The Smart Lab: 5 Holiday Shopping Predictions for 2022
From free shipping to early shopping, Emmanuel Raheb outlines a handful of factors expected to shape the holiday season this year.
![Emmanuel Raheb is the CEO of Smart Age Solutions, a digital ad agency and coveted Premier Google Partner. Contact him at eraheb@smartagesolutions.com. 2021_Emmanuel-Raheb.jpg](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/59f696b37830243bb173e273d745e3e5.jpg)
You need to know who you customers are and which styles are most likely to sell.
You need to stay aware of the latest fashion trends and avoid buying inventory that won’t sell, especially as we move into the fourth quarter, the most wonderful time of year for many retailers.
According to Deloitte, total U.S. holiday retail sales are expected to increase 4 to 6 percent year-over-year in 2022, nearing $1.5 trillion. E-commerce sales are expected to grow between 13 and 14 percent.
That’s a huge opportunity for you to grow your jewelry business.
Remember, looking forward is always the best way to avoid going backward.
Here are five holiday shopping predictions for 2022 every jeweler should keep in mind.
1. Holiday shopping will start earlier.
Traditionally, the holiday shopping season has started the day after Thanksgiving on Black Friday.
With the growth of the internet in the early 1990s and 2000s, Cyber Monday grew into its own event.
With more and more retailers competing for the same number of customers, the promotion window has moved back even earlier, weeks or even a full month before Black Friday.
According to Statistica, only 22 percent of consumers said they would wait until Thanksgiving to start their holiday shopping, meaning 78 percent of people intend to shop much earlier.
October has become “the new Thanksgiving” and it’s not too soon to begin your promotions the last week of September, if you have a strong customer base and an appealing “early bird” offer.
In fact, you should continue running special offers and your marketing campaigns right through the holiday season and up until the end of the year.
Start early and promote often.
2. Shoppers will embrace mobile shopping.
As people become more and more accustomed to using their smartphone for everything, desktop computers have quickly become the second choice.
The primary way most people shop will be through their phones.
According to Insider Intelligence, mobile shopping sales topped $359 billion in 2021, an increase of 15 percent over 2020. This number is expected to double by 2025.
Not only is mobile shopping convenient, but the most successful websites have an excellent mobile user experience customized to each person.
Think about it—your phone is always with you, making it extremely easy to shop even if you’ve got just a few minutes to spare.
People are busy and when they need to buy a quick gift or just want to get ideas, they’ll start browsing on their phone.
Everything you do in your e-commerce strategy should be mobile first.
3. Online shopping will be an even bigger factor.
Even with physical jewelry stores reopening and many back to a full staff and normal (pre-COVID) operating hours, online shopping is not going away.
In fact, e-commerce is expected to continue to grow, as 85 percent of consumers plan to do at least some of their holiday shopping online, according to NPD.
This same study also cited that the number of people who plan to shop exclusively in brick-and-mortar stores has dropped to 14 percent today, down from 20 percent in 2019.
What caused this decline? It is the ease, speed and convenience of online shopping.
The pandemic changed buying habits and even people who would have never considered buying a high-ticket item online, don’t think twice about doing it now.
4. Free shipping will impact your holiday sales.
People have been spoiled to expect free shipping; blame Amazon.
In fact, not offering free shipping or hiding high shipping costs until too late in the checkout process is the main reason why most people abandon their cart.
No one likes a gotcha moment when they’re about to click “buy.” A nasty surprise at checkout makes it easy for customers to say, “no thanks.”
As you compete with other retailers, you need to match what they’re offering and free shipping is simply the starting point. Your holiday sales will be affected.
Consumers are increasingly looking for a unique and compelling shopping experience.
Beyond clicking through catalog pages and browsing endless styles, jewelry buyers want a better way to shop.
Even with many jewelry stores shut down during the pandemic, 45 percent of online holiday shoppers wanted to access a virtual showroom, according to LivePerson. Although people couldn’t visit the store, they still craved that personal touch you only get from behind the counter.
The pandemic created up a whole new way to shop.
Even though stores have now reopened, there’s no reason why your next customer can’t be down the street or in another state.
By offering a concierge service to your audience, you can easily personalize the shopping experience and work with them one-on-one as if they’re right in front of you.
Show engagement ring styles, explore new collections, or give them a sneak preview of your latest showcase, all from the convenience of their home. It’s a fun and great way to shop, especially for someone who needs help choosing a gift but wants a jewelry expert’s help and guidance.
As part of creating a compelling shopping experience, you’ll also need to offer in-store pick-up, ship-to-home, or same-day delivery (if the customer is local). However the customer wants to receive the item, you can personalize it to them.
In summary, although the economic outlook remains uncertain and challenging, you can look ahead to best prepare your jewelry business.
These five holiday shopping predictions are not new; they involve areas of retail that have been growing steadily.
The biggest and smartest jewelers already knew these shifts were coming because they felt the impact and could see the changes in their business.
By embracing these trends and planning for them, you’ll be best prepared to have an extremely profitable holiday season.
The Latest
![Direct-to-consumer retail brand Diamonds Direct has opened a store in the Atlanta neighborhood of Buckhead, an area known for its upscale malls. Diamonds Direct Atlanta store](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/2e6577afc9470ba1c1de327fad397366.jpg)
It’s the Signet-owned banner’s first location in Georgia.
![These “Double Loop” earrings feature a drop-cut amethyst sitting atop the lower hoop, totaling 1.60 carats between both earrings. The hoops are made of silver covered in “pistacchio” colored enamel, while 9-karat yellow gold holds the stones in place and connect the two hoops behind the earlobe ($1,770). Bea Bongiasca’s Double Loop Earrings](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/f338ef6b4603be3c97765f833b831ca0.jpg)
Commemorate “brat summer” with these green hoops.
![The skyline of downtown Providence, Rhode Island. Jewelers of America held one of its Multifacted Learning Workshops there on July 17 and National Jeweler Editor-in-Chief Michelle Graff tagged along. Stock image of Providence, Rhode Island, skyline](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/4ec5b02d4cbaaaa2283bdcf6820950a4.jpg)
Editor-in-Chief Michelle Graff returns from Rhode Island with thoughts about in-store shopping and a trends report.
![Untitled design.jpg](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/583fbcb2bb839782810080debef35d3c.jpg)
As the demand for lab-grown diamond jewelry may still be increasing, the most notable change we are likely to see is price stabilization.
Sponsored by Gemological Institute of America
![](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/99a46b30cc354962ac2e29ecd113587a.jpg)
![Earlier this month, online giant Amazon and the Better Business Bureau filed a joint federal lawsuit against ReviewServiceUSA.com for allegedly selling fake reviews, both positive and negative. Amazon package outside door](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/27fce4225a38900d54a5536ce523a22d.jpg)
They claim ReviewServiceUSA.com was selling both positive and negative reviews of products and businesses.
![A shot of the Venetia diamond mine in South Africa, owned by De Beers Group. The diamond miner and marketer saw revenue drop 21 percent and rough diamond sales decline 20 percent in a “weak” market for diamonds. De Beers’ Venetia diamond mine](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/a1f16ceaaba662e80385166060d192a7.jpg)
Lab-grown diamond sales in the United States and ongoing economic challenges in China are impacting natural diamond demand.
![1872 x 1052 Gemolite.jpg](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/9d60901b44425a53b9010301897a3bbc.jpg)
GIA®’s most advanced microscope has new features to optimize greater precision and comfort.
A longtime member of IJO, she’s remembered for her passion for design, learning, and environmentalism.
![A malachite and diamond bracelet from Pomellato’s “Pom Pom Dot” collection, launched earlier this year. Pomellato and Boucheron were bright spots for Kering in an otherwise underwhelming first half of the year. Pomellato Malachite Pom Pom Dot bracelet](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/3c237b62e009742fc52487097daf3c5a.jpg)
The gains come amid a tough time for parent company Kering, which saw sales slide 11 percent in the first half of the year.
![Volunteers and Shane Co.’s corporate team from all 22 locations of the family-owned jewelry chain have begun packing backpacks with school supplies for teachers to distribute to their students this school year. Shane Co. and the Kids in Need foundation logo](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/1c5abfb36ec775724f014f47bfbb47fc.jpg)
The fine jewelry retailer filled backpacks with back-to-school essentials for students in 13 states.
![A shot from the advertising campaign for LVMH-owned Bulgari’s “Eden the Garden of Wonders” high jewelry collection. LVMH’s jewelry and watch sales slipped in the first half of the fiscal year. Bulgari high jewelry campaign](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/c24eb75ca8cea44d2e9859648f4a98ee.jpg)
Tiffany & Co. is focusing on its “iconic” collections while the company has made changes at the top at TAG Heuer and Hublot.
![Chaumet, a Parisian jeweler owned by LVMH, has designed the Olympic and Paralympic Games medals. Chaumet Paris 2024 Olympics medals](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/7831b3a738baddfc7d783e6df0fbf796.jpg)
The Parisian brand is the first jewelry company in the history of the Olympic and Paralympic Games to design the medals.
![The acquisition of Union Life & Casualty by Jewelers Mutual will help strengthen both the pawn market and the insurance industry, said JM. Jewelers Mutual and Union Life and Casualty logos](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/195925667226ecfc51b4e1bb09607143.jpg)
Union Life & Casualty will join JM Insurance Agency Partners, expanding the provider’s pawnbroker coverage.
![The winner of this year’s Lonia Tate scholarship, Bradlei Smith will receive the opportunity to earn her Graduate Gemologist diploma from GIA and, following graduation, an internship at Ben Bridge Jeweler in Seattle. Bradlei Smith](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/996834935ae30a7a1195db8b9db6cb7d.jpg)
Los Angeles-based Bradlei Smith was selected for this year’s award.
![De Beers Group mined 6.4 million carats of diamonds in the second quarter of 2024, down from 7.6 million in the same period last year. (©De Beers Group/Photo credit: Ben Perry @ Armoury Films) De Beers rough diamond display](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/80cd02b1c8384f4b2efda0bcdf6a75e1.jpg)
The company also reported the $150 million sale of an iron ore royalty right, part of its ongoing effort to divest “non-core” assets.
![In honor of its summer bridal event, Long’s Jewelers is partnering with Wequassett Resort and Golf Club on Cape Cod in Massachusetts, and jewelry brand JB Star on a vacation giveaway. Long’s Jewelers giveaway promo](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/4e7a90944c4e8875a4f3818dbe26b28b.jpg)
The giveaway is part of the New England jeweler’s summer bridal event.
![L.A.-based flower designer, Sophia Moreno-Bunge models Guzema’s “Hidden Beauty” collection in front of a garden in Rustic Canyon in Santa Monica, California. Sophia Moreno-Bunge of Isa Isa modeling Guzema’s Hidden Beauty collection](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/6f3822623eb7fd2f6468f82825194cb1.jpg)
The ad features three celebrity florists creating floral sculptures while wearing jewelry by Guzema.
![The Entrepreneurship Grants program supports winners with financial aid to scale their businesses and increase their societal impact, said Diamonds Do Good. Pictured here are three of the 13 winners, top right is Tresia Shituula, and bottom row left to right, are Monkgogi Moshaga and Mohamed Samu. Tresia Shituula, Monkgogi Moshaga, Mohamed Samu](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/a7c9b87301b76a9446f6522747ce5b95.jpg)
The grant provided a total of $100,000 to support 13 entrepreneurs from diamond communities in Africa and India.
![Ghazi Osta, better known as Gus, was the owner and president of Volusia Gold & Diamond, a store he and his wife, Leigh Osta, opened in 1986. He was shot and killed inside the store Friday afternoon after a brief argument with a regular customer. (Photo courtesy of Volusia Gold & Diamond Facebook page) Ghazi “Gus” Michel Osta](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/c8c1fa3df746cbd364915a98dcac9d21.jpg)
Ghazi Michel Osta, or “Gus,” was killed Friday by an 83-year-old man said to be a frequent customer at his store, Volusia Gold & Diamond.
![Elyssa Jenkins-Pérez (left) is the Responsible Jewellery Council’s new head of North American development, and Effie Marinos is its new specialist advisor for technical standards. Elyssa Jenkins-Perez and Effie Marinos](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/94332af0c7a776e7a8c36fabf76baa5f.jpg)
The organization also announced Effie Marinos as its new specialist advisor for technical standards, as well as four other appointments.
![Karen Rentmeesters, who joined the Antwerp World Diamond Centre in 2010, will take on the role of CEO. Karen Rentmeesters](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/3256fcc71cd43a399055c61f68486269.jpg)
Rentmeesters has served as interim CEO since April following former CEO Ari Epstein’s resignation.
![Longtime Washington, D.C., jeweler Brian Mann (right) with his wife Jessie Mann, an artist who custom-paints porcelain Limoges Boxes, at a 2016 Jewelers of America member event. Mann, the longtime co-owner of David Mann Jewelers, died June 21 at age 70. Brian and Jessie Mann](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/be4debc6e0b3198943a66ef0e2197c2c.jpg)
Mann, whose family’s jewelry store was located inside the Pentagon, is remembered for being a thoughtful champion of the industry.
![The 1916 Company recently opened a new Tudor boutique in Denver’s Cherry Creek Shopping Center. Tudor store in Denver](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/9f8600ea53ed731963331ebd28a10d16.jpg)
The 500-square-foot boutique is located in Denver’s Cherry Creek Shopping Center.
![This necklace from Messika’s “So Move Max” set is made of yellow gold with 19.18-carats of brilliant-cut diamonds and designed with circle motifs that move within the links (price upon request). Messika’s So Move Max Necklace](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/14c78af4a4e8c6b996a81bbb5a5bc69f.jpg)
Dance all night long with the “So Move Max” set’s necklace.
![On Sept. 1, Julien Tornare (left), current CEO of TAG Heuer, will become CEO of Hublot. Antoine Pin, now the general manager of Bulgari’s watch business, will take over Tornare’s role as CEO of TAG Heuer. (Images courtesy of LinkedIn) Julien Tornare and Antoine Pin](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/b24627b34ece895ddd254bae22751fb8.jpg)
Luxury giant LVMH is reshuffling the leadership in its watches division.
![A rendering of a billboard from Etsy’s new campaign. The campaign is designed to highlight the platform’s creators and how their products are made. Etsy billboard rendering in NYC](https://uploads.nationaljeweler.com/uploads/9a94f394f326b90dc1c9da6a711c5e09.jpg)
Sellers and shoppers have spoken out against a rise in mass-produced merchandise on the platform meant to highlight handmade goods.