Sponsored by the Gemological Institute of America
NRF: Retail Sales to Increase 3 Percent in 2016
The National Retail Federation is predicting that retail industry sales will grow 3.1 percent this year as wages rise and unemployment continues to decline.
Washington--The National Retail Federation is predicting that retail industry sales, excluding automobiles, gas stations and restaurants, will grow 3.1 percent this year as wages rise and unemployment continues to decrease.
This is higher than the 10-year average of 2.7 percent, it said.
The NRF also noted that it expects non-store (direct-to-consumer, kiosks and online sales) sales in 2016 to grow between 6 and 9 percent, and for economic growth overall to likely be in the range of 1.9 to 2.4 percent this year.
“Wage stagnation is easing, jobs are being created and consumer confidence remains steady, so despite the headwinds our economy faces from international developments, particularly in China, we think 2016 will be favorable for growth in the retail industry.”--Matthew Shay, National Retail FederationAdditionally, the NRF said that employment gains should average about 190,000 jobs a month, a pace it said is down from 2015 but consistent with the labor market. By year’s end, NRF said it expects unemployment to be down to 4.6 percent.
More spending from consumers also is expected, though the NRF said that will come more from the growth in jobs than increased wages.
“Wage stagnation is easing, jobs are being created and consumer confidence remains steady, so despite the headwinds our economy faces from international developments, particularly in China, we think 2016 will be favorable for growth in the retail industry,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said.
NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz added that despite volatility in the economy in 2015, unemployment levels continued to decrease while wages went up and GDP increased by more than 2 percent. Additionally, lower gas prices are leaving consumers with more discretionary income to save, pay down debt and spend on travel, eating out and the like.
Retailers also have benefited, he said, as they continue to find ways to compete and succeed in a cost-conscious environment.
The Latest

This past year, the manufacturer said it recorded below-zero emissions per carat of natural diamond.

The brand’s “Golden Strada” statement necklace features round, marquise, and pear diamonds that sparkle like Fourth of July fireworks.

The Seymour & Evelyn Holtzman Bench Scholarship from Jewelers of America returns for a second year.

JSA’s Scott Guginsky provided a list of nine security measures jewelers should observe while locking up for the long weekend.


Located on Rodeo Drive, the store’s design was inspired by Hollywood and Los Angeles culture.

The new location continues the brand’s celebration of its 25th anniversary.

The countdown is on for the JCK Las Vegas Show and JA is pulling out all the stops.

The online watch marketplace’s “Time Is Our Thing” campaign highlights the importance of time.

She will oversee strategic planning, fundraising, industry partnerships, and the launch of the Gem Legacy Campus in Tanzania.

Working with Amazon’s Counterfeit Crimes Unit and law enforcement, Pandora helped to shut down a large-scale counterfeit network in China.

The jewelry company has closed its three California brick-and-mortar stores, as well as its online shop, for now.

The company is providing the opportunity for an FIT student to work alongside master diamond cutter Willie Lopez in its workshop.

He is remembered for his successful entrepreneurship, generosity, and dedication to his family.

The jewelry store chain has reportedly been struggling with costs related to tariffs as well as tough retail competition.

Welcome warm summer days with red hot rubies perfectly chosen as July’s birthstone.

Co-founders Afzal Imram and Lin Ruiyin brought their son’s story of a cosmic egg, toadstool, and railroad to life in their new collection.

The best time to prepare for the holiday season is right now, according to columnist Emmanuel Raheb.

This year’s winner is Morgan Keefe, who is currently studying at GIA to be a gemologist.

“The Jewelry Book” comes out this September.

The company is focused on modernizing the custom jewelry buying experience with e-commerce tools like product visualization and 3D styling.

Following its recent acquisition, the storied brand has updated its leadership team and regional managers.

AGS also named the recipient of its “Women in Leadership” scholarship.

The 20-karat yellow gold and diamond wrap ring is modeled after the Monstera plants in the garden of the brand’s Miami villa.

Rocksbox President Allison Vigil shared the retailer’s expansion plans, and her thoughts on opening stores in malls.

The creator of the WJA Chicago chapter is remembered as a champion for women in the jewelry industry and a loving grandmother.

The decline was consistent across age groups and almost all income groups, with tariffs and inflation still top of mind.