SurveysNov 03, 2023
Here’s What NRF Is Forecasting for the Holiday SeasonSurveysDec 22, 2023
Consumer Confidence Climbs in December
More optimistic views on the labor market as well as current and future business conditions gave the index a boost.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index rose to 110.7 in December from a downwardly revised 101.0 last month, its highest level since July.
New York—U.S. consumer confidence climbed in December, reaching its highest level since July, as optimism about the labor market and current and future business conditions returned.
Notably, two-thirds of respondents still think a recession is possible in 2024.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index rose to 110.7 in December from a downwardly revised 101.0 in November.
“December’s increase in consumer confidence reflected more positive ratings of current business conditions and job availability, as well as less pessimistic views of business, labor market, and personal income prospects over the next six months,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.
Optimism was seen across all ages and household income levels, said Peterson, but the gains were largest among householders aged 35-54 and households with income levels of $125,000 and above.
According to December’s write-in responses, the No.1 issue affecting consumers was rising prices. Issues like politics, interest rates, and global conflicts saw downticks as top concerns.
As for a recession, the “Consumers’ Perceived Likelihood of a U.S. Recession over the Next 12 Months” numbers fell to the lowest level seen this year. However, two-thirds still see a possible downturn in 2024.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ current view of business and labor market conditions, rose to 148.5 from 136.5 last month.
“Assessments of the present situation rose in December, as seen by the more positive views of business conditions and the employment situation,” noted Peterson.
In contrast, when asked to assess their current family financial conditions (a measure not included in calculating the Present Situation Index), fewer people said “good” while slightly more people said “bad.”
“This suggests consumers’ view of their current finances may paint a more tempered picture than the perception that overall conditions are better than a month ago,” said Peterson.
Consumers’ view of current business conditions was more positive in December, with the percentage of respondents who said current business conditions are “good” up to 22 percent from 19 percent, while those who said conditions are “bad” decreased to 17 percent from 19 percent.
Consumers also had a positive view of the current labor market.
The percentage of respondents who felt jobs were plentiful was up to 41 percent in December from 39 percent, while 13 percent said jobs were “hard to get,” down from 16 percent.
Related stories will be right here …
Notably, two-thirds of respondents still think a recession is possible in 2024.
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index rose to 110.7 in December from a downwardly revised 101.0 in November.
“December’s increase in consumer confidence reflected more positive ratings of current business conditions and job availability, as well as less pessimistic views of business, labor market, and personal income prospects over the next six months,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.
Optimism was seen across all ages and household income levels, said Peterson, but the gains were largest among householders aged 35-54 and households with income levels of $125,000 and above.
According to December’s write-in responses, the No.1 issue affecting consumers was rising prices. Issues like politics, interest rates, and global conflicts saw downticks as top concerns.
As for a recession, the “Consumers’ Perceived Likelihood of a U.S. Recession over the Next 12 Months” numbers fell to the lowest level seen this year. However, two-thirds still see a possible downturn in 2024.
The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ current view of business and labor market conditions, rose to 148.5 from 136.5 last month.
“Assessments of the present situation rose in December, as seen by the more positive views of business conditions and the employment situation,” noted Peterson.
In contrast, when asked to assess their current family financial conditions (a measure not included in calculating the Present Situation Index), fewer people said “good” while slightly more people said “bad.”
“This suggests consumers’ view of their current finances may paint a more tempered picture than the perception that overall conditions are better than a month ago,” said Peterson.
Consumers’ view of current business conditions was more positive in December, with the percentage of respondents who said current business conditions are “good” up to 22 percent from 19 percent, while those who said conditions are “bad” decreased to 17 percent from 19 percent.
Consumers also had a positive view of the current labor market.
The percentage of respondents who felt jobs were plentiful was up to 41 percent in December from 39 percent, while 13 percent said jobs were “hard to get,” down from 16 percent.
The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions in the near future, climbed to 85.6 from the downwardly revised 77.4 in November.
“Expectations that interest rates will rise in the year ahead plummeted to the lowest levels since January 2021, and consumers’ outlook for stock prices rose to levels of optimism last seen in mid-2021,” added Peterson.
“On a month-to-month basis, buying plans for autos, homes, and big-ticket appliances rose moderately across the board, ending the year on a slightly more positive note.”
Looking at short-term business conditions, respondents’ outlooks were more optimistic, with 19 percent of respondents expecting business conditions to improve, up from 17 percent in November, while 16 percent expected them to worsen, down from 20 percent.
Consumers’ assessment of the short-term labor market outlook in December was more positive.
The percentage of respondents who expect more jobs to be available was up to 18 percent from 17 percent in November, while 17 percent expect fewer jobs to be available, down from 20 percent.
Consumers’ short-term income expectations were also somewhat more optimistic.
More respondents expect to see their incomes increase (19 percent in December versus 18 percent in November) while 13 percent expect their incomes to decrease, virtually unchanged from November.
The Conference Board recently added a new set of questions to its monthly survey, asking consumers how they felt about their family finances.
In December, consumers’ views of their families’ current financial situation dipped slightly while views of the six-month situation were more optimistic.
Editors' Picks
Sponsored by
More on Surveys
The Latest
SourcingJan 28, 2025
WFDB Joins Efforts to Promote Natural Diamonds With New CampaignThe “Moments” social media campaign emphasizes the emotional ties between natural diamonds and life’s special milestones.
CollectionsJan 28, 2025
Bliss Lau Celebrates the Intricate Mosaic of Identity in New CollectionThe versatile “As We Are” collection features 14 pieces with interlocking designs allowing for 27 different looks worn around the body.
SourcingJan 28, 2025
Botswana’s First Olympic Gold Medalist Is Now a De Beers Ambassador Letsile Tebogo will help to promote natural diamonds and the good they have done for his country.
Brought to you by
3 New Year’s Resolutions for Jewelry Lovers The new year feels like a clean slate, inspiring reflection, hope, and the motivation to become better versions of ourselves.
Events & AwardsJan 28, 2025
NouvelleBox Show Returns to New York CityThe showcase, in its second year, will feature more than 20 international brands at its curated event from Feb. 2-4.
Weekly QuizJan 23, 2025
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
Recorded WebinarsJan 28, 2025
Watch: Fine Jewelry Market Predictions for 2025 “My Next Question” guests Sherry Smith and Edahn Golan share their 2025 forecasts, from sales and marketing to what retailers should stock.
Events & AwardsJan 28, 2025
Here Is the 2025 AGTA GemFair Tucson Educational LineupThe seminar series covers topics from market trends and colored stone terminology to working with museums and growing an Instagram profile.
Brought to you by
A Diamond Is Forever Celebrates "Forever Present" Holiday CampaignA Diamond is Forever hosted a holiday celebration in honor of their new marketing campaign, ‘Forever Present.’
MajorsJan 27, 2025
Le Vian Corp. Chairman Larry LeVian, a Man of Faith and Family, Dies at 73 LeVian is remembered for his leadership in the jewelry industry and for being a selfless and compassionate person.
CrimeJan 27, 2025
New Jersey Jeweler Sentenced to 2 1/2 Years for Evading CustomsMonishkumar Kirankumar Doshi Shah pleaded guilty to evading customs on more than $13.5 million of jewelry imported into the U.S.
SourcingJan 27, 2025
Dev Shetty To Head New Auction House for Rare Colored GemsJemora Gemhouse’s inaugural auction, slated for March, will take place in Dubai and feature polished sapphires.
CollectionsJan 27, 2025
Rachel Quinn Embodies Feelings of Falling in Love in New CollectionQuinn partnered with Gemfields to create “Crazy Love,” which features Zambian emeralds and Mozambican rubies across 10 pieces.
MajorsJan 27, 2025
Arch Crown’s 2025 ‘Tag & Label’ Catalog Is Out Now The catalog is 48 pages and features more than 100 styles.
CollectionsJan 24, 2025
Piece of the Week: Ashley Zhang Jewelry’s Lunar New Year NecklaceThe one-of-a-kind necklace was designed in celebration of the Chinese New Year, as 2025 is the Year of the Snake.
SourcingJan 24, 2025
Ethical Gem Fair Heads Back to Tucson The gemstone show is slated to take place at the Scottish Rite Cathedral.
Policies & IssuesJan 24, 2025
These Designers and Retailers Are Raising Money for LA Wildfire Relief From raffles to auctions to donations, the industry is working to aid charities in Los Angeles amid the raging wildfires.
CrimeJan 23, 2025
4 Men Arrested After Allegedly Plotting to Kidnap JewelerThe suspects are accused of planning to kidnap a Miami jeweler and rob him of his cryptocurrency.
CrimeJan 23, 2025
Security Guard Killed in Armed Robbery at Namibian Diamond Co. Francis “Gosh” Eiseb, 58, was a senior protection officer for Namib Desert Diamonds, also known as Namdia, in Windhoek, Namibia.
SourcingJan 23, 2025
RapNet, AGTA Partner to Launch Gemstone Trading NetworkThe online diamond and jewelry marketplace has expanded, introducing a new platform dedicated to colored gemstone trading.
Events & AwardsJan 23, 2025
Plumb Club Announces Speaker Lineup for Symposium ‘25The second annual learning forum for retailers is slated for March 13 at City Winery in Pier 57 in New York City.
SourcingJan 23, 2025
Fancy Color Research Foundation Names New CEORoy Safit took over the role on Jan. 1.
ColumnistsJan 22, 2025
On Data: How Did Independent Jewelers Fare in 2024? Sherry Smith shares data on the year gone by, including the breakdown between natural and lab-grown diamond sales.
Policies & IssuesJan 22, 2025
Jewelers Mutual Steps Up Aid for LA Jewelry BusinessesThe company also is matching donations made to Jewelers of America and the Diamond Council of America’s Jewelers Relief Fund.
Events & AwardsJan 22, 2025
JA Seeking Nominations for Its Next ‘20 Under 40’ ClassNow in its fourth year, the program is expanding to include a list of “20 Under 40” for jewelry suppliers.
CollectionsJan 22, 2025
Foundrae’s New Collection Channels the Power of NowThe “Reach for Life” collection uses feather and arrow motifs to invite growth and inner curiosity.
ColumnistsJan 21, 2025
Peter Smith: Sales Training’s Dirty Little SecretPeter Smith pulls back the curtain on the often misinterpreted, and sometimes maligned, world of sales training.
TrendsJan 21, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: Decadent Mocha MoussePantone’s 2025 Color of the Year takes the form of jewelry through gemstones and enamel that look just as delicious as mocha mousse.
