ColumnistsDec 07, 2021
On Data: Jewelry Sales Soared in NovemberSurveysDec 16, 2021
NRF Releases Super Saturday Predictions
It predicts fewer people will shop the final Saturday before Christmas than last year.
It predicts fewer people will shop the final Saturday before Christmas than last year.
Washington—The National Retail Federation is predicting less last-minute holiday shopping this year than in 2020.
According to its latest survey conducted in partnership with Prosper Insights & Analytics, more than 148 million consumers will shop in-store and/or online on “Super Saturday,” or the last Saturday before Christmas.
That’s fewer than last year, when 150 million were expected to shop on Super Saturday, but up from 2019 when 147 million were predicted to shop.
“Retailers began preparations for the holiday season months in advance, offering seasonal inventory early and taking preventative measures to circumvent supply chain challenges exacerbated by the pandemic,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said.
“Consumers have responded with a growing eagerness to kick off the holiday shopping season early, and they expect to carry that momentum through the last few weeks of the year.”
The NRF began tracking Super Saturday statistics in 2016. This year, the Saturday prior to Christmas is exactly one week ahead of the holiday, falling on Dec. 18.
It’s basing its 2021 predictions on a survey of 7,453 adults conducted between Nov. 24 and Dec. 3.
Approximately 27 percent of consumers will shop in-store only and 32 percent online-only, while 41 percent will do both.
Shoppers are expected to spend an average $997.73 on holiday purchases this year.
Shopping is happening on the early side this year, with a record 42 percent of respondents saying they hoped to purchase their last gift by Dec. 18, up from 40 percent last year.
A majority, 52 percent, plan to finish their shopping in the week leading up to Christmas.
In November, almost 180 million Americans shopped in the five-day window encompassing Thanksgiving, Black Friday, and Cyber Monday. By early December, 84 percent of shoppers had begun their holiday shopping.
Of the destinations where consumers will spend their money this holiday period, online comes in first (48 percent), followed by department stores (34 percent), discount stores (21 percent), clothing and accessories stores (20 percent), and local and small businesses (16 percent).
This year, they’re shopping for clothing and accessories (44 percent), toys (30 percent), books and other media (26 percent), gift cards (25 percent) and electronics (20 percent).
Nearly one-quarter of survey respondents (23 percent) said their gifts would include some type of “experience.”
Experts say early shopping this year is due to consumers avoiding global supply chain constraints. Of those surveyed, 71 percent said they have been able to find the items they’re looking for most or all of the time while 67 percent said they are confident or very confident they will find the gifts they’re seeking.
Consumers have responded to this holiday season’s supply chain challenges with flexibility,” Prosper Executive Vice President of Strategy Phil Rist said.
“When shoppers do experience difficulty finding gifts, they take a proactive approach toward alternate solutions like checking another retailer, location or channel or identifying a substitute item. Additionally, some will choose to gift cash or a gift card or even wait to see if the item comes back in stock.”
Consumers also plan to shop post-Christmas, with 65 percent intending to make purchases the week post-Christmas, whether to take advantage of deals and promotions (42 percent) or to use gift cards (24 percent).
The NRF expects holiday sales to grow as much as 11.5 percent, exceeding its previous forecast of 8.5 to 10.5 percent growth.
More on Surveys
The Latest
FinancialsJul 16, 2025
Richemont’s Jewelry Sales Up 7% in Q1It marks the third consecutive quarter of growth for Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, Buccellati, and Vhernier.
WatchesJul 16, 2025
The Top-Selling Rolex Models of the Last 15 Years, According to Bob’s Watches The reseller’s market trends report, based on its sales data, also shows exactly how much Rolex prices have jumped since 2010.
AuctionsJul 16, 2025
Christie’s To Honor Dinh Van With ExhibitionThe auction house will be hosting a retrospective paying tribute to jeweler Jean Dinh Van and his company’s 60th anniversary.
Brought to you by
Investing in the Next Generation of Bench JewelersThe Seymour & Evelyn Holtzman Bench Scholarship from Jewelers of America returns for a second year.
IndependentsJul 16, 2025
Clyde Duneier Ushers In Fourth GenerationJake Duneier and Danielle Duneier-Goldberg have stepped into the roles of CEO and president, respectively.
Weekly QuizJul 10, 2025
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
CollectionsJul 15, 2025
Boucheron’s New High Jewelry Calls Attention to Nature’s ImpermanenceThe “Impermanence” collection contemplates nature through the Japanese art of Ikebana (flower arranging) and philosophy of wabi-sabi.
MajorsJul 15, 2025
James Avery Expands to 2 More StatesThe Texas-based jewelry retailer has set up shop in Tennessee and Arizona.
Brought to you by
Jewelers of America is Headed to Las Vegas for JCK 2025The countdown is on for the JCK Las Vegas Show and JA is pulling out all the stops.
Events & AwardsJul 15, 2025
Neiman Marcus Vet Joins Couture as Brand Director Eric Ford will step into the role, bringing with him decades of experience.
IndependentsJul 15, 2025
Ben Bridge Jeweler Acquires Olympic ManufacturingIn addition to improved capabilities, the acquisition will allow the jeweler to offer support to other independent jewelers.
CollectionsJul 15, 2025
Guzema Debuts First Colored Gemstone JewelryThe “Celestial Blue” capsule collection campaign features Olympian Kateryna Sadurska.
MajorsJul 14, 2025
Nanis Opens First StoreThe seasonal store, located in Mykonos, Greece, offers exclusive events, personal styling, and curated experiences.
IndependentsJul 14, 2025
It’s the Summer of Love at Long’s JewelersThe New England jeweler is hosting a bridal event for the month of August.
SourcingJul 14, 2025
Ethical Gem Fair Heads to SeattleThe trade-only event will host its debut fair in the Emerald City later this month.
Events & AwardsJul 11, 2025
The Edge’s Annual Conference Returns in SeptemberIts sessions will focus on inventory strategies, staff performance, retention and acquisition, emerging market trends, and more.
CollectionsJul 11, 2025
Piece of the Week: Miseno’s ‘Arco’ EarringsFor its 10th anniversary, Miseno designed the “Arco” earrings based on the Arco Felice, an arch conceptualized in A.D. 95 in Miseno, Italy.
Policies & IssuesJul 11, 2025
James Avery to Donate $1M to Texas Hill Country Relief EffortsThe jewelry company is one of several contributing to relief efforts in the region after the recent floods.
TrendsJul 11, 2025
Kelly Osbourne’s Engagement Ring Is Sweet as HoneyInspired by fiancé Sid Wilson’s nickname for her, the white and yellow diamond ring features a unique honeycomb design.
CollectionsJul 10, 2025
Penny Preville Celebrates 5 Decades of Jewelry DesignThe brand is marking its 50th anniversary with a limited-edition bangle, high jewelry suites, new collections, and more.
IndependentsJul 10, 2025
Steven Goldfarb to Retire, Close Alvin Goldfarb JewelerGoldfarb said changes in the industry, coupled with his age and the updates needed to modernize his business, drove his decision.
MajorsJul 10, 2025
LVMH Names New Chairman, CEO of the AmericasLongtime LVMH executive Michael Burke has stepped into the role.
Events & AwardsJul 10, 2025
IAC Gold and Diamond Conference Returns to NYC Central topics of next week’s event include climate action, labor rights, artisan preservation, and value retention in producing countries.
MajorsJul 10, 2025
Hearts On Fire Appoints New Sales DirectorVickie Rokkos has joined the jewelry company as its new national sales director of North America.
Supplier BulletinJul 09, 2025
JCK Unwrapped: Trends, Insights & Post-Show TipsSponsored by Rio Grande Jewelry Supply
CollectionsJul 09, 2025
Cece Jewellery’s New Fruit Jewels Celebrate Life’s SweetnessThe “For the Love of Fruits” collection features five fruit pendants, each holding a different meaning.
EditorsJul 09, 2025
The Most-Read Stories of 2025, So FarDiamonds and crimes (some involving diamonds) top the list of National Jeweler’s most popular stories halfway through the year.
SourcingJul 09, 2025
Florida Couple Finds 3-Carat Diamond in ArkansasThey discovered “The Dash Diamond,” named for their dog, at the Crater of Diamonds State Park earlier this month.
