ColumnistsDec 07, 2021
On Data: Jewelry Sales Soared in NovemberSurveysDec 16, 2021
NRF Releases Super Saturday Predictions
It predicts fewer people will shop the final Saturday before Christmas than last year.
It predicts fewer people will shop the final Saturday before Christmas than last year.
Washington—The National Retail Federation is predicting less last-minute holiday shopping this year than in 2020.
According to its latest survey conducted in partnership with Prosper Insights & Analytics, more than 148 million consumers will shop in-store and/or online on “Super Saturday,” or the last Saturday before Christmas.
That’s fewer than last year, when 150 million were expected to shop on Super Saturday, but up from 2019 when 147 million were predicted to shop.
“Retailers began preparations for the holiday season months in advance, offering seasonal inventory early and taking preventative measures to circumvent supply chain challenges exacerbated by the pandemic,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said.
“Consumers have responded with a growing eagerness to kick off the holiday shopping season early, and they expect to carry that momentum through the last few weeks of the year.”
The NRF began tracking Super Saturday statistics in 2016. This year, the Saturday prior to Christmas is exactly one week ahead of the holiday, falling on Dec. 18.
It’s basing its 2021 predictions on a survey of 7,453 adults conducted between Nov. 24 and Dec. 3.
Approximately 27 percent of consumers will shop in-store only and 32 percent online-only, while 41 percent will do both.
Shoppers are expected to spend an average $997.73 on holiday purchases this year.
Shopping is happening on the early side this year, with a record 42 percent of respondents saying they hoped to purchase their last gift by Dec. 18, up from 40 percent last year.
A majority, 52 percent, plan to finish their shopping in the week leading up to Christmas.
In November, almost 180 million Americans shopped in the five-day window encompassing Thanksgiving, Black Friday, and Cyber Monday. By early December, 84 percent of shoppers had begun their holiday shopping.
Of the destinations where consumers will spend their money this holiday period, online comes in first (48 percent), followed by department stores (34 percent), discount stores (21 percent), clothing and accessories stores (20 percent), and local and small businesses (16 percent).
This year, they’re shopping for clothing and accessories (44 percent), toys (30 percent), books and other media (26 percent), gift cards (25 percent) and electronics (20 percent).
Nearly one-quarter of survey respondents (23 percent) said their gifts would include some type of “experience.”
Experts say early shopping this year is due to consumers avoiding global supply chain constraints. Of those surveyed, 71 percent said they have been able to find the items they’re looking for most or all of the time while 67 percent said they are confident or very confident they will find the gifts they’re seeking.
Consumers have responded to this holiday season’s supply chain challenges with flexibility,” Prosper Executive Vice President of Strategy Phil Rist said.
“When shoppers do experience difficulty finding gifts, they take a proactive approach toward alternate solutions like checking another retailer, location or channel or identifying a substitute item. Additionally, some will choose to gift cash or a gift card or even wait to see if the item comes back in stock.”
Consumers also plan to shop post-Christmas, with 65 percent intending to make purchases the week post-Christmas, whether to take advantage of deals and promotions (42 percent) or to use gift cards (24 percent).
The NRF expects holiday sales to grow as much as 11.5 percent, exceeding its previous forecast of 8.5 to 10.5 percent growth.
Editors' Picks
Sponsored by
More on Surveys
The Latest
IndependentsMay 11, 2026
Kansas Jeweler Closing After 70 YearsThe owners of Staats Jewelers are heading into retirement.
TrendsMay 11, 2026
Former Macy’s CEO Joins Signet Jewelers BoardJeffrey Gennette, who retired in 2024 after 41 years with Macy’s, is the newest member of the jewelry retailer’s board of directors.
TrendsMay 11, 2026
Amanda’s Style File: Lucky May May babies are lucky to have emeralds, a gemstone admired for centuries, as their birthstone, writes Amanda Gizzi.
Brought to you by
How Modern Training Is Becoming a Competitive Advantage for Jewelry RetailersWith the trade and customer trust in mind, GIA® developed NextGem™ – on-demand training designed specifically for retail.
TechnologyMay 11, 2026
Clientbook’s New Tool Helps Jewelers Plan In-Store EventsThe new module allows retailers to plan, promote, and measure the success of events from a single dashboard.
Weekly QuizMay 07, 2026
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
Lab-GrownMay 08, 2026
NDC Publicly Criticizes Pandora Over ‘Misleading’ Natural Diamond ClaimsNDC said in an open letter that Pandora’s statements about the carbon footprint of lab grown versus natural diamonds are inaccurate.
SourcingMay 08, 2026
Ronnie VanderLinden Takes Over as WDC President The diamantaire and industry leader succeeds Feriel Zerouki and said he will focus on being a “champion” for natural diamonds.
Brought to you by
Discover Timeless Treasures: A Showcase of Antique Jewelry & Timepieces in Las VegasGain access to the most exclusive and coveted antique pieces from trusted dealers during Las Vegas Jewelry Week.
TrendsMay 08, 2026
Rihanna Chooses ‘Desert Diamonds’ for 2026 Met GalaShe wore our Piece of the Week, Glenn Spiro’s “Old Moghul Golconda” earrings, featuring fancy brown-yellow diamonds totaling 51.90 carats.
Events & AwardsMay 08, 2026
JA Announces 2026 CASE Award WinnersTwo pieces were named “Best in Show,” one from the retail category and one from the supplier category.
FinancialsMay 07, 2026
Brilliant Earth Appeals to Higher-Income Shoppers in Q1The jewelry retailer noted resilience among its higher-end customers while demand softened for its lower-priced offerings.
AuctionsMay 07, 2026
‘Spectacular’ Kashmir Sapphire Headlines Heritage Spring Jewelry SaleLed by the 6.59-carat sapphire, the sale garnered $9.7 million, a record total for a Heritage jewelry auction.
MajorsMay 07, 2026
Gannon & Scott Names New Regional Account ExecutiveIn his new role, sales specialist Billy Welshoff will focus on the eastern United States.
WatchesMay 07, 2026
Chrono24 Names New CEOJosé Gaztelu has been promoted to the role, which has been vacant since last year.
Events & AwardsMay 07, 2026
JA Accepting Applications for 2026 Scholarship ProgramIt has also opened the application period for the Seymour & Evelyn Holtzman Bench Scholarship through June 30.
SourcingMay 06, 2026
Canada’s Oldest Diamond Mine Faces Uncertain FutureThe owner of the Ekati mine, which opened in 1998, has filed for insolvency protection amid the significant decline in diamond prices.
FinancialsMay 06, 2026
Pandora to Add Carbon Footprint Info to Lab-Grown DiamondsThe company announced the change alongside its Q1 results, which showed that the jewelry brand’s year is off to a shaky start.
MajorsMay 06, 2026
Saks Global Begins Layoffs, Reorganization Plans Closer to ApprovalThe retailer will cut 16 percent of its corporate workforce as part of its plan to exit bankruptcy.
AuctionsMay 06, 2026
Steve McQueen’s Heuer Monaco Watch Heads to Sotheby'sOf the many examples used in the filming of “Le Mans,” this one is believed to have spent the most time on Steve McQueen’s wrist.
EditorsMay 05, 2026
This Ohio Designer’s Jewelry Made It to the Met GalaMegan Piccione dressed Lauren Wasser in layers of diamond jewelry, making her stand out in a crowd that included celebrities like Beyoncé.
SourcingMay 05, 2026
Doug Hucker Returns to His RootsFollowing decades of association leadership, the “semi-retired” colored gemstone expert is turning his focus to gemstone education.
Events & AwardsMay 05, 2026
AMNH to Showcase Famous Jewelry, Trophies in Sports HistoryThe museum’s new exhibition will feature one of Jesse Owen’s Olympic medals, Yogi Berra’s crown, Super Bowl rings, and more.
Events & AwardsMay 05, 2026
JIS Launches Brand Exposure ProgramThe new program provides access to media exposure and editorial opportunities for exhibitors and retailers.
CollectionsMay 04, 2026
Melanie Georgacopoulos Turns Pearls Into Light for ‘Eclipse’ CollectionThe “Eclipse” jewelry collection captures the fleeting moment where light and shadow align though onyx, diamonds, and freshwater pearls.
ColumnistsMay 04, 2026
The Key Mindset for Better Trade Show BuyingBuying discipline at trade shows starts with clarity about your inventory levels, Smith writes.
CrimeMay 04, 2026
Pawn Shop Manager Shot, Killed in FloridaLazaro Rodriguez Vega was murdered inside Cash Out Gold and Silver in Fort Pierce. A 20-year-old man has been charged in the case.
IndependentsMay 04, 2026
Zadok Jewelers, Austin Parks Foundation Support Wildflower PreservationA portion of every engagement ring sold in its Austin showroom will support the care and preservation of Austin’s wildflowers and green spaces.
