EditorsApr 15, 2025
Tariffs: What We Know Right Now SurveysApr 30, 2025
Consumer Confidence Hits Pandemic-Level Low Amid Tariff Concerns
What’s really worrying U.S. consumers isn’t the present situation; it’s what the economy is going to look like six months from now.
Consumer confidence was down in April, declining 8 points to 86. The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, fell most sharply, hitting a 13-year low of 54.4.
New York—Consumer confidence fell for the fifth month in a row in April, dragged down by worries about the impact tariffs will have on prices and the economy overall.
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
Related stories will be right here …
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
The Conference Board noted that April’s decline in consumer confidence wasn’t limited to one age group, income bracket, or political party, though some groups were more concerned than others.
The Conference Board said pessimism was most pronounced among consumers ages 35-55—a mix of millennials and Gen Xers—and in households earning more than $125,000 a year.
Technology company Toluna conducts the Consumer Confidence Survey for The Conference Board every month. It is done online, drawing from a panel of more than 36 million U.S. consumers.
The cutoff date for April’s results was April 21.
As part of the survey, The Conference Board solicits write-in responses from consumers on the topics affecting their view of the economy.
In April, tariffs were top of mind for consumers, with many mentioning they are worried higher tariffs are going to mean higher prices and have an overall negative impact on the economy.
While the majority of survey respondents noted the high cost of living, some referenced declines in the price of gas and certain food items, while others mentioned stock prices and general uncertainty.
As part of the survey, consumers also are asked about what they plan to purchase in the next six months.
In April, the survey indicated that consumers are curbing plans for big purchases, for now.
On a six-month moving average basis, purchasing plans for both homes and cars declined, as did plans to take a vacation.
Plans to buy big-ticket items, including appliances and electronics, wavered in April but were mostly up on a six-month moving average basis.
Consumers also plan to curb spending on services and dining out in the months ahead, according to The Conference Board.
More on Surveys
The Latest
EditorsJul 29, 2026
Q&A: The Past and Future of Angola’s Diamond Industry Endiama Commercial Director Elton Escrivão knows people have a lot of misperceptions about Angola. He wants to change that.
MajorsJul 29, 2026
Kevin Reilly Retires After 39 Years in the Jewelry Industry Reilly has been with PGI USA for the last 20 years, leading partnership development and professional education.
FinancialsJul 29, 2026
Kering’s H1 Jewelry Sales Up 14%Boucheron reached record sales while Pomellato found success in its signature collections.
Brought to you by
Why More Jewelry Retailers Are Hosting Turnkey Estate Buying EventsRetailers are seeking new ways to attract customers, increase traffic, and create revenue – Estate buying events are a popular solution.
Events & AwardsJul 29, 2026
Lauren Harwell Godfrey Designs a Flag for ArkansasShe was one of more than 120 American designers who created flags for the “United Flags of Fashion” project led by CFDA and Vogue.
Weekly QuizJul 23, 2026
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
ColumnistsJul 28, 2026
Peter Smith: Why Your Job Postings May Be Working Against You Smith reveals the method The Retail Smiths use to help retailers and vendors write better job postings.
FinancialsJul 28, 2026
Tiffany & Co., Bulgari Lead the Way for LVMH in H1LVMH’s jewelry and watch brands outperformed the company’s other divisions in an environment the company described as “disrupted.”
Brought to you by
Wedding Band Trends 2026: Personalization Takes Center StageColored gemstones, artisan finishes, mixed metals, and meaningful details are shaping demand in bridal jewelry.
CollectionsJul 28, 2026
Lionheart’s New Collection Unites Spiritual Iconography“Sacred Heart” features symbols like crosses, angel wings, the Star of David, and the evil eye as a representation of coexistence.
Events & AwardsJul 28, 2026
The Edge Funding 2 Scholarships Via 24 Karat Club SEUS The scholarships will go to early-career professionals looking to study gemology, bench work and jewelry design, or store operations.
SourcingJul 27, 2026
‘Rubies’ Goes on Display at Harvard MuseumThe exhibition reveals the gemology, geology, and cultural history of the iconic red gemstone.
Policies & IssuesJul 24, 2026
New Trump Tariffs: What They Mean for Jewelry The new sweeping slate of tariffs impacts 60 countries, including India, China, Thailand, Hong Kong, and the United Arab Emirates.
TrendsJul 24, 2026
Amanda’s Style File: Ode to ‘The Odyssey’From coin pendants to diamond shields, these old world-inspired jewels are the perfect accessory for an epic journey.
TrendsJul 24, 2026
Courtney Leidy’s Silk Cord Pendants Center Unexpected Pairings Our Piece of the Week pairs a checkerboard-cut amethyst with an ivy green silk cord.
PodcastsJul 23, 2026
Episode 7: Reinhold Jewelers on the Power of RelationshipsMildred Marcano Abrams and Yael Reinhold join the podcast to talk community connections, holiday plans, and preserving Reinhold’s legacy.
SourcingJul 23, 2026
De Beers’ Production Jumps 88 Percent in Q2 Production also was up in the first half of 2026 but is expected to “substantially” decrease in H2 as two key mines undergo maintenance.
CollectionsJul 23, 2026
Silvia Furmanovich’s New Collection Travels Back to the 1920s“Art Deco” fuses ancestral techniques, rare materials, and modern perspectives as a tribute to the optimism and curiosity of the movement.
IndependentsJul 23, 2026
Sissy's Log Cabin Opens Casino StoreThe jeweler’s newest store is inside Arkansas’ Saracen Casino Resort.
WatchesJul 23, 2026
Movado Inks Licensing Deal With Kate Spade New YorkThe watch company will design, manufacture, and distribute Kate Spade New York watches.
Policies & IssuesJul 22, 2026
Trump to Put 50% Tariff on Canadian Goods The higher tax is set to go into effect in August and will apply to loose polished diamonds as well as precious and base metals jewelry.
CollectionsJul 22, 2026
Monica Rich Kosann’s High Jewelry Is FruitfulThe “Enchanted Garden” series features a cherry, lemon, and pear that each hold a little secret inside.
IndependentsJul 22, 2026
Liljenquist Beckstead Opens Rolex New BoutiqueIt’s located in Tysons Galleria, an upscale shopping center in the Washington, D.C., metro area.
Events & AwardsJul 22, 2026
NY Now Returns in August Under New OwnershipThe show, recently acquired by Rockview Management Group, will be held at New York City’s Javits Center from Aug. 2-4.
ColumnistsJul 21, 2026
Sherry Smith: Shattering the Illusion of the ‘Either/Or’ Diamond MarketSmith offers retailers guidance on creating an environment where natural and lab-grown diamonds can both thrive.
Events & AwardsJul 21, 2026
Apollo Funds Completes Emerald AcquisitionFormer Emerald President and CEO Hervé Sedky has transitioned to the role of senior advisor.
CollectionsJul 21, 2026
Graff’s New Butterfly High Jewelry Brooches MetamorphosizeThe 12-piece capsule collection transforms from brooches to pendants.
SourcingJul 21, 2026
Anglo Reportedly Selects Gareth Penny’s Consortium as Top Bidder for De BeersA Botswana government official told lawmakers Anglo has selected The Global Diamond Consortium, an entity chaired by Penny, to buy De Beers.
