EditorsApr 15, 2025
Tariffs: What We Know Right Now SurveysApr 30, 2025
Consumer Confidence Hits Pandemic-Level Low Amid Tariff Concerns
What’s really worrying U.S. consumers isn’t the present situation; it’s what the economy is going to look like six months from now.
Consumer confidence was down in April, declining 8 points to 86. The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, fell most sharply, hitting a 13-year low of 54.4.
New York—Consumer confidence fell for the fifth month in a row in April, dragged down by worries about the impact tariffs will have on prices and the economy overall.
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
Related stories will be right here …
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
The Conference Board noted that April’s decline in consumer confidence wasn’t limited to one age group, income bracket, or political party, though some groups were more concerned than others.
The Conference Board said pessimism was most pronounced among consumers ages 35-55—a mix of millennials and Gen Xers—and in households earning more than $125,000 a year.
Technology company Toluna conducts the Consumer Confidence Survey for The Conference Board every month. It is done online, drawing from a panel of more than 36 million U.S. consumers.
The cutoff date for April’s results was April 21.
As part of the survey, The Conference Board solicits write-in responses from consumers on the topics affecting their view of the economy.
In April, tariffs were top of mind for consumers, with many mentioning they are worried higher tariffs are going to mean higher prices and have an overall negative impact on the economy.
While the majority of survey respondents noted the high cost of living, some referenced declines in the price of gas and certain food items, while others mentioned stock prices and general uncertainty.
As part of the survey, consumers also are asked about what they plan to purchase in the next six months.
In April, the survey indicated that consumers are curbing plans for big purchases, for now.
On a six-month moving average basis, purchasing plans for both homes and cars declined, as did plans to take a vacation.
Plans to buy big-ticket items, including appliances and electronics, wavered in April but were mostly up on a six-month moving average basis.
Consumers also plan to curb spending on services and dining out in the months ahead, according to The Conference Board.
Editors' Picks
Sponsored by
More on Surveys
The Latest
CrimeApr 22, 2026
New Mexico Couple Pleads Guilty to Selling Fake Native American JewelryThe pair falsely claimed their jewelry was made by Navajo artists, but it was imported from Vietnam.
AuctionsApr 22, 2026
Roberta Flack’s Jewelry Is Going Up for AuctionJulien’s Auctions is selling the musician’s fine and fashion jewelry alongside her clothing, gold records, and other memorabilia.
CollectionsApr 22, 2026
British Museum Curator Pens Book on ‘The Tudor Heart’Rachel King’s book dives into the history of the pendant believed to have belonged to Henry VIII and his first wife, Katherine of Aragon.
Brought to you by
Discover Timeless Treasures: A Showcase of Antique Jewelry & Timepieces in Las VegasGain access to the most exclusive and coveted antique pieces from trusted dealers during Las Vegas Jewelry Week.
Events & AwardsApr 22, 2026
Here’s What Sy Kessler Has on Tap for Las Vegas The company will have deals on precious metals testers as well as the latest in lab-grown diamond detection technology and security.
Weekly QuizApr 16, 2026
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
WatchesApr 21, 2026
Coco Chanel Enters the Game with New Watch CollectionGabrielle “Coco” Chanel is a character in the “Coco Game” collection of watches and the queen in its first haute horlogerie chessboard.
IndependentsApr 21, 2026
Meet Jewelers of America’s 2026 ‘20 Under 40’ ClassThe annual list honors rising professionals on the retail and supply sides of the jewelry industry.
Brought to you by
Las Vegas Antique Jewelry & Watch Show: Showcasing the Most Collectible Merchandise from Across the GlobeGain access to the most exclusive and coveted antique pieces from trusted dealers during Las Vegas Jewelry Week.
CrimeApr 21, 2026
Customs Nabs 1,500 Pieces of Counterfeit Jewelry Bound for NYCSeized in Kentucky, the packages include fake Cartier, Tiffany & Co., Chanel, and Fendi jewelry.
CrimeApr 20, 2026
Queens Man Convicted in Bludgeoning Death of Pawn Shop OwnerRodolfo Lopez-Portillo faces 25 years to life in prison after being found guilty in the March 2022 beating death of Arasb Shoughi.
TrendsApr 20, 2026
Beth Bernstein, Sonia Esther Soltani Pen New Jewelry Book“Jewelry Creators: Dynamic Duos and Generational Gems” highlights the relationships among 22 influential designers, brands, and gem dealers.
Events & AwardsApr 20, 2026
Atlanta Jewelry Show’s Spring Event Is Hitting the RoadThe AJS Spring 2027 show will be held in Savannah, Georgia, with future shows taking place in other Southeast cities.
MajorsApr 20, 2026
Kendra Scott Names New CFO, Chief Business OfficerThe jewelry retailer plans to open 20 new stores this year and expand into new product categories.
TrendsApr 17, 2026
New (Groundbreaking) Floral Jewelry for Spring 2026Flower motifs are the jewelry trend blooming amongst the new collections that debuted this spring.
MajorsApr 17, 2026
QVC Group Files for Chapter 11 BankruptcyThe retailer reported an 8 percent decline in annual sales as it struggles under the weight of billions of dollars of debt.
CollectionsApr 17, 2026
Edina Kiss’ Earrings Are the Devil on Your ShoulderThe “Devil” drop earrings, our Piece of the Week, are part of designer Edina Kiss’ new namesake jewelry line that she will show at Couture.
CrimeApr 17, 2026
FBI Issues Warning to Refineries, Retailers Due to High Price of GoldThe alert states that burglary crews are targeting jewelry businesses and details how jewelers and refineries can protect themselves.
WatchesApr 16, 2026
Cartier Brings Back the RoadsterThe “watchmaker of shapes” debuted the reworked version of the vintage sports car-inspired timepiece at Watches & Wonders.
IndependentsApr 16, 2026
Edge Retail Academy Updates Leadership TeamAs demand for jewelry retail coaching grows, the company has established a dedicated business coaching leadership team.
MajorsApr 16, 2026
Stuller’s Latest Mountings Catalog Is Out NowThe “Mountings 2026-2027” catalog showcases Stuller’s largest and most diverse assortment to date with more than 400 new mounting styles.
PodcastsApr 15, 2026
Episode 4: The Natural Diamond DilemmaSally Morrison and Mark Klein discuss De Beers’ first beacon in 16 years and the mistake the industry made with lab-grown diamonds.
MajorsApr 15, 2026
Spark Creations’ Randy McKenzie Dies at 72 McKenzie spent 45 years with Spark Creations and is remembered for being kind, dedicated, and hardworking.
WatchesApr 15, 2026
These Are the New Rolex Watches for 2026Rolex focused exclusively on the Oyster Perpetual this year, as the model is celebrating its 100th anniversary.
FinancialsApr 15, 2026
Kering’s Jewelry Shines in Q1, Gucci’s Struggle ContinuesThe luxury giant discussed the Middle East conflict and its transformation plans, hinting at a stronger jewelry presence in North America.
SourcingApr 15, 2026
Diamond Club West Coast Names 2026 BoardKalpesh Jhaveri was re-elected as president for a third year.
TechnologyApr 15, 2026
This Jewelry Brand’s Video Series Is Up for a Webby Award“Diamond Divas,” a social media reality series by Shahla Karimi Jewelry, is nominated in the “Best Social: Fashion & Beauty” category.
SourcingApr 14, 2026
De Beers Expands ‘Desert Diamonds’ Beacon Into BridalThe campaign seeks to reignite desire for natural diamond engagement rings by highlighting the “distinct character” of warm-toned diamonds.
