AuctionsApr 04, 2025
25-Carat Burmese Sapphire Brooch Sells for $101KA pink topaz Belle Époque pendant-brooch and a Victorian Egyptian Revival choker were also highlights at a recent Anderson & Garland sale.
MajorsMar 02, 2020
Price of Gold Expected to Stay High in 2020
The metal is predicted to average more than $1,500 in 2020, according to a recent Reuters poll.
Gold is expected to average $1,520 an ounce in the first quarter and $1,551 overall in 2020, a recent Reuters poll shows. (Photo courtesy of United Precious Metals)
New York—Gold is predicted to average more than $1,500 an ounce in 2020, according to a recent Reuters poll, up from the $1,393 it averaged last year.
According to a precious metals price poll conducted by Reuters and shared on Refinitiv’s Eikon platform, analysts predict gold will average $1,520 in the first quarter, $1,542 in the second quarter and $1,551 for the full year.
Reuters conducts its poll every quarter, combining predictions from two dozen or more analysts. It represents an average, rather than the actual price gold hits at any point during the day.
The gold price rose dramatically in the second half of 2019, jumping from an average of $1,283.95 in May to $1,498.80 in August.
It hovered somewhere around the $1,500 mark for the rest of the year, finishing with an average price of $1,476.04 in December, according to Kitco.
The gold price rose for several reasons last year, said Johann Wiebe, a lead metals analyst on the GFMS team at Refinitiv.
Negative bond yields encouraged an appetite for gold as an investment, he said.
Also impacting the gold price was general uncertainty in the U.S. economy stemming from macroeconomic developments, like the trade dispute between the United States and China.
To date in 2020, the price of gold has hit its highest level in seven years, peaking at $1,671.65 on Feb. 24.
While it’s come down slightly since then, the metal’s price is expected to remain elevated throughout the year.
Wiebe said concerns around coronavirus will keep gold prices aloft, adding that the spread of the disease has sparked discussion about “wide macroeconomic implications.”
Automobile sales in China, for example, have plunged in the past couple of months.
The disease will have ramifications on global economic growth, and the gold price will remain elevated because of that, Wiebe said.
The current correction in the stock market also is keeping gold prices high.
Ultimately, though, he said once a vaccine is found and restrictions on travel and public gatherings are lifted, the gold price is likely to drop considerably.
Platinum and Palladium Predictions
Platinum is predicted to remain significantly less expensive than gold this year, with the Reuters poll showing the white metal will average $938 an ounce in the first quarter, $962 in the second quarter and $979 for the year.
Wiebe said a declining demand for platinum jewelry in China is having a
Editors' Picks
Sponsored by
big impact, as is the aforementioned decline in automotive demand in the country.
And, as there continues to be a move toward gasoline and electric cars, and away from diesel, platinum is coming under pressure. (Platinum is often used for catalytic converters in diesel cars.)
He noted on the supply side, producers in South Africa are making efforts to consolidate production.
However, because rhodium and palladium—both of which are doing “so incredibly well,” with prices skyrocketing—are often byproducts of platinum production, there still are some miners indicating they will continue producing and stockpiling platinum.
So, supply will stay elevated or possibly increase this year, Wiebe said, “even though it should be moving in the other direction to support prices,” while demand is expected to increase, albeit slowly.
This means, he said, there is some upside for platinum prices but “not a huge amount.”
Palladium, meanwhile, has been performing well and has been the “darling” of the industry for some years now, Wiebe said.
As emissions regulations across the world tighten, palladium demand will increase because of its use in gasoline vehicles.
The decline in car sales in China could bring the price of palladium down a bit too, but since supply won’t increase much in the next two years or so, prices for the metal will remain elevated, Wiebe said.
The Reuters poll predicts it will average $2,056 this year.
Silver Softness
The Reuters poll has silver averaging $18.45 an ounce in 2020, up from $16.21 in 2019.
While silver generally follows the gold price trend, Wiebe said when looking at the gold/silver ratio—the amount of silver it takes to purchase one ounce of gold—silver has been lagging for a few years now.
It’s currently at 95.50 as of Monday morning, according to GoldPrice.com. (Historically, it’s usually somewhere around 65 or 70, according to Wiebe.)
“I think we’re still a bit high,” he said. “I think silver is still cheap where gold’s expensive, so silver still has some potential catch-up to do there.”
But, he added, there’s a lot of silver in the market right now, which “keeps a lid on the opportunity for silver to significantly move.”
And, as there continues to be a move toward gasoline and electric cars, and away from diesel, platinum is coming under pressure. (Platinum is often used for catalytic converters in diesel cars.)
He noted on the supply side, producers in South Africa are making efforts to consolidate production.
However, because rhodium and palladium—both of which are doing “so incredibly well,” with prices skyrocketing—are often byproducts of platinum production, there still are some miners indicating they will continue producing and stockpiling platinum.
So, supply will stay elevated or possibly increase this year, Wiebe said, “even though it should be moving in the other direction to support prices,” while demand is expected to increase, albeit slowly.
This means, he said, there is some upside for platinum prices but “not a huge amount.”
Palladium, meanwhile, has been performing well and has been the “darling” of the industry for some years now, Wiebe said.
As emissions regulations across the world tighten, palladium demand will increase because of its use in gasoline vehicles.
The decline in car sales in China could bring the price of palladium down a bit too, but since supply won’t increase much in the next two years or so, prices for the metal will remain elevated, Wiebe said.
The Reuters poll predicts it will average $2,056 this year.
Silver Softness
The Reuters poll has silver averaging $18.45 an ounce in 2020, up from $16.21 in 2019.
While silver generally follows the gold price trend, Wiebe said when looking at the gold/silver ratio—the amount of silver it takes to purchase one ounce of gold—silver has been lagging for a few years now.
It’s currently at 95.50 as of Monday morning, according to GoldPrice.com. (Historically, it’s usually somewhere around 65 or 70, according to Wiebe.)
“I think we’re still a bit high,” he said. “I think silver is still cheap where gold’s expensive, so silver still has some potential catch-up to do there.”
But, he added, there’s a lot of silver in the market right now, which “keeps a lid on the opportunity for silver to significantly move.”
More on Majors
The Latest
SourcingApr 04, 2025
Mason-Kay Jade to Hold Inaugural International Jade SummitThe event, which will co-locate with the Monterey Bay Jade Festival, will bring education sessions focused on jade to the United States.
CollectionsApr 04, 2025
Piece of the Week: Heather B. Moore’s ‘Lily of the Valley’ CharmThe charm is a celebration of springtime as April showers bring May flowers with the piece’s cluster of diamond raindrops.
Brought to you by
The Heart of the Industry: Giving Bench Jewelers the Recognition They DeserveBench jewelers spend years honing their skills, Jewelers of America’s Certification validates their talents.
SurveysApr 03, 2025
2025 Retail Sales to Grow More Slowly Amid ‘Uncertainty,’ Says NRFThe National Retail Federation expects retail sales growth to return to pre-pandemic levels as consumers continue to face inflation.
Weekly QuizApr 03, 2025
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
TrendsApr 03, 2025
Tallulah Willis Imbues Antique Engagement Ring With MagicThe 4-carat, old mine brilliant-cut diamond engagement ring was co-designed by Willis and New York City-based brand Karina Noel.
SourcingApr 03, 2025
Canadian Mine Produces 158-Carat Yellow Diamond Rio Tinto unearthed the diamond at its Diavik mine in Canada’s Northwest Territories.
Brought to you by
Natural Diamonds Should Mean MoreNatural diamonds mean more than lab-grown, but when every cut is ideal, they all look the same. Customers want more—Facets of Fire delivers.
CollectionsApr 03, 2025
Buccellati to Open Immersive Exhibition in MilanThe multisensory experience, open April 8-13, will feature the brand’s silver creations among dream-like scenes of natural landscapes.
Policies & IssuesApr 03, 2025
Jewelers of America to Hold Webinar on TariffsThe virtual event will take place April 7 at 3 p.m.
CollectionsApr 02, 2025
Bea Bongiasca’s ‘Tarallo’ Collection Expansion Is a ZooThe pieces in “Animali Tarallo” portray animals from stingrays to elephants through portraits and interpretations of their patterns.
SourcingApr 02, 2025
Winston’s Collection of Natural Color Diamonds Now on Display in D.C. Ronald Winston, son of Harry Winston, donated the diamonds to the Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History in Washington, D.C.
Events & AwardsApr 02, 2025
Punchmark to Host Client WorkshopThe educational event will take place in Charlotte, North Carolina, this May.
IndependentsApr 01, 2025
Bergman Jewelers in Omaha Closing After 137 YearsThe independent jeweler first opened its doors in 1888.
Events & AwardsApr 01, 2025
U.S. Antique Shows Adds Fall Show in FloridaThe debut event will take place in Miami’s Coconut Grove neighborhood this fall.
Events & AwardsApr 01, 2025
TJS to Host Discussion on Jewelry Industry’s Labor ShortageThe roundtable will take place May 17 ahead of the trade show’s welcome dinner.
CollectionsApr 01, 2025
Monica Rich Kosann Says ‘Good Grief’ in Peanuts Jewelry CollectionThe “Peanuts x Monica Rich Kosann” collection features the comic strip’s classic vocabulary across 10 bracelet designs.
Recorded WebinarsMar 31, 2025
Watch: What Do We Mean When We Say ‘Recycled’ Gold?Three industry experts dive into the complexities of the material often marketed as an “ethical” alternative for metal in jewelry.
TrendsMar 31, 2025
Amanda’s Style File: Dripping in DiamondsDiamonds are not only one of the most prominent gemstones, but the birthstone for those born in April.
MajorsMar 31, 2025
Lashbrook Expands Into Luxury Golf Gifts With AcquisitionThe Utah-based company known for making wedding bands has acquired Doubloon Golf.
WatchesMar 31, 2025
Bulgari CEO Jean-Christophe Babin Will Also Head LVMH WatchesThe longtime luxury executive led one of LVMH’s watch brands, TAG Heuer, for 12 years before taking over Bulgari in 2013.
CrimeMar 28, 2025
2 Suspects Arrested in $1.7M Smash-and-Grab Robbery of NY Jewelry StoreAuthorities said the robbers fled with jewelry and 70 Rolex watches, later taking pictures of themselves posing with big stacks of cash.
SourcingMar 28, 2025
19th-Century Jade Book Now Available in EnglishLotus Gemology founder Richard W. Hughes has translated Heinrich Fischer’s 1880 book “Nephrit und Jadeit” from its original German.
CollectionsMar 28, 2025
Piece of the Week: Löf’s ‘The Valentine’ RingThe ring's design features contrasting lines influenced by work from architecture-inspired photographer Nikola Olic.
SurveysMar 27, 2025
Consumer Confidence Falls in March Amid ‘Gloomy’ OutlookThe Conference Board’s index fell as consumers continued to worry about the impact of tariffs, the labor market, and the price of eggs.
AuctionsMar 27, 2025
300-Year-Old Ring Linked to Witch Trial Judge Goes Unsold at Auction However, two medieval jewels surpassed estimates at Noonans Mayfair’s recent jewelry auction in London.
WatchesMar 27, 2025
Austin Butler Joins Breitling as Brand AmbassadorThe Oscar-nominated actor debuted in the campaign for the new “Top Time B31” collection, which introduced Breitling’s Caliber B31.
