Surveys

Consumer Confidence Rises Again in November

SurveysDec 05, 2024

Consumer Confidence Rises Again in November

A more positive view of the current labor market boosted the Conference Board’s index last month.

Hand holding shopping bags
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index rose to 111.7 in November from an upwardly revised 109.6 in October.
New York—U.S. consumer confidence was on the rise in November as consumers once again took a more positive view of the current labor market.

The Conference Board’s monthly consumer confidence index increased to 111.7 in November from an upwardly revised 109.6 in October.

“Consumer confidence continued to improve in November and reached the top of the range that has prevailed over the past two years,” said Dana M. Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board. 

“November’s increase was mainly driven by more positive consumer assessments of the present situation, particularly regarding the labor market.”

When compared with October, respondents also were more optimistic about future job availability, said Peterson. 

Consumers’ expectations regarding future business conditions were unchanged and they were slightly more pessimistic about future income.

As for the write-in responses, the number of mentions of inflation and higher prices declined as attention shifted to the November elections, but the elevated cost of living is still a top concern.

The average 12-month inflation expectations declined slightly to 4.9 percent in November from 5.3 percent in October, marking the lowest level since March 2020.

November’s survey also asked a special question about consumers’ concerns and hopes for 2025.

Higher prices were the top concern and lower prices were the top wish as consumers looked to the new year. This was true for all incomes and age groups, said the Conference Board.

“That same question found higher taxes, wars and conflict, and social unrest are other major—although less acute—concerns for consumers,” it said.

Issues involving household finances topped the wish list, including wanting to save more money, paying lower taxes, and paying off debt.

Write-in responses about politics, including the November elections, exceeded 2020 levels but were below 2016 levels.

Gains in consumer confidence in November were led by a boost in confidence for consumers under 35 years old.

Consumers aged 35 to 54 saw confidence decline slightly following a sharp rise in October. 

By income, all groups reported higher confidence, except those at the top (earning more than $125,000) and those at the bottom (earning less than $15,000).

On a six-month moving average basis, households aged under 35 and those earning over $100,000 remain the most confident.

 Related stories will be right here … 

The Conference Board’s Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ current view of business and labor market conditions, rose to 140.9 in November from a downwardly revised 136.1 in October.

Consumers’ assessments of current business conditions were mixed with slightly fewer respondents calling conditions “good” but fewer saying they were “bad.”

Their view of the labor market was also mixed, with fewer respondents saying jobs were “plentiful” but fewer saying jobs were “hard to get.”

The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ outlook on income, business, and labor market conditions in the near future, rose to 92.3 from an upwardly revised 91.9 in October.

It remained above 80, said the Conference Board, noting a reading below 80 normally signals a recession in the near future.

Consumers’ expectations of future business conditions were also mixed, with more respondents expecting conditions to improve but also more expecting conditions to worsen.

The labor market outlook was also mixed—a pattern for November’s survey—with more respondents expecting more jobs to be available but also more expecting fewer jobs to be available.

As for future income prospects, consumers were more pessimistic in November. 

Fewer respondents expected their incomes to increase while those expecting their incomes to decrease was unchanged month-over-month.

Their outlooks on their family’s current financial situation, a measure not included when calculating the Present Situation and Expectations Index, were more pessimistic, though they felt more positive when looking six months ahead, the survey showed.

The “Consumers’ Perceived Likelihood of a U.S. Recession over the Next 12 Months” metric declined in November, reaching its lowest point since the Conference Board began asking this question in July 2022, Peterson said.

As for big purchases, plans to buy homes stalled while plans to buy cars were up slightly on a six-month moving average basis.

When consumers were asked about plans to buy “more durable” goods or services over the next six months, they once again showed a slightly greater preference for purchasing goods.

As for services, consumer priorities were virtually unchanged. They plan to spend slightly less in most categories going forward, except for travel and healthcare.

More consumers said they were uncertain about future purchases of big-ticket items; plans to buy most appliances and electronics were down.

Looking to the stock market, consumers were more optimistic, with 56 percent of consumers expecting stock prices to increase over the year ahead. It marked another record high for this measure, a question first asked in 1987.

Only 21 percent expected to see stock prices decline. 

As for interest rates, the percentage of consumers expecting higher interest rates over the next 12 months declined to 44 percent while the share of respondents expecting lower rates increased to 35 percent, the highest since April 2020.

The Consumer Confidence survey results for December are set to be released on Dec. 23.

The Latest

Sothebys The Desert Rose orangy pink diamond collectors week
AuctionsAug 29, 2025
Sotheby’s UAE Sale to Feature 32-Carat Fancy Vivid Orangy Pink Diamond

The highlight of a single-owner jewelry and watch collection, it’s estimated to fetch up to $7 million at auction this December.

Calvin Klein watch and jewelry campaign
FinancialsAug 29, 2025
Movado’s Q2 Sales Rebound Despite Tariff Impact

CEO Efraim Grinberg noted a resurgence in the fashion watch market.

Mark Davis Bullseye Necklace
CollectionsAug 29, 2025
Piece of the Week: Mark Davis’ ‘Bullseye’ Necklace

The “Bullseye” necklace, with vintage bakelite and peridot, August’s birthstone, is the perfect transitional piece as summer turns to fall.

japac-btyb.png
Brought to you by
Rallying Call for the Jewelry Industry on Tariffs and Other Key Issues

Jewelers of America is leading the charge to protect the industry amidst rising economic threats.

Image #1_Resized.png
Supplier BulletinAug 28, 2025
Clientbook Is Helping Jewelers Turn Clienteling Challenges into Wins with Hands-On Training and Coaching

Sponsored by Clientbook

Weekly QuizAug 29, 2025
This Week’s Quiz
Test your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
Take the Quiz
GIA’s new report for lab-grown diamonds
GradingAug 28, 2025
GIA’s New ‘Quality Assessment’ for Lab-Grown Diamonds Is Coming

It will classify lab-grown stones into one of two categories, “premium” or “standard,” in lieu of giving specific color and clarity grades.

Botswana President Duma Boko
SourcingAug 28, 2025
Botswana Declares Public Health Emergency Amid Diamond Sales Slump

President Duma Boko addressed the country’s medical supply chain crisis in a recent televised address.

rio-article photo-diamond.jpg
Brought to you by
Taking the Moment Head On: How Rio Grande Champions the Present & Future of Fine Jewelry

As a leading global jewelry supplier, Rio Grande is rapidly expanding and developing new solutions to meet the needs of jewelers worldwide.

Afton Robertson-Kanne Borsheims
MajorsAug 28, 2025
Borsheims Names New Jewelry Buyer

Former Free People buyer Afton Robertson-Kanne recently joined the retailer.

Sissy’s Log Cabin Back to School and Bling
IndependentsAug 28, 2025
Sissy’s Log Cabin Donates School Supplies to Memphis Students

The jeweler teamed up with two local organizations for its inaugural “Back to School and Bling” event.

Taylor Swift Engaged
EditorsAug 27, 2025
Taylor Swift’s Engagement Ring Is a Fairy Tale for Vintage Diamond Cuts

The singer’s new bling, reportedly a natural old mine-cut diamond, is no paper ring.

11,685-carat Imboo emerald
SourcingAug 27, 2025
11,685-Carat Emerald Recovered From Zambia’s Kagem Mine

Dubbed the “Imboo,” or “buffalo,” emerald, the rough gemstone is part of Gemfields’ latest emerald auction, which is taking place now.

Mine + Found Play Collection Prize Bubble Locket, Whistle Pendent, Fortune Dice
CollectionsAug 27, 2025
Mined + Found’s New Collection Gets Playful

The “Play” collection centers on nostalgic toys that have kinetic elements to carry playfulness and wonder into adulthood.

CCWW lifesaver necklace
CollectionsAug 26, 2025
Does Your Jewelry Stack Need a Snack?

Designer Christina Puchi, the creative force behind CCWW Designs, has created charms and pendants based on iconic candies and crackers.

Nick Jonas x Fossil Campaign
WatchesAug 26, 2025
Nick Jonas Gets Nostalgic in New Fossil Campaign

The Jonas Brothers star showed off new timepieces against the backdrop of his favorite spots in his home state of New Jersey.

Wally Hinkamp and Donna Hinkamp Warren
IndependentsAug 26, 2025
Hinkamp Jewelers Celebrates 70 Years

The family-owned jeweler in Fayetteville, North Carolina, is in the hands of the second generation.

Emmanuel Raheb
ColumnistsAug 26, 2025
Back to School, Back to Style: Why August is Prime Time for Self-Gifting

In his latest column, Emmanuel Raheb shares tips for encouraging customers to treat themselves to new jewelry.

London Jewelers Rolex East Hampton Boutique Exterior
WatchesAug 25, 2025
London Jewelers Brings Rolex to Historic Hamptons Home

The new stand-alone Rolex boutique is housed in the former Odd Fellows Hall, a landmark built in 1897.

Madison Keys
CollectionsAug 25, 2025
Tennis Star Madison Keys Has the Perfect Necklace for the US Open

The Brilliant Earth ambassador co-designed a diamond medallion featuring meaningful symbols.

Marie Lichtenberg emerald and diamond locket on the 18-karat gold “Rosa” chain
TrendsAug 25, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: That’s a Wrap

Wrap jewelry is more than just a trend; it’s the perfect motif for the coming season of layering, scarves, and pumpkin spice.

WatchTime New York
WatchesAug 25, 2025
WatchTime NY Show Returns for 10th Anniversary Edition

The three-day watch collector show, coming this October, will feature 44 exhibiting brands, as well as a new dinner experience.

Sriram “Ram” Natarajan
GradingAug 22, 2025
Former Head of GIA India Promoted to Oversee Global Operations

Sriram “Ram” Natarajan is now GIA’s senior vice president of laboratory operations and is based out of the lab’s headquarters in Carlsbad.

Retrouvaí Diamond Vein Bond Collar
CollectionsAug 22, 2025
Piece of the Week: Retrouvaí’s ‘Diamond Vein Bond’ Collar

The one-of-a-kind collar represents the beauty of imperfection and the strength to rebuild.

Kendra Scott
MajorsAug 22, 2025
Kendra Scott Returns as CEO of Her Jewelry Empire

Three C-suite executives, including former CEO Tom Nolan, have resigned as part of what the company describes as a “transition.”

Claire’s storefront
MajorsAug 21, 2025
Claire’s Finds Buyer, Could Save up to 950 Stores

The retailer, which recently filed Chapter 11, inked a deal to sell its North American business and intellectual property.

Target CEO Brian Cornell and COO Michael Fiddelke
MajorsAug 21, 2025
Target Names New CEO as Sales Continue to Lag

Target CEO Brian Cornell will step down in February and be replaced by the company’s chief operating officer, Michael Fiddelke.

Jewelers of America in Washington DC
Policies & IssuesAug 21, 2025
JA, IDMA Talk Tariffs With Execs in DC

The group met with the president's senior trade advisor earlier this week to express the industry’s concerns about the effects of tariffs.

×

This site uses cookies to give you the best online experience. By continuing to use & browse this site, we assume you agree to our Privacy Policy