Here’s the Latest Government Data on Jewelry Sales
Plus, National Retail Federation Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz shares his thoughts on inflation and a possible recession.

Sales in the category in July were up 10 percent year-over-year, according to preliminary data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
Jewelry sales alone increased 10 percent year-over-year while watch sales were also up 10 percent.
In June, sales in the watch and jewelry category rose only 0.8 percent year-over-year, with jewelry sales increasing 0.9 percent and watch sales essentially flat.
Watch and jewelry sales were up 5 percent year-over-year in May and up 14 percent year-over-year in April, as per revised data.
Watch and jewelry sales for the full year are expected to continue to grow but won’t reach the highs of last year.
In 2021, dubbed by industry analyst Edahn Golan as “the year of jewelry,” sales in the category reached an estimated $115.29 billion, a 51 percent increase year-over-year, according to BEA data.
This year, as of July, full-year watch and jewelry sales are expected to reach an estimated $126.66 billion, a 10 percent year-over-year increase.
The overall economy is expected to be on a similar trajectory of slowing growth amid rising inflation and geopolitical unrest.
In the National Retail Federation’s August review, Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz gave an overview of the current economic situation.
“Today, inflation is both sky-high and on everyone’s mind,” he said.
The Consumer Price Index, which measures the average change in prices over time consumers will pay for a basket of goods and services, rose about 9 percent year-over-year in both June and July.
“Many of the forces contributing to inflation will not be unwound soon but we are seeing some potential relief as commodity and oil prices decline,” he said.
As gas prices fell, CPI was flat month-over-month in July compared with a 1 percent increase in June.
Looking at the overall economy, Kleinhenz noted that key economic indicators, including employment, retail sales, income and industrial production have slowed, but have not yet reached contraction territory.
“Clearly, demand has slowed, but the slowdown is entirely a result of towering inflation,” he said.
The Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates an unprecedented amount recently in an effort to combat inflation, but the problem is complex.
“The Fed is caught between an economic rock and a monetary policy hard place,” he said.
If the Fed doesn’t do enough, inflation rates will continue to rise, but if it goes too far in adjusting monetary policy, there could be a recession.
“Consumer reaction to interest rate hikes is hardly immediate or predictable, making it impossible to judge the effect of the Fed’s actions in real time and quickly correct any oversteering,” said Kleinhenz.
As for the remainder of 2022, he predicted inflation forecasts will continue to be “highly uncertain” and that supply constraints will factor into the second half of the year.
The NRF has not changed its full-year outlook, and still expects 2022 retail sales will grow by a range of 6-8 percent year-over-year.
“The driver of the U.S. economy is the consumer and spending has been fueled by the stronger-than-ever labor market,” he added.
For now, Kleinhenz reiterated his prediction that the U.S. should be able to avoid a recession this year.
“Despite ongoing uncertainties, we believe the underlying strength of the economy is strong enough to deal with inflation and keep a recession at bay – or short-lived even if we are wrong.”
The Latest

The company is focused on modernizing the custom jewelry buying experience with e-commerce tools like product visualization and 3D styling.

Following its recent acquisition, the storied brand has updated its leadership team and regional managers.

AGS also named the recipient of its “Women in Leadership” scholarship.

The Seymour & Evelyn Holtzman Bench Scholarship from Jewelers of America returns for a second year.

The 20-karat yellow gold and diamond wrap ring is modeled after the Monstera plants in the garden of the brand’s Miami villa.


Rocksbox President Allison Vigil shared the retailer’s expansion plans, and her thoughts on opening stores in malls.

The creator of the WJA Chicago chapter is remembered as a champion for women in the jewelry industry and a loving grandmother.

The countdown is on for the JCK Las Vegas Show and JA is pulling out all the stops.

The “Playlist: Electric Dreams” collection brings lyrics from the musician’s song, “Little Wing,” to life through fine jewelry.

The event is set for May 16-19 in Detroit, Michigan.

The Vault’s Katherine Jetter is accusing the retailer of using info she shared for a potential partnership to move into Nantucket.

Agents seized 2,193 pieces, a mix of counterfeit Cartier “Love” and “Juste Un Clou” bracelets, and Van Cleef & Arpels’ “Alhambra” design.

The designer brought her children’s book, “The Big Splash Circus,” to life through a collection of playful fine jewelry characters.

The trade association has chosen the recipients of the funding initiative it formed to foster the growth and sustainability of the industry.

The organization has also announced this year’s slate of judges.

Associate Editor Natalie Francisco shares 20 additional pieces that stood out to her at the Couture show.

Lori Tucker started at Williams Jewelers when she was 18 years old.

The “Marvel | Citizen Zenshin” watch is crafted in Super Titanium and has subtle nods to all four “Fantastic Four” superheroes on the dial.

The “XO Tacori” collection was designed to blend luxury and accessible pricing.

Pritesh Patel, the lab’s chief operating officer, will take over as president and CEO of GIA.

National Jeweler and Jewelers of America discuss the standout jewelry trends and biggest news to emerge from the shows this year.

Signatories to the “Luanda Accord” committed to allocating 1 percent of annual diamond revenue to the Natural Diamond Council.

The winning designs captured the “Radiance” theme.

Nominations in the categories of Jewelry Design, Media Excellence, and Retail Innovation will be accepted through July 30.

The singer’s ring ticks off many bridal trends, with a thick band, half-bezel setting, and solitaire diamond.

The bracelet references vintage high jewelry and snake symbolism as a playful piece where a python’s head becomes a working belt buckle.

The heist happened in Lebec, California, in 2022 when a Brinks truck was transporting goods from one show in California to another.