4c606f1e07f6c1dbdee480598d03f.jpg)
Late last year, the India-based diamond manufacturer recorded emissions per carat that are 34 percent lower than the industry average.
![Peter Smith is an industry consultant, speaker, sales trainer, and author. He can be reached via email at TheRetailSmiths@gmail.com. Peter Smith](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/994d61f1a9c90b30584b8175fa91d2ca.jpg)
Smith details the types of store managers he’s encountered, with the goal of helping retailers find a person who’s a fit for their store.
![The myGemma showroom in New York City. The luxury resale company now offers a consignment service. myGemma showroom](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/3a76b80ded68364d60843789d9c96a71.jpg)
The secondhand reseller stocks pre-owned designer jewelry and watches, along with other luxury goods.
![Ghirardelli Chocolate Company has launched a limited-edition, gold-plated locket perfectly sized to hold one mini Ghirardelli square. Ghirardelli Chocolocket](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/afe7b4833ee4a1b224b51cb20b37ce69.jpg)
The limited-edition “Chocolocket” fits a mini square of Ghirardelli chocolate inside.
![Jewelers of America will have two “20 Under 40” lists this year, one for retailers and one for suppliers. Interested parties have from now through Feb. 19 to nominate themselves or someone else for inclusion on either list. Jewelers of America 20 Under 40 graphic](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/9c4f8cef6f42f5b6411b5f4f9c1d53c6.jpg)
The program has been expanded to include a “20 Under 40” list for jewelry suppliers and is accepting nominations through Feb. 19.
![Two men, identified as Dimitriy Nezhinskiy and Juan Villar, who operated a business in New York City’s Diamond District, were charged with running a fencing operation for South American theft groups. Police cars with lights on](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/887e1c6de663e37d58e93cf9340ed4ae.jpg)
One of the men is said to be connected to the South American crew charged with burglarizing Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow’s home.
![For their second collaboration, Bulgari and independent Swiss watch brand MB&F have partnered to create the first contemporary, genderless offering featuring the jeweler’s “Serpenti” motif. Bulgari x MB&F Serpenti watch](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/7485414da0f51bb54430e4b450d5f98a.jpg)
The brands immersed one of Bulgari’s most famous historical icons in MB&F’s ultra-mechanical universe of haute horlogerie.
![A campaign image from Boucheron’s “Histoire de Style” high jewelry collection, “Power of Couture,” which debuted last year. The Kering-owned brand performed well in its recent full-year results. Boucheron Power of Couture campaign](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/df26760df8463544c07a6c2dcb34b6bd.jpg)
The luxury titan’s full-year performance was weighed down by struggling sales at its star brand Gucci.
![Midas Chain’s new natural diamond styles include “Flexi” tennis bracelets, pavé diamond bangles, eternity rings, diamond studs, and more. Midas Chain Diamond and Gemstone Jewelry](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/4b3ab40b4d7bcaac2cb0d11d069f93a5.jpg)
The jewelry manufacturer has launched more than 100 pieces made with natural diamonds.
![CBP agents in Louisville, Kentucky, were busy seizing shipments of counterfeit jewelry last month, the agency said. Officers nabbed 28 shipments of jewelry and watches designed to pass as pieces from brands including Rolex, Cartier, and Van Cleef & Arpels. Pictured is a counterfeit Cartier “Juste Un Clou” bracelet. (Photo courtesy of U.S. Customs & Border Protection) Counterfeit Cartier “Juste Un Clou” bracelet](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/e7c0b70c799bfe84030a1dbda3475213.jpg)
Officers in Louisville seized 28 shipments of fake jewelry and watches that would have been worth more than $27 million if genuine.
![“Inside Out” takes inspiration from tailoring, specifically tuxedos and the lapel where the inside of the fabric becomes visible. The “Flip” bangles seen here feature 18-karat yellow gold that has been folded over and set with pavé diamonds ($12,700 for right, $21,500 for left). Hearts On Fire Inside Out Collection Bracelets](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/fc2828c6d3c97b4000252f19f0728262.jpg)
The collection centers on the art of tailoring, inspired by designs that feature folded fabrics, such as a tuxedo lapel.
![Select Jewelry Shows has added a new show in Nashville, scheduled to be held Oct. 26-27 at the JW Marriott Hotel. JW Marriott Hotel in Nashville Tennessee](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/ac6eb0f0b6e08bcbd55ac4cf645c71cf.jpg)
The trade show has added a new location to its fall line-up.
![Jade Trau Ladybird Charm](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/c06d874eacb2e378649c91741365aac2.jpg)
From the brand’s latest collection of lucky charms, the ladybird is seen as a bearer of good fortune and a ward against negative energy.