Editors

3 Retail Predictions for 2017

EditorsJan 11, 2017

3 Retail Predictions for 2017

There’ll be continued consolidation and a desire to experience and access, but not necessarily own, things.

20170111_predictions-blog.jpg
Continued retail consolidation, consumers’ desire for experiences and the acceleration of the “access” economy are three predictions National Jeweler’s editor-in-chief is making for 2017.

Hello, and Happy New Year. I hope that 2017 is treating you well so far.

Before 2016 ended, I rounded up the six stories I thought had the biggest impact on the jewelry market last year. Now, I offer three predictions for the year ahead.

If you have thoughts or predictions of your own, please email me or leave them in the comments below.

1. Retailers, including big chains, will continue to close. My brother worked at Sears selling ceiling fans when we were teenagers back in the 1990s. The store wasn’t very busy then, and it’s even less so now.

Sears is, or was, the place for Craftsman tools and … well, that’s actually a hard to blank to fill in because I really don’t know what exactly people would go to Sears for that they couldn’t get at Best Buy or Macy’s or Home Depot or Amazon. And that’s one of the biggest reasons this year could mark the sad end for an American institution that started as a mail-order catalog business in 1886: After losing ground for years, it never established a modern identity.

Sears won’t be the only retailer shutting down or, at the very least, consolidating in 2017, continuing a pattern that accelerated in 2016.

It’s only Jan. 10, and we’ve already seen women’s clothing retailer The Limited announce that it’s shutting down its stores and going online, and it seems likely American Apparel also will close all its stores.

In the jewelry sector, a total of 895 jewelry stores in the U.S. and Canada had shuttered by the end of the third quarter.

While there has been some discussion on Facebook lately pointing out that some of those are jewelers who switched to by-appointment or custom only, the closures still vastly outnumber the amount of new businesses opening.

In Q3, the 895 closures represented a 46 percent year-over-year increase. The number of retailers that opened in the U.S. and Canada in that same time period totaled 51, down from 62 the previous year.

In an interview last year, I asked JBT President and CEO Anthony Capuano if he sees the trend of store closures reversing itself anytime soon. He said no, adding later in the conversation that, “Retailers are really fighting for those dollars because they are fighting a whole pattern of purchasing,” meaning increased competition brought on by the internet and consumers’ changing tastes and desires (more on that below).

“You

just have to be really good to survive and prosper.”

2. The experiences will continue to be important. I’ve seen two commercials (likely caught between quarters of the Steelers’ dominating late-season run) recently that speak directly to consumers desire to do stuff instead of having stuff.

The first was for a retirement fund and the second was from Groupon, which is encouraging people to “own the experience.”

{youtube}JZkFmYrdn-A{/youtube}
In the spot, Groupon draws a line between the “haves,” people who spend their money on cars or lavish and extremely elevated bathtubs, and the “have dones,” those who spend their money on experiences, such as aerial yoga and dinners (presumably using Groupon).

Groupon launched the multi-million national advertising campaign back in May and the company’s head of marketing for North America told the Chicago Tribune that the idea behind the campaign is to expand the company’s customer base, attracting millennials, who are known to value experience over “things,” in particular.

If a consumer decides to spend money on an African safari instead of a diamond ring, I am afraid there’s not much a jeweler can do.

What they can do, however, is provide a great retail experience to the customers who are choosing jewelry over experiences.

National Jeweler columnist Peter Smith detailed three stores that are doing just that in his latest column.

3. We will see the acceleration of the “access economy.” One of my new year’s resolutions this year is to try out new things, and also to work less and enjoy life more.

Regarding the former, I am doing well thus far. I ate at a new restaurant last night and ordered from Rent the Runway for the first time.

For those of you who are not familiar, Rent the Runway is an e-commerce company (with a budding brick-and-mortar presence) that specializes in renting out dresses, jewelry and other accessories for special occasions.

Rent the Runway is part of what was once known as the sharing economy but now is called the “access economy.”

The access economy refers to goods and services being traded on the basis of access rather than ownership, a trend that has been fueled by technology. Two good examples are, as mentioned above, Rent the Runway, which gives its customers access to formal wear without having to pay full price for it, and Zipcar, which allows people to be able to use cars without having to pay to buy and maintain them.

The access economy has also consumed the music industry, as people pick streaming over buying albums in record numbers, no pun intended.

Companies like Rent the Runway and others that are part of the access economy seem poised to pick up steam in 2017.

RTR recently got $60 million from investors and will use some of that money to open stores, while Uber, Airbnb and Spotify are among the tech companies rumored to be going public in the coming year.

In some respects, fine jewelry falls outside the sphere of the access economy. No one, for example, wants to rent their engagement ring and send it back the day after their wedding.

But I think there definitely is a market for a website that rents out high-end pieces for special occasions.

Back in September, we wrote about Adorn, a website that does just this and is currently looking for a buyer.

So, if you made the same New Year’s resolution as I did this year--to try new things--maybe this is your chance.
Michelle Graffis the editor-in-chief at National Jeweler, directing the publication’s coverage both online and in print.

The Latest

AGTA Spectrum winners
Events & AwardsNov 06, 2025
Pink Tourmaline Bracelet, Emerald Suite Take Top Spectrum Honors

Pink and purple stones were popular in the AGTA’s design competition this year, as were cameos and ocean themes.

G. St x Jewel Boxing Raffle for City Harvest Graphic
IndependentsNov 06, 2025
Greenwich St. Jewelers Hosts Raffle Supporting Food Rescue

All proceeds from the G. St x Jewel Boxing raffle will go to City Harvest, which works to end hunger in New York City.

Courtney Cornell
IndependentsNov 06, 2025
Cornell’s Jewelers Names New President

Courtney Cornell is part of the third generation to lead the Rochester, New York-based jeweler.

20-Under-40-2025-LV.png
Brought to you by
Jewelers of America Aligns New Mission to Create Meaningful Impact for Members

From educational programs, advocacy, and recent MJSA affiliation, Jewelers of America drives progress that elevates businesses of all sizes.

Trucks at Orapa diamond mine
SourcingNov 06, 2025
De Beers’ Production, Sales Increase in Q3

De Beers also announced more changes in its upper ranks ahead of parent company Anglo American’s pending sale of the company.

Weekly QuizNov 06, 2025
This Week’s Quiz
Test your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
Take the Quiz
Ulrich Wohn
WatchesNov 05, 2025
Shinola President Steps Down Just as He Starts

Former Signet CEO Mark Light will remain president of Shinola until a replacement for Ulrich Wohn is found.

Artifex White Diamond, Fancy Dark Yellowish Brown Diamond, and Blue Sapphire Rings
AuctionsNov 05, 2025
Taylor Swift’s Engagement Ring Designer Makes Her Auction Debut

Kindred Lubeck of Artifex has three rings she designed with Anup Jogani in Sotheby’s upcoming Gem Drop sale.

Supplier Spotlight -Recorded-Webinar.png
Brought to you by
Watch: Introducing GIA Jewelry Services

Supplier Spotlight Sponsored by GIA

Tyla Pandora Talisman collection
FinancialsNov 05, 2025
Pandora Posts Modest Q3 Sales Growth Amid ‘Weak’ Consumer Sentiment

The company focused on marketing in the third quarter and introduced two new charm collections, “Pandora Talisman” and “Pandora Minis.”

Brilliant Earth Jane Goodall Peace Medallion
FinancialsNov 05, 2025
Brilliant Earth’s Q3 Sales Climb 10%

The jewelry retailer raised its full-year guidance, with CFO Jeff Kuo describing the company as “very well positioned” for the holidays.

US Supreme Court
Policies & IssuesNov 04, 2025
Supreme Court to Hear Tariffs Case Wednesday

Ahead of the hearing, two industry organizations co-signed an amicus brief urging the court to declare Trump’s tariffs unlawful.

Stuller Inc.’s Danny Clark, Matt Stuller, and Belit Myers
MajorsNov 04, 2025
Danny Clark to Become Stuller CEO, Succeeding Matt Stuller

Stuller COO Belit Myers will take on the additional role of president, with all changes effective at the start of 2026.

Headshot of National Jeweler columnist Peter Smith
ColumnistsNov 04, 2025
Peter Smith: What Do Birds Have to Do With the Price of Gold?

Smith cautions retailers against expending too much energy on things they can’t control, like the rising price of gold.

Mellerio Jardin Pierreries Necklace
TrendsNov 04, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: Fall Colors for November Birthdays

Citrine and topaz are birthstones fit for fall as the leaves change color and the holiday season approaches.

Weston Jewelers Fort Lauderdale store rendering
IndependentsNov 04, 2025
Weston Jewelers Heads to Fort Lauderdale

The family-owned jeweler will open its fourth store in Florida in late 2027.

Two of the three suspects in burglary at Queens jeweler’s home
CrimeNov 03, 2025
Men Dressed as Construction Workers Burglarize Jeweler’s Home

The NYPD is looking for three men who stole a safe and jewelry valued at $3.2 million from the home of a jeweler in Jamaica Hills, Queens.

Matthew Rosenheim
MajorsNov 03, 2025
Matthew Rosenheim Takes Over as JA Board Chair

The trade organization also announced its executive committee and five new directors.

Muse’s Have a Heart x Diamonds Do Good Collection on Flaviana Matata
CollectionsNov 03, 2025
Muse’s ‘Have a Heart’ Collab Returns, Now With DDG

The “Have a Heart x Diamonds Do Good” collection is championed by model and humanitarian Flaviana Matata and will benefit her foundation.

Christies Kashmir sapphire ring
AuctionsNov 03, 2025
Kashmir Sapphire Ring Tops Christie's Online Auction

The ring, set with a nearly 17-carat Kashmir cabochon sapphire, sold for $1 million.

Heavenly Vices Mother Father Spinner Necklace
TrendsOct 31, 2025
Piece of the Week: A Spinner Fit for ‘Frankenstein’

This “Mother Father” spinner necklace from Heavenly Vices Fine Jewelry draws inspiration from Victorian Era jewelry.

Interpol Stolen Works of Art Database, The Louvre Museum Graphic
CrimeOct 31, 2025
5 More Arrested in Louvre Heist, Jewelry Still Missing

The suspects were rounded up in Paris and its suburbs on Wednesday night, but none of the stolen jewels were recovered with them.

My Next Question webinar graphic
Recorded WebinarsOct 31, 2025
Watch: How to Master Google Reviews for Your Business

Experts share top tips on how to encourage positive reviews and handle negative feedback.

GIA iD100® Technology
Supplier BulletinOct 30, 2025
Protect Your Customers and Your Business

Sponsored by the Gemological Institute of America

Seattle PD image of Menashe & Sons Jewelers following Aug. 14 smash-and-grab robbery
CrimeOct 30, 2025
29-Year-Old Man Charged in Multiple Seattle-Area Smash and Grabs

The suspect faces charges in the August robbery of Menashe & Sons Jewelers and is accused of committing smash and grabs at two pawn shops.

Alison Lou Lumière Fine Collection On-Model
Lab-GrownOct 30, 2025
Alison Lou’s New Collection Uses Lab-Grown Diamonds and Resin

The “Lumière Fine” collection was born from designer Alison Chemla’s interest in the transformative power of light.

Buddha Mama gold skull pave huggies
TrendsOct 30, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: A Haunted Halloween

Show off your spooky side with these 12 festive jewels.

Is This Love That I’m Feeling event imagery
Events & AwardsOct 30, 2025
Jewelers Mutual to Host Jewelry Panel at Frazier History Museum

The “Brilliant & Beyond” panel coincides with the “Love & Marriage” exhibition curated by Davis Jewelers in Louisville, Kentucky.

×

This site uses cookies to give you the best online experience. By continuing to use & browse this site, we assume you agree to our Privacy Policy