EditorsApr 15, 2025
Tariffs: What We Know Right Now SurveysApr 30, 2025
Consumer Confidence Hits Pandemic-Level Low Amid Tariff Concerns
What’s really worrying U.S. consumers isn’t the present situation; it’s what the economy is going to look like six months from now.
Consumer confidence was down in April, declining 8 points to 86. The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, fell most sharply, hitting a 13-year low of 54.4.
New York—Consumer confidence fell for the fifth month in a row in April, dragged down by worries about the impact tariffs will have on prices and the economy overall.
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
Related stories will be right here …
On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell by 8 points in April to 86, a level not seen since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, noted Stephanie Guichard, a senior economist with The Conference Board.
While the Present Situation Index fell less than a point, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ six-month economic outlook, dropped sharply.
The Present Situation Index slipped 0.9 points to 133.5, while the Expectations Index fell by almost 13 points to 54.4.
That is the lowest level The Conference Board has recorded since October 2011 and below the threshold of 80, which usually signals a recession is coming.
Guichard said consumer confidence was down across all three components of the Expectations Index—business conditions, employment prospects, and future income—reflecting “pervasive pessimism about the future.”
“Notably, the share of consumers expecting fewer jobs in the next six months (32 percent) was nearly as high as in April 2009, in the middle of the Great Recession,” she said.
“In addition, expectations about future income prospects turned clearly negative for the first time in five years, suggesting that concerns about the economy have now spread to consumers worrying about their own personal situations. However, consumers’ views of the present have held up, containing the overall decline in the Index.”
The Conference Board noted that April’s decline in consumer confidence wasn’t limited to one age group, income bracket, or political party, though some groups were more concerned than others.
The Conference Board said pessimism was most pronounced among consumers ages 35-55—a mix of millennials and Gen Xers—and in households earning more than $125,000 a year.
Technology company Toluna conducts the Consumer Confidence Survey for The Conference Board every month. It is done online, drawing from a panel of more than 36 million U.S. consumers.
The cutoff date for April’s results was April 21.
As part of the survey, The Conference Board solicits write-in responses from consumers on the topics affecting their view of the economy.
In April, tariffs were top of mind for consumers, with many mentioning they are worried higher tariffs are going to mean higher prices and have an overall negative impact on the economy.
While the majority of survey respondents noted the high cost of living, some referenced declines in the price of gas and certain food items, while others mentioned stock prices and general uncertainty.
As part of the survey, consumers also are asked about what they plan to purchase in the next six months.
In April, the survey indicated that consumers are curbing plans for big purchases, for now.
On a six-month moving average basis, purchasing plans for both homes and cars declined, as did plans to take a vacation.
Plans to buy big-ticket items, including appliances and electronics, wavered in April but were mostly up on a six-month moving average basis.
Consumers also plan to curb spending on services and dining out in the months ahead, according to The Conference Board.
More on Surveys
The Latest
CollectionsApr 08, 2026
Hearts On Fire Celebrates 30 Years By Asking a QuestionThe “What’s Your Signature?” campaign invites women to think about how they see themselves.
SourcingApr 08, 2026
Sale of 42-Carat Blue Diamond Gives Petra a Boost in Q3The big diamond’s sale added to the company’s revenue though the market remains “challenging” overall, particularly for smaller goods.
Events & AwardsApr 08, 2026
AGS Confluence Returns with AI, Sustainability SessionsRob Bates of The Jewelry Wire will also moderate a panel on the state of the jewelry industry during the virtual event.
Brought to you by
Protect Your Customers and Your BusinessYou deserve to know what you are selling–to protect your customers as well as your business and your reputation.
Events & AwardsApr 08, 2026
TJS to Honor 2 Longtime Former Stuller EmployeesThe Jewelry Symposium will honor two industry veterans with lifetime achievement awards at its upcoming May event.
Weekly QuizApr 02, 2026
This Week’s QuizTest your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
TrendsApr 08, 2026
Amanda’s Style File: April’s Brilliant Birthstone With their durability, brilliance, and beauty, diamonds are the perfect stone for everyday birthstone jewelry.
MajorsApr 07, 2026
QVC Group’s Latest Filing Calls Its Future Into QuestionThe retailer failed to file its annual report on time and said it may issue a going concern warning.
Brought to you by
Is This You? Every Jeweler Has This Problem; We Have the Solution.Every jeweler faces the same challenge: helping customers protect what they love. Here’s the solution designed for today’s jewelry business.
ColumnistsApr 07, 2026
Peter Smith: A Tip to the Post Office on Workplace CultureSmith recounts a recent trip to the post office that included an uncomfortable, embarrassing, and public exchange between two employees.
GradingApr 07, 2026
GIA CFO David Tearle to Retire in June John Cowley, who has more than 30 years of experience, is succeeding Tearle as the lab’s chief financial officer.
CollectionsApr 07, 2026
Nerd Out Over Gemology Geek’s First Jewelry CollectionFounder Erica Silverglide has designed 35 colorful pieces set with fluorescing gemstones for the brand's first finished jewelry offering.
CollectionsApr 07, 2026
Ukrainian Jewelers Highlighted In New Book“Ukrainian Jewelry | Contemporary Jewelry and Art Jewelry from Ukraine” features 33 contemporary Ukrainian designers and studios.
CollectionsApr 06, 2026
Fope’s New Jewelry Debuts Are Golden“The Golden Now” campaign celebrates the here and now with the brand’s signature styles and a selection of its new pieces.
MajorsApr 06, 2026
Kecia Caffie, Corinne Bentzen No Longer With Signet JewelersSignet confirmed that Caffie, president of Zales and Banter, and Bentzen, who headed Blue Nile, have left the company.
CollectionsApr 06, 2026
Historian Tanzy Ward Pens Book on Black Victorians’ JewelryThe antique jewelry dealer talks about the importance of including Black Americans in jewelry history and preserving their stories.
SourcingApr 06, 2026
Gemfields Reports $51M Loss in 2025Both its mines faced challenges last year, from operational issues to disruptions in the market.
CollectionsApr 03, 2026
Taylor Swift’s ‘Elizabeth Taylor’ Video Puts Jewelry Front and CenterIconic pieces, like the Mike Todd Diamond Tiara, appear in the superstar’s new music video for her song inspired by the actress.
MajorsApr 03, 2026
Saks Global Says It Will Emerge From Bankruptcy This SummerThe luxury retailer, which went Chapter 11 in January, announced Thursday that it has secured $500 million in exit financing.
Events & AwardsApr 03, 2026
JCK Luxury, NouvelleBox Partner on New Designer BallroomThe NouvelleBox ballroom will feature independent jewelry designers, including Lene Vibe, Wyld Box Jewelry, and Kiaia Limited.
CollectionsApr 03, 2026
Buddha Mama Brings Its ‘Moon’ Locket To DallasThe one-of-a-kind locket, our Piece of the Week, opens to reveal three hidden images to keep close to your heart.
MajorsApr 02, 2026
Pandora Opens New Canadian Distribution Center Amid Tariff ConcernsThe new facility was also designed to better serve its growing customer base in Canada.
TrendsApr 02, 2026
Michelle Yeoh Fronts New Mikimoto Campaign The campaign is a tribute to the year 1893, when Kokichi Mikimoto created the world’s first cultured pearl.
GradingApr 02, 2026
GIA Debuts New Campus in TaiwanIt is the only GIA school to offer the GIA Graduate Gemologist program in Chinese.
MajorsApr 02, 2026
DCA Launches ‘Second Spark’ Workforce InitiativeThe initiative connects veterans and parents returning to the workforce with careers in jewelry retail.
MajorsApr 02, 2026
Hoover & Strong Names New National Sales RepresentativeThe wholesale manufacturer and precious metals refiner has appointed Michael Angelo as its new national sales representative.
MajorsApr 01, 2026
Foundrae Sues Pandora for Allegedly Copying Its Medallion DesignsFoundrae also accused the jewelry giant of copying its mood board style of marketing.
AuctionsApr 01, 2026
John Jacob Astor IV’s Titanic Pocket Watch Heads to AuctionA Patek Philippe for Tiffany & Co. timepiece owned by the American businessman who died on the Titanic will be offered at Freeman's Chicago.
