Here’s What the NRF Is Saying About Valentine’s Day
The organization shared its predictions on how much consumers will be spending and on whom.

Spending for the holiday is expected to reach $25.8 billion, the results of the annual survey by NRF and Prosper Insights and Analytics shows.
The projected total is higher than last year’s forecast of $23.9 billion and marks the third-highest total in the survey’s history, not adjusted for inflation.
“Last year, consumers used Valentine’s Day to celebrate all the special relationships in their lives—from pets to friends and co-workers—and their spending reflected that,” NRF said.
“This year, while consumers still value the non-romantic relationships in their lives, they are prioritizing gifts for significant others.”
Shoppers plan to spend a record $14.2 billion on their significant others.
“Retailers are ready to help customers this Valentine’s Day with meaningful and memorable gifts,” said NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay. “With consumers prioritizing their spouse or significant other this year, retailers expect to see a shift in spending for certain gifting categories.”
The top gift cited by survey-takers was candy (57 percent), followed by greeting cards (40 percent), flowers (39 percent), an evening out (32 percent), and jewelry (22 percent.)
Clothing (21 percent) and gift cards (19 percent) round out the list.
New spending records are expected for a few categories, with spending on jewelry forecast to reach $6.4 billion, up from the expected $6.2 billion last year.
The NRF includes all jewelry sales, from fine to fashion jewelry, in its calculations, as per a spokesperson.
“While shoppers may be spending the most on jewelry, overall, the most popular gifts are the classics—candy and greeting cards,” said Prosper Insights & Analytics Executive Vice President of Strategy Phil Rist.
“We’re also seeing continued interest in gifts of experience, with about one-third of consumers planning to give a gift of experience this year.”
Spending on an evening out is predicted to reach a record $4.9 billion, followed by clothing ($3 billion) and flowers ($2.6 billion).
More than half of consumers (53 percent) plan to celebrate Valentine’s Day, compared with 52 percent last year.
Of those celebrating, 62 percent are consumers ages 25 to 34, more than any other age group.
For those not officially celebrating, 29 percent still plan to mark the day in some fashion, said NRF, opting to treat themselves to a gift or plan something with single friends or family members.
Consumers are expected to spend $185.81 each on average, nearly $8 more than the average Valentine’s Day spending over the last five years, said NRF.
The most popular place to shop for Valentine’s Day gifts is online (40 percent), up from 35 percent last year, followed by department stores (33 percent), discount stores (31 percent), and florists (17 percent).
The survey, conducted Jan. 2-8, asked 8,329 adult consumers about their Valentine’s Day shopping plans.
The Latest

The trio of Advent calendars include a version with 18-karat gold and lab-grown diamond jewelry in a red lacquer jewelry box.

Created in collaboration with Nymphenburg Porcelain, the lock is part of a four-piece collection that took two years to bring to fruition.

Jewelry industry veteran Alisa Bunger has taken on the role.

The upcoming show provides savvy retailers with the opportunity to stock their cases with best sellers in advance of the holiday season.

The company and industry leader’s two-decade tenure with De Beers will come to a close at the end of the month.


“The Winter Egg” set the world auction record for a Fabergé piece twice at previous Christie’s sales.

The company will pay 1.5x silver’s current spot price for each pound of silver oxide batteries submitted.

The line includes a “Shadow” series crafted exclusively for the new men’s offering and reimagined styles from the brand’s core collections.

The rough on offer was recovered from a newer area at the Montepuez mine.

The retailer’s new collection of engagement rings and fashion jewelry is set with natural diamonds that are traceable via blockchain.

The champagne colorway in her newest “Ombré” collection combines white and trendy brown diamonds, a departure from her usual vibrant hues.

Kosann partnered with the Museum of Fine Arts, Boston, to create a set of necklaces inspired by the artwork on samurai sword handguards.

Carlos Jose Hernandez and Joshua Zuazo face life in prison for the October 2024 murder of 72-year-old Detroit-area jeweler Hussein Murray.

The brand’s first high jewelry collection, “Tempest” plays with movement while calling to mind the folklore of the sea.

Proceeds from its jewelry raffle will go to a volunteer-run fire and rescue group in the Lightning Ridge area of New South Wales, Australia.

Stuller said the recipients embody the company’s core values, which include community participation and personal and professional growth.

Citizen’s new “Rainell” women’s watch has a raindrop-shaped case and is available with a silver-, gold-, purple-, or green-colored dial.

The “Mercedes Gleitze Rolex Oyster,” named for the British endurance swimmer who made it famous, will go up for sale next month.

Amit Pratihari was previously the managing director of De Beers India and Forevermark India.

Members of the Jewelers 24 Karat Club of Southern California will gain access to expanded services, resources, and connections, DCWC said.

Gomez’s jewelry included Tiffany & Co. drop-style earrings while Blanco stacked diamonds from Jacob & Co. on his wrist.

Diamond industry banking veteran Paul De Wachter will take on the role in January 2026.

Taylor Swift flaunts an Elizabeth Taylor-esque gemstone in promo for her new album, “The Life of a Showgirl.”

Its “Quantre Sand” capsule was made using a 3D sand printing technique borrowed from the automotive and aeronautics industries.

Four individuals have been charged in the “takeover-style” robbery of Heller Jewelers last month, and additional charges are expected.

“Radiance and Reverie” will showcase more than 150 jewels from Lane’s personal collection by Tiffany & Co., Cartier, and more.