EditorsApr 15, 2025
Tariffs: What We Know Right Now SurveysApr 30, 2025
Consumer Confidence Hits Pandemic-Level Low Amid Tariff Concerns
What’s really worrying U.S. consumers isn’t the present situation; it’s what the economy is going to look like six months from now.
Consumer confidence was down in April, declining 8 points to 86. The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, fell most sharply, hitting a 13-year low of 54.4.
New York—Consumer confidence fell for the fifth month in a row in April, dragged down by worries about the impact tariffs will have on prices and the economy overall.
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
Related stories will be right here …
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
The Conference Board noted that April’s decline in consumer confidence wasn’t limited to one age group, income bracket, or political party, though some groups were more concerned than others.
The Conference Board said pessimism was most pronounced among consumers ages 35-55—a mix of millennials and Gen Xers—and in households earning more than $125,000 a year.
Technology company Toluna conducts the Consumer Confidence Survey for The Conference Board every month. It is done online, drawing from a panel of more than 36 million U.S. consumers.
The cutoff date for April’s results was April 21.
As part of the survey, The Conference Board solicits write-in responses from consumers on the topics affecting their view of the economy.
In April, tariffs were top of mind for consumers, with many mentioning they are worried higher tariffs are going to mean higher prices and have an overall negative impact on the economy.
While the majority of survey respondents noted the high cost of living, some referenced declines in the price of gas and certain food items, while others mentioned stock prices and general uncertainty.
As part of the survey, consumers also are asked about what they plan to purchase in the next six months.
In April, the survey indicated that consumers are curbing plans for big purchases, for now.
On a six-month moving average basis, purchasing plans for both homes and cars declined, as did plans to take a vacation.
Plans to buy big-ticket items, including appliances and electronics, wavered in April but were mostly up on a six-month moving average basis.
Consumers also plan to curb spending on services and dining out in the months ahead, according to The Conference Board.
Editors' Picks
Sponsored by
More on Surveys
The Latest
WatchesSep 25, 2026
Smaller Rolex Watches Showing Strength on Secondary Market, Data ShowsFive of the 10 fastest-appreciating Rolex models on Bob’s Watches were Datejust 31 or Lady Datejust watches.
MajorsSep 25, 2026
Sherwood Family Buys Back Daniel’s Jewelers from Private EquityThe Sherwood family and AJS Creations CEO Tejas Shah purchased the jewelry chain back from Palladium Equity Partners.
Lab-GrownSep 25, 2026
Brilliant Earth Collabs with Elizabeth Taylor Estate on Jewelry Collection“The Elizabeth Taylor Collection” uses lab-grown diamonds and gemstones in contemporary designs inspired by the icon.
Brought to you by
Meet Gemology’s Next Generation Microscope: GIA® Gemolite® NXT Professional EditionExperience gemstones with greater precision and comfort than ever before.
TrendsSep 25, 2026
A Peek at Taylor Swift’s Game-Day DiamondsThe artist wore Dana Rebecca Designs’ marquise diamond-set gold hoops at the Chiefs game last Sunday. Now they’re our Piece of the Week.
Weekly QuizSep 25, 2026
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
CrimeSep 24, 2026
From Conclave: Security Measures Jewelers Should Be TakingJSA and Jewelers Mutual shared advice on spotting suspicious behavior, combatting cell phone jammers, and staying safe at home.
Brought to you by
Your Piece Could Be the One Editors Talk AboutSubmit your pieces for a chance to win in this year's competition.
AuctionsSep 24, 2026
8-Carat Blue Diamond Heads to UK Jewelry AuctionThe fancy light blue diamond is estimated to fetch up to $2.6 million at Elmwood’s next week.
TrendsSep 24, 2026
This New Jewelry Book Decodes the Secret Meaning in Victorian Jewelry“Secret Language of Victorian Jewelry” unveils the meaning behind the symbols, motifs, and gemstones used in Victorian-era jewelry.
Lab-GrownSep 24, 2026
Kira Jewels Opens B2B E-Commerce Portal for Lab-Grown Diamond Jewelry KIRAJewels.one gives retailers access to more than 500 SKUs of lab-grown diamond rings, earrings, necklaces, and bracelets.
TrendsSep 23, 2026
Holiday Diamond Jewelry Trends: Layered Looks, PersonalizationThis holiday season, look to pieces that will help to fill out customers’ everyday diamond jewelry wardrobe, experts say.
SourcingSep 23, 2026
Organization That Promotes Natural Diamond Rebrands for Third Time The Natural Diamond Council is now The Diamond Collective and has announced a new strategy under CEO Amber Pepper.
IndependentsSep 23, 2026
This Milwaukee-Area Jeweler Is Serving the 7CsPaul’s Jewelers sells coffee, chocolate, and cookies from a custom gold-wrapped trailer parked outside the store starting at 7 a.m.
MajorsSep 23, 2026
Kay Jewelers’ New Campaign Goes ‘All In’ on LovePart of its brand relaunch, the marketing around the campaign includes a contest involving a jacket set with 550 diamonds.
Events & AwardsSep 23, 2026
Tiffany & Co. Exhibition Opening at Arkansas Museum The curation, opening soon at the Crystal Bridges Museum of American Art, honors the jeweler’s heritage through a distinctly American lens.
CollectionsSep 23, 2026
Pucker Up for Pandora’s New Pat McGrath Jewelry CollabThe jewelry giant has partnered with the famed makeup artist to create a colorful new collection of charms and rings.
IndependentsSep 23, 2026
Texas Jewelers Association to Celebrate 120th AnniversaryThe association will mark the milestone at its convention next month.
IndependentsSep 23, 2026
Sissy’s Log Cabin’s ‘Back to School and Bling’ Event ReturnsThe jeweler donated school supplies to Memphis, Tennessee, students during the event combining basketball and mentorship.
MajorsSep 22, 2026
Foundrae’s Lawsuit Against Pandora Can Continue, Court RulesA federal judge denied Pandora’s motion to dismiss Foundrae’s claim for copyright infringement of its medallions.
ColumnistsSep 22, 2026
Peter Smith: Our Struggle With Emotional SellingPeople aren’t thinking rationally when they are buying luxury products, and we shouldn’t be selling them that way, Peter Smith writes.
IndependentsSep 22, 2026
Constance Polamalu Named to '40 Under 40' ListThe Baltimore Business Journal recognized the entrepreneur for her leadership in business and the jewelry industry.
GradingSep 22, 2026
GCAL by Sarine Opens New Lab in MumbaiThe facility is located within SEEPZ and is GCAL by Sarine’s second location in India, joining its existing grading lab in Surat.
Events & AwardsSep 22, 2026
NYCJAOS Returns for Autumn EditionThe four-day show is slated for Nov. 19-22 at the Metropolitan Pavilion in New York City’s Chelsea neighborhood.
AuctionsSep 21, 2026
Ultra-Rare Cartier Cheich Watch Sells for $3.4M Offered at Sotheby’s Hong Kong, the one-of-a-kind white gold watch now holds the title of most valuable Cartier wristwatch sold at auction.
MajorsSep 21, 2026
Longtime Industry Executive Pamela Bernstein-Gulla to RetireBernstein-Gulla has been working in the jewelry industry for 40 years, most recently as chief engagement officer for Hill & Co.
IndependentsSep 21, 2026
Bhindi Jewelers Moves Into New, Larger California StoreThe relocated Glendale store, now at The Americana at Brand, was designed to be a contemporary “timepiece haven” inspired by luxury resorts.
