Editors

3 Retail Predictions for 2017

EditorsJan 11, 2017

3 Retail Predictions for 2017

There’ll be continued consolidation and a desire to experience and access, but not necessarily own, things.

20170111_predictions-blog.jpg
Continued retail consolidation, consumers’ desire for experiences and the acceleration of the “access” economy are three predictions National Jeweler’s editor-in-chief is making for 2017.

Hello, and Happy New Year. I hope that 2017 is treating you well so far.

Before 2016 ended, I rounded up the six stories I thought had the biggest impact on the jewelry market last year. Now, I offer three predictions for the year ahead.

If you have thoughts or predictions of your own, please email me or leave them in the comments below.

1. Retailers, including big chains, will continue to close. My brother worked at Sears selling ceiling fans when we were teenagers back in the 1990s. The store wasn’t very busy then, and it’s even less so now.

Sears is, or was, the place for Craftsman tools and … well, that’s actually a hard to blank to fill in because I really don’t know what exactly people would go to Sears for that they couldn’t get at Best Buy or Macy’s or Home Depot or Amazon. And that’s one of the biggest reasons this year could mark the sad end for an American institution that started as a mail-order catalog business in 1886: After losing ground for years, it never established a modern identity.

Sears won’t be the only retailer shutting down or, at the very least, consolidating in 2017, continuing a pattern that accelerated in 2016.

It’s only Jan. 10, and we’ve already seen women’s clothing retailer The Limited announce that it’s shutting down its stores and going online, and it seems likely American Apparel also will close all its stores.

In the jewelry sector, a total of 895 jewelry stores in the U.S. and Canada had shuttered by the end of the third quarter.

While there has been some discussion on Facebook lately pointing out that some of those are jewelers who switched to by-appointment or custom only, the closures still vastly outnumber the amount of new businesses opening.

In Q3, the 895 closures represented a 46 percent year-over-year increase. The number of retailers that opened in the U.S. and Canada in that same time period totaled 51, down from 62 the previous year.

In an interview last year, I asked JBT President and CEO Anthony Capuano if he sees the trend of store closures reversing itself anytime soon. He said no, adding later in the conversation that, “Retailers are really fighting for those dollars because they are fighting a whole pattern of purchasing,” meaning increased competition brought on by the internet and consumers’ changing tastes and desires (more on that below).

“You

just have to be really good to survive and prosper.”

2. The experiences will continue to be important. I’ve seen two commercials (likely caught between quarters of the Steelers’ dominating late-season run) recently that speak directly to consumers desire to do stuff instead of having stuff.

The first was for a retirement fund and the second was from Groupon, which is encouraging people to “own the experience.”

{youtube}JZkFmYrdn-A{/youtube}
In the spot, Groupon draws a line between the “haves,” people who spend their money on cars or lavish and extremely elevated bathtubs, and the “have dones,” those who spend their money on experiences, such as aerial yoga and dinners (presumably using Groupon).

Groupon launched the multi-million national advertising campaign back in May and the company’s head of marketing for North America told the Chicago Tribune that the idea behind the campaign is to expand the company’s customer base, attracting millennials, who are known to value experience over “things,” in particular.

If a consumer decides to spend money on an African safari instead of a diamond ring, I am afraid there’s not much a jeweler can do.

What they can do, however, is provide a great retail experience to the customers who are choosing jewelry over experiences.

National Jeweler columnist Peter Smith detailed three stores that are doing just that in his latest column.

3. We will see the acceleration of the “access economy.” One of my new year’s resolutions this year is to try out new things, and also to work less and enjoy life more.

Regarding the former, I am doing well thus far. I ate at a new restaurant last night and ordered from Rent the Runway for the first time.

For those of you who are not familiar, Rent the Runway is an e-commerce company (with a budding brick-and-mortar presence) that specializes in renting out dresses, jewelry and other accessories for special occasions.

Rent the Runway is part of what was once known as the sharing economy but now is called the “access economy.”

The access economy refers to goods and services being traded on the basis of access rather than ownership, a trend that has been fueled by technology. Two good examples are, as mentioned above, Rent the Runway, which gives its customers access to formal wear without having to pay full price for it, and Zipcar, which allows people to be able to use cars without having to pay to buy and maintain them.

The access economy has also consumed the music industry, as people pick streaming over buying albums in record numbers, no pun intended.

Companies like Rent the Runway and others that are part of the access economy seem poised to pick up steam in 2017.

RTR recently got $60 million from investors and will use some of that money to open stores, while Uber, Airbnb and Spotify are among the tech companies rumored to be going public in the coming year.

In some respects, fine jewelry falls outside the sphere of the access economy. No one, for example, wants to rent their engagement ring and send it back the day after their wedding.

But I think there definitely is a market for a website that rents out high-end pieces for special occasions.

Back in September, we wrote about Adorn, a website that does just this and is currently looking for a buyer.

So, if you made the same New Year’s resolution as I did this year--to try new things--maybe this is your chance.
Michelle Graffis the editor-in-chief at National Jeweler, directing the publication’s coverage both online and in print.

The Latest

Legacy emerald
SourcingAug 12, 2026
Eshed-Gemstar on the Painstaking Process of Cutting ‘The Legacy Emerald’

The gemstone supplier and manufacturer acquired the remarkable 104-gram Zambian emerald at Gemfields’ auction in May.

Surveillance image of jewelry thieves
CrimeAug 12, 2026
Elderly NYC Woman Targeted in Jewelry Swap Scheme

Two suspects offered to trade the woman a “winning” lottery ticket for her jewelry.

The Finsch Diamond Mine in South Africa, owned by Petra Diamonds Ltd.
SourcingAug 12, 2026
Another Diamond Mine Poised to Close

Finsch has been in business rescue since May, and owner Petra Diamonds said it sees no viable path forward for the mine.

1872-x-1052-July-ad (1).png
Brought to you by
Why More Jewelry Retailers Are Hosting Turnkey Estate Buying Events

Retailers are seeking new ways to attract customers, increase traffic, and create revenue – Estate buying events are a popular solution.

Stock image of gavel, handcuffs, and law books
CrimeAug 12, 2026
Jewelry Store Employee Gets 20 Years to Life in Choking Death of Boss

Michel Patrick DeSalles was sentenced after pleading guilty to the 2017 murder of Omid Gholian, who owned a jewelry store in Manhattan.

Weekly QuizAug 07, 2026
This Week’s Quiz
Test your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
Take the Quiz
Beth Miller Frederick Goldman
MajorsAug 12, 2026
Frederick Goldman Names New SVP of Sales

Longtime industry executive Beth Miller has taken on the role.

Verdura unicorn brooch
AuctionsAug 11, 2026
Verdura Unicorn Brooch With Royal Connection Up for Auction

The brooch was owned by Virginia Fortune Ryan Ogilvy, who served as a lady of the bedchamber to Queen Elizabeth II for nearly 50 years.

Brought-To-By-Article-Top-Image.jpg
Brought to you by
Wedding Band Trends 2026: Personalization Takes Center Stage

Colored gemstones, artisan finishes, mixed metals, and meaningful details are shaping demand in bridal jewelry.

Jamie Cygielman
MajorsAug 11, 2026
Signet Jewelers Selects Mattel Exec to Lead Zales, Banter

Jamie Cygielman will take on the role on Aug. 24.

Richard Moore
IndependentsAug 11, 2026
Polly’s Fine Jewelry Co-Owner Richard Moore Dies at 69

Moore, Polly’s husband, is remembered as a family man with an easygoing spirit and a love for sports and the outdoors.

National Jeweler columnists Duvall O’Steen and Jen Cullen Williams
ColumnistsAug 11, 2026
Creative Connecting: How to Sell Colored Gemstones to Gen Z

Duvall O’Steen and Jen Cullen Williams share the best ways to display, present, and explain colored gemstones to younger customers.

NAJA logo
Events & AwardsAug 11, 2026
NAJA Announces Lineup For 2026 Fall Virtual Conference

The mid-year conference for jewelry and watch appraisers will take place Sept. 5-6 on Zoom.

Honest Hands Workbench Ring Builder
TechnologyAug 10, 2026
Colorado Jeweler Launches Customization Tool He Built Himself

Honest Hands Ring Co. Founder Benjamin Bosworth shared his thoughts on jewelry technology and why AI can never replace the human element.

QVC Group logo
MajorsAug 10, 2026
QVC Exits Chapter 11 Bankruptcy, Names New Interim CEO

QVC Group President and CEO David Rawlinson is temporarily being replaced by a familiar face, former QVC CEO Mike George.

State Property Lorenz Station Bracelet
CollectionsAug 10, 2026
State Property Puts a Ripple in the ‘The Voyager’ Collection

The brand also added two one-of-a-kind brown diamond pieces to the “Sanssouci” series of its “Gardens” collection.

Ostbye receiving Vendor of the Year trophy at 2026 IJO show
MajorsAug 10, 2026
And IJO’s 2026 Vendor of the Year Is …

Ostbye took home top vendor honors at the Independent Jewelers Organization’s show, held last month in Kentucky.

1872-x-1052-July-ad (2).png
Supplier BulletinAug 07, 2026
Why More Jewelry Retailers Are Hosting Turnkey Estate Buying Events

Sponsored by Stratus Estate Buyers

Blue Nile President Pamela Cloud
MajorsAug 07, 2026
Retail Veteran Pam Cloud Appointed President of Blue Nile

Cloud, who will officially join Blue Nile on Monday, spent 26 years at Tiffany & Co. and founded jewelry brand Roseate.

Paulo Garcia
MajorsAug 07, 2026
Pandora Appoints Paulo Garcia as New CFO

Garcia will take over from the company’s current CFO, Anders Boyer, who is retiring at the end of November.

Etsy office Dumbo Brooklyn
MajorsAug 07, 2026
Etsy to Lay Off 12% of Workforce

Etsy CEO Kruti Patel Goyal explained why the company is letting go more than 200 employees as its performance improves.

Syna Star Gazer Pendant
TrendsAug 07, 2026
Look Ahead with Syna’s Binoculars Pendant

The “Star Gazer” pendant, our Piece of the Week, is Syna’s tribute to curiosity and the discovery of something new.

An interior shot of the Musee Lalique in Wingen-sur-Moder, France
CrimeAug 06, 2026
Lalique Museum to Remain Closed Following $5M Heist

Museum officials are looking to the public to help cover the “exceptional” costs involved in recovering from the July 5 smash-and-grab.

Claire’s new piercing experience
MajorsAug 06, 2026
Claire’s Revamps Piercing Services for Second Time in Three Years

The overhaul includes enhanced employee safety training and trendy earring styles, including lab-grown diamond studs.

Brilliant Earth Jane Goodall collection rings
FinancialsAug 06, 2026
Brilliant Earth’s Q2 Sales Up 6%, Driven by High-Income Shoppers

The retailer said it had its biggest Mother’s Day ever, with strong demand for higher-priced jewelry.

Handwork: Handcrafted Objects that Made America Book Cover
TrendsAug 06, 2026
New Book on Handcrafted American Objects Highlights Jewelry

“Handwork: Handcrafted Objects that Made America” features historic and contemporary works, including a Diné squash blossom necklace.

Ani Khachian
MajorsAug 06, 2026
AJA East Coast Names Ani Khachian as First Female President-Elect

The Armenian Jewelers Association’s East Coast chapter has also elected its 2026–2027 board of directors.

JCPenney storefront
MajorsAug 05, 2026
Private Equity Firm Wants to Buy 100+ JCPenney Stores

Onyx Partners has submitted a second offer to buy the department stores after its first offer fell through last year.

×

This site uses cookies to give you the best online experience. By continuing to use & browse this site, we assume you agree to our Privacy Policy