Here’s What the NRF Is Saying About Valentine’s Day
The organization shared its predictions on how much consumers will be spending and on whom.
Spending for the holiday is expected to reach $25.8 billion, the results of the annual survey by NRF and Prosper Insights and Analytics shows.
The projected total is higher than last year’s forecast of $23.9 billion and marks the third-highest total in the survey’s history, not adjusted for inflation.
“Last year, consumers used Valentine’s Day to celebrate all the special relationships in their lives—from pets to friends and co-workers—and their spending reflected that,” NRF said.
“This year, while consumers still value the non-romantic relationships in their lives, they are prioritizing gifts for significant others.”
Shoppers plan to spend a record $14.2 billion on their significant others.
“Retailers are ready to help customers this Valentine’s Day with meaningful and memorable gifts,” said NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay. “With consumers prioritizing their spouse or significant other this year, retailers expect to see a shift in spending for certain gifting categories.”
The top gift cited by survey-takers was candy (57 percent), followed by greeting cards (40 percent), flowers (39 percent), an evening out (32 percent), and jewelry (22 percent.)
Clothing (21 percent) and gift cards (19 percent) round out the list.
New spending records are expected for a few categories, with spending on jewelry forecast to reach $6.4 billion, up from the expected $6.2 billion last year.
The NRF includes all jewelry sales, from fine to fashion jewelry, in its calculations, as per a spokesperson.
“While shoppers may be spending the most on jewelry, overall, the most popular gifts are the classics—candy and greeting cards,” said Prosper Insights & Analytics Executive Vice President of Strategy Phil Rist.
“We’re also seeing continued interest in gifts of experience, with about one-third of consumers planning to give a gift of experience this year.”
Spending on an evening out is predicted to reach a record $4.9 billion, followed by clothing ($3 billion) and flowers ($2.6 billion).
More than half of consumers (53 percent) plan to celebrate Valentine’s Day, compared with 52 percent last year.
Of those celebrating, 62 percent are consumers ages 25 to 34, more than any other age group.
For those not officially celebrating, 29 percent still plan to mark the day in some fashion, said NRF, opting to treat themselves to a gift or plan something with single friends or family members.
Consumers are expected to spend $185.81 each on average, nearly $8 more than the average Valentine’s Day spending over the last five years, said NRF.
The most popular place to shop for Valentine’s Day gifts is online (40 percent), up from 35 percent last year, followed by department stores (33 percent), discount stores (31 percent), and florists (17 percent).
The survey, conducted Jan. 2-8, asked 8,329 adult consumers about their Valentine’s Day shopping plans.
The Latest
Plus, how to apply for emergency funds and donate to recovery efforts.
A strong economy, a growing middle class with an affinity for brands, and rapid expansion of organized retail have fueled the market’s rise.
Ladell Tharpe, 39, took part in a 2022 jewelry store robbery and then posted pictures of cash on Instagram with the text “Robbery Gang.”
This fall, sharpen your skills in jewelry grading, quality control and diamond assessment.
The trade organization welcomed Sheryl Jones to its board of directors for a three-year term.
New Chief Marketing Officer Berta de Pablos-Barbier has worked for LVMH’s champagne brands and Kering-owned Boucheron.
Transition to fall with this month’s birthstones of opal and tourmaline.
Don't miss this one-stop-shop in October, curated with buyers’ needs in mind.
Sotheby’s will auction jewelry belonging to the “Diamonds Are Forever” singer Oct. 10 in Paris.
The De Beers-owned lab-grown diamond company is rebranding and creating new collections, though its long-term future remains unclear.
The collection is part of the retailer’s new “Rethink Everything You Know About Diamonds” campaign.
The sale includes the custom-made, diamond-set Audemars Piguet watch the QB wore for Netflix’s “The Roast of Tom Brady.”
The Armenian Jewellers Association is hosting its design competition for the second year, with winners showcasing at GemGenève in May 2025.
The jewelry retailer has named her successor and also will expand the role of Chief Financial Officer Joan Hilson.
The Signet Jewelers-owned banner has a new campaign and plans for store redesigns.
Creative Director Jen Insardi brings a new take on classic gold bead designs to her “Solar” collection.
The recipient, Glenn Douglass, also was inducted into the OJA Hall of Fame.
The manufacturer recognized several team members at its 2024 Milestone Anniversary Banquet.
The single-owner collection sale, which took place in New York last week, achieved $4.8 million, with almost every lot finding a buyer.
While statement pieces always shine, it’s time for everyday staples to be the star of the show.
Jewelers of America leadership and members recently headed to D.C. to share the industry’s top concerns with lawmakers.
Three members of JA's 2024 "20 Under 40" class join Amanda Gizzi and Lauren McLemore to share their tips for seasonal retail success.
The necklace, inspired by ancient artifacts, celebrates strength, endurance, and the natural world.
Rocksbox is the first banner owned by Signet to sell its jewelry through the retail giant.
“America Telling Time: 150 Years of Bulova” dives into the watchmaker’s storied past, from its ad campaigns to the first women’s wristwatch.
The new additions include flat coil rings, bracelets, and necklaces designed to layer elegantly.
65 Equity Partners has made a “significant” minority investment in the company, though founder Kendra Scott retains a majority stake.