Here’s the Latest Government Data on Jewelry Sales
Plus, National Retail Federation Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz shares his thoughts on inflation and a possible recession.

Sales in the category in July were up 10 percent year-over-year, according to preliminary data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
Jewelry sales alone increased 10 percent year-over-year while watch sales were also up 10 percent.
In June, sales in the watch and jewelry category rose only 0.8 percent year-over-year, with jewelry sales increasing 0.9 percent and watch sales essentially flat.
Watch and jewelry sales were up 5 percent year-over-year in May and up 14 percent year-over-year in April, as per revised data.
Watch and jewelry sales for the full year are expected to continue to grow but won’t reach the highs of last year.
In 2021, dubbed by industry analyst Edahn Golan as “the year of jewelry,” sales in the category reached an estimated $115.29 billion, a 51 percent increase year-over-year, according to BEA data.
This year, as of July, full-year watch and jewelry sales are expected to reach an estimated $126.66 billion, a 10 percent year-over-year increase.
The overall economy is expected to be on a similar trajectory of slowing growth amid rising inflation and geopolitical unrest.
In the National Retail Federation’s August review, Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz gave an overview of the current economic situation.
“Today, inflation is both sky-high and on everyone’s mind,” he said.
The Consumer Price Index, which measures the average change in prices over time consumers will pay for a basket of goods and services, rose about 9 percent year-over-year in both June and July.
“Many of the forces contributing to inflation will not be unwound soon but we are seeing some potential relief as commodity and oil prices decline,” he said.
As gas prices fell, CPI was flat month-over-month in July compared with a 1 percent increase in June.
Looking at the overall economy, Kleinhenz noted that key economic indicators, including employment, retail sales, income and industrial production have slowed, but have not yet reached contraction territory.
“Clearly, demand has slowed, but the slowdown is entirely a result of towering inflation,” he said.
The Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates an unprecedented amount recently in an effort to combat inflation, but the problem is complex.
“The Fed is caught between an economic rock and a monetary policy hard place,” he said.
If the Fed doesn’t do enough, inflation rates will continue to rise, but if it goes too far in adjusting monetary policy, there could be a recession.
“Consumer reaction to interest rate hikes is hardly immediate or predictable, making it impossible to judge the effect of the Fed’s actions in real time and quickly correct any oversteering,” said Kleinhenz.
As for the remainder of 2022, he predicted inflation forecasts will continue to be “highly uncertain” and that supply constraints will factor into the second half of the year.
The NRF has not changed its full-year outlook, and still expects 2022 retail sales will grow by a range of 6-8 percent year-over-year.
“The driver of the U.S. economy is the consumer and spending has been fueled by the stronger-than-ever labor market,” he added.
For now, Kleinhenz reiterated his prediction that the U.S. should be able to avoid a recession this year.
“Despite ongoing uncertainties, we believe the underlying strength of the economy is strong enough to deal with inflation and keep a recession at bay – or short-lived even if we are wrong.”
The Latest

Discover the dozen up-and-coming brands exhibiting in the Design Atelier for the first time.

The “Royal Ruby” Collection is a quintet of untreated rubies curated by collector Jack Abraham.

The entrepreneur and “Shark Tank” star will share his top tips for success.

When investing in your jewelry business, it's important not to overlook the most crucial element of success: the sales associates.

Two existing executives have been given new roles.


Meredith Tiderington, an electrical engineering student, was selected for the award.

It will quit assigning the stones specific color and clarity grades in favor of applying “new descriptive terminology.”

More shoppers are walking out without buying. Here’s how smart jewelers can bring them back—and the tool they need to do it right.

From design trends to sustainability, here’s a roundup of can’t-miss education sessions at JCK Las Vegas.

The Jewelers’ Security Alliance offers advice for those attending the annual trade shows.

Her new role is director of strategic initiatives.

The designer is embracing bold pieces with weight to them in “AU79,” a collection she celebrated with a creative launch party.

On an earnings call, CEO J.K. Symancyk discussed what’s working for the company and how it’s preparing for the potential impact of tariffs.

The actress stars in the latest campaign set in Venice, Italy, and is set to participate in other creative initiatives for the jeweler.

The company has joined other labs, including GIA and Lotus Gemology, in adopting the Chinese term for "jadeite jade."

The large stone will be offered at its June sale along with a selection of secondary-type rubies from a new area of the Montepuez mine.

Located in Bangkok, the laboratory is Gemological Science International’s 14th location worldwide.

Those born in June have a myriad of options for their birthstone jewelry.

The diamond industry veteran has been named its senior sales executive.

The company plans to raise the prices of select watches to offset the impact of tariffs.

Between tariffs and the sky-high cost of gold, designers enter this year’s Las Vegas shows with a lot of questions and few answers.

Designed by founder Renato and his daughter Serena Cipullo, it showcases a flame motif representing unity and the power of gathering.

However, the tariffs remain in effect in the short term, as an appeals court has stayed the U.S. Court of International Trade’s decision.

The pop icon is one step closer to launching her “B Tiny” jewelry collection, a collection she first began posting about last fall.

Sponsored by Stuller

It was featured in the miner’s latest sale, which brought in $24.8 million.

GemText AI uses artificial intelligence to generate tailored product titles, descriptions, and tags with jewelry-specific language.