Independents

Column: How to Build an Effective Sales Plan

IndependentsJul 12, 2016

Column: How to Build an Effective Sales Plan

Forecasting business growth without any sort of tangible plan on exactly how a company will reach those sales goals is baseless, Peter Smith says.

2016-Peter_Smith_copy.jpg
Peter Smith has more than 30 years of experience building wholesale and retail sales teams. He currently is president of Vibhor Gems.


I had dinner in New York this past week with a young road salesman. He is, in many ways, an anomaly as there are precious few young people coming into our business. He asked me why I thought so many sales reps seemed to go from job to job in our industry, rarely staying any length of time with the same company.

There are, of course, a great many reasons why that happens--lack of fit in that particular culture (ask me about that one sometime over a glass or three of Pinot Noir!), promises made and unfulfilled on both sides, under-performance by the rep or under-delivery by the company and so on and so forth.

It seems to me, however, that the biggest reason for the revolving door has to do with irrational expectations on the part of the hiring company. The phenomenon is particularly widespread on the wholesale and branded side of our business, but it also is related to an issue that I see frequently on the retail side too. It is what Pulitzer Prize-winning economist and eminent psychologist Daniel Kahneman calls delusional optimism. In short, it means that we create a set of expectations that are not connected to anything more than hope and happenstance.

The thinking goes, if I did X amount of business last year, then it necessarily follows that I should do X plus 20 percent, or whatever number you dream up, this year. While the outcome is completely different on the two sides of the equation--the wholesaler tends to pull the trigger too fast and rid themselves of the “failing” sales person, and the retailer tends to hold onto him for 10 years--the illogic of goal setting is all too often flawed in the extreme. The burden of failure falls heavily on the salespeople who, if truth be told, were wearing wings and sporting halos when they first were interviewed.

I recently heard of a company that lowered its prices and predicted that sales would triple as a consequence. Since we don’t have a crystal ball, we can only surmise what the outcome of that action might be. But Kahneman cites numerous studies in his ground-breaking book, Thinking Fast And Slow, that show price reductions actually result in a 15 percent decrease in business, not an increase and certainly not triple the business.

Whether that particular company will buck the trend and realize
positive gains on their initiative is neither here nor there. What is interesting is the irrationality that tends to govern how we arrive at goals and, to wit, hold people like my young friend accountable for deliverables that are nothing more than wishful thinking.

Goal setting is, without a shadow of a doubt, an inexact science. We can and should look at past performance as a frame of reference, but doing so in and of itself is hardly sufficient to establish that your company or store ought to grow X percent in the coming year. Growing a businesses is, at its most basic level, a function of two things: either selling more stuff to your current customers, or acquiring more customers to whom you can sell products. A combination of the two, of course, is ideal.

Understanding how to impact those two outcomes is where many companies seem to fall short. Rather than getting their teams around a table and working the issue, they lazily and irrationally foist an increase on to the previous year’s result and expect that by some form of osmosis, it will be magically delivered.

To logically forecast sales goals, you have to invest the necessary time in working it with your team. You’ve got to break it down to its lowest common denominator and have a very clear and specific plan for how the number will be met.
“Planning an increase in business is not always the best plan. Sometimes the model is broken and the business needs to be rebuilt from the foundation up ... Adding more floors onto a fractured foundation is never a good idea.”
Doing more business with your existing customers means that you will not see any decline in their frequency or loyalty to your business (how is your customer retention?) and that your average sale to each will be greater than the previous year. That can happen by selling them more units, or by selling them the same number of units at a higher price.

So ask yourself, why will my customers spend more per transaction? Do I have a plan to improve my teams’ up-selling or cross-selling capabilities? Is there a plan to provide a better product or a noticeably improved customer experience? Are you implementing a strategy of clienteling that will see those customers visit your store more frequently and buy more from you when they do?

Any of the aforementioned efforts, provided there is a strategy to effectively implement and execute them, are worthwhile and should provide fuel for optimism in building your sales plan. If there are no specific steps to address those and other tangible areas of your business, then a forecast of increased business with your existing clients is baseless.

To acquire new customers, you must communicate a value proposition to people (or stores, if you are on the wholesale side of the business) that they have not previously heard about or cared about. One of the most obvious (I didn’t say easy) ways is to convert more people into customers. If you are converting three out of every 10 prospective customers (30 percent) and you increase that conversion to four of every 10, you will have grown your business by 33 percent. That’s a huge number, and yet I can count on one hand the number of times I have heard retailers develop a strategy to convert better.

Here’s a tip: start by installing a door counter. Creating a 33 percent increase in your business through marketing, product development, PR and social media would cost a small fortune and yet it is possible to do that by implementing a strong program of converting existing prospects into customers.

To drive more people into your store (hopefully not to have them fall through the cracks because of your lousy conversion ratio), you will need to examine all of your communication efforts. By definition, people that did not come into your store were not moved to do so by your previous marketing and communication efforts. There isn’t a year that goes by when we don’t have something to celebrate and yet those people that you are trying to inspire did not elect to frequent your store.

Again, get the team around a table and work the problem. What are you trying to say to whom? Why do you think that your message did not resonate last year?

Something has to move them, to inspire them to visit you when they had not previously done so. There might be an opportunity to better focus your message (telling less and doing it more often beats the daylights out of noise for its own sake). Perhaps what you are really saying is different than what you think you are saying ... “Hey, we’re all about bridal … did you see my Rolex billboard coming in?”

By the way, I should point out that planning an increase in business is not always the best plan. Sometimes the model is broken and the business needs to be rebuilt from the foundation up. In those situations, where the leader has the courage and conviction to do it, the business might be better served by forecasting flat or even declining sales while you retool. Adding more floors onto a fractured foundation is never a good idea.

David Brooks wrote about leaders in The Social Animal, saying “If there was one trait the best of them possessed, it was a talent for simplification. They had the ability to take a complex situation and capture the heart of the matter in simple terms.”

Again, there are two ways to grow the business: more from existing customers and/or more new customers. If you are going to build an increase into your numbers, you should be able to point to one or both of the above opportunities and explain how and why you believe you will get there.

In the meantime, be kind to my young friend if he comes calling. He’s one to watch for the future!

Peter Smith, author of Hiring Squirrels: 12 Essential Interview Questions to Uncover Great Retail Sales Talent, has spent more than 30 years building sales teams at retail and at wholesale. He currently is president of Vibhor Gems. Email him at peter@vibhorgems.com, dublinsmith@yahoo.com or reach him on LinkedIn.
Peter Smithis an industry consultant, speaker, and sales trainer, and author of 3 books on sales. Reach him at TheRetailSmiths@gmail.com.

The Latest

Audemars Piguet Grosse Pièce
AuctionsDec 18, 2025
Audemars Piguet Reclaims Historic Pocket Watch at Auction

It purchased the “Grosse Pièce,” an ultra-complicated Audemars Piguet pocket watch from the ‘20s, for a record-breaking price at Sotheby’s.

Terry and Cindy Chandler at AGS Conclave
EditorsDec 18, 2025
Terry Chandler Looks Back on 40 Years of Opportunity, Change, and Friends

Chandler got his start at Michelson Jewelers and has served as DCA president and CEO since 2001. He will retire at the end of the month.

JamAlert 1872x1052.png
Supplier BulletinDec 18, 2025
Cell Jammers Are Targeting Your Business. Here's How to Beat Them

Sponsored by Digital Monitoring Products

Recipients Collage 2025 - NJ (1872 x 1050 px) (1872 x 1052 px).png
Brought to you by
Impacting Tomorrow Today

How Jewelers of America’s 20 Under 40 are leading to ensure a brighter future for the jewelry industry.

Rendering of Bob’s Watches JFK airport store
WatchesDec 18, 2025
Bob’s Watches to Open Store in New York’s JFK Airport

The boutique is slated to open this week inside Terminal 8, offering pre-owned Rolex watches and more to international travelers.

Weekly QuizDec 18, 2025
This Week’s Quiz
Test your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
Take the Quiz
Diamond ring in parts
Lab-GrownDec 18, 2025
Kira Jewels Debuts Custom Lab-Grown Diamond Jewelry Service

The lab-grown diamond grower now offers custom engagement and fashion jewelry through its Kira Custom Lab Jewelry service.

Fabergé egg pendant near gloved hand
CrimeDec 17, 2025
Man Pleads Not Guilty to Swallowing Fabergé Pendant

The special-edition egg pendant ingested in a New Zealand jewelry store was recovered after a six-day wait.

roseco-catalog.png
Brought to you by
Roseco Releases New Full-Line Catalog

Roseco’s 704-page catalog showcases new lab-grown diamonds, findings, tools & more—available in print or interactive digital editions.

Ashley Zhang Jewelry Snake Necklace, Renato Cipullo Hematite Blaze Necklace, Vanessa Fernandez Studio Curva Wrap Hoops, Hernsdorf Tears of Aphrodite Necklace, Robinson Pelham Tsar Star Earrings, Marla Aaron Nymphenburg Lock, Lof The Valentine Ring
EditorsDec 17, 2025
2025 Jewelry Rewind: The Best Piece of the Week Picks

Associate Editor Natalie Francisco plays favorites with Piece of the Week, selecting a standout piece of jewelry from each month of 2025.

Lucy Hale in Jacquie Aiche’s Love and Desire Campaign
CollectionsDec 17, 2025
Lucy Hale Stars in Jacquie Aiche’s Holiday Campaign

The “Love and Desire” campaign is inspired by the magic that follows when one’s heart leads the way, said the brand.

SSEF logo
GradingDec 17, 2025
SSEF Announces 2025 Scholarship Winners

Two awardees will receive free tuition for an educational course at the Swiss lab, with flights and lodging included.

Pandora Alexander Lacik and Berta de Pablos-Barbier
MajorsDec 16, 2025
Pandora’s New CEO Will Step Up Early

Berta de Pablos-Barbier will replace Alexander Lacik at the start of January, two months earlier than expected.

JAR pendant brooch, fancy intense blue diamond
AuctionsDec 16, 2025
Suzanne Belperron, JAR Shine in Sotheby’s First Auctions at New HQ

Sotheby’s held its first two jewelry sales at the Breuer building last week, and they totaled nearly $44 million.

The Jewelry Symposium logo
Events & AwardsDec 16, 2025
TJS Now Accepting Scholarship Applications for 2026

Winners will receive free registration and lodging for its fourth annual event in Detroit.

National Jeweler columnists and PR professionals Duvall O’Steen and Jen Cullen Williams
ColumnistsDec 16, 2025
Beyond Unboxing: Creative Reveals to Drive Reach and Engagement

Here are six ideas for making more engaging content for Instagram Reels and TikTok, courtesy of Duvall O’Steen and Jen Cullen Williams.

Tiffany & Co. logo, Anna Martin, CD Peacock logo
Events & AwardsDec 16, 2025
Diamonds Do Good Names 2026 Award Recipients

The honorees include a notable jewelry brand, an industry veteran, and an independent retailer.

Stock image of gavel
CrimeDec 15, 2025
Men Receive Life Sentences in Home Invasion Murder of Jeweler

Carlos Jose Hernandez and Joshua Zuazo were sentenced to life without the possibility of parole in the 2024 murder of Hussein “Sam” Murray.

Eduard Stefanescu, left, and Sara Yood, right
Policies & IssuesDec 15, 2025
Sara Yood Named Co-Chair of RJC Standards Committee

Yood will serve alongside Eduard Stefanescu, the sustainability manager for C.Hafner, a precious metals refiner in Germany.

Tiffany & Co. Paraíba tourmaline jewelry
AuctionsDec 12, 2025
13.54-Carat Paraíba Tourmaline Sets Records at Christie’s

Set in a Tiffany & Co. necklace, it sold for $4.2 million, the highest price and price per carat paid for a Paraíba tourmaline at auction.

David Webb holiday window
MajorsDec 12, 2025
David Webb Reveals Ice-Cold Holiday Window Display

The jeweler’s “Deep Freeze” display showcases its iconic jewelry designs frozen in a vintage icebox.

Oscar Heyman Yellow Green Sphene and Diamond Ring
CollectionsDec 12, 2025
Piece of the Week: Oscar Heyman’s Sphene Ring

Take luxury gifting to new heights this holiday season with the jeweler’s showstopping 12-carat sphene ring.

IGI Design Contest Graphic
Events & AwardsDec 12, 2025
IGI Jewelry Design Contest Now Accepting Submissions

This year's theme is “Unveiling the Depths of the Ocean.”

Jacquie Aiche Alien Heart Eye Inlay Necklace, Cicada Dragonfly Brooch, Harkness After the Rain Earrings
TrendsDec 11, 2025
Pinterest 2026 Trend Report: Brooches, Bold Gold, Cool Blue

In its annual report, Pinterest noted an increase in searches for brooches, heirloom jewelry, and ‘80s luxury.

GIA new colored stone report
GradingDec 11, 2025
GIA to Offer Origin Determination for 3 More Gemstones

Starting Jan. 1, customers can request the service for opal, peridot, and demantoid garnet.

Americas Gold Chain Catalog Volume 3
MajorsDec 11, 2025
Americas Gold Releases New Gold Chain Catalog

The new catalog features its most popular chains as well as new styles.

F.P. Journe FFC prototype
AuctionsDec 10, 2025
Francis Ford Coppola’s Watch Sells for $10.8M

The filmmaker’s personal F.P. Journe “FFC” prototype was the star of Phillips’ recent record-setting watch auction in New York.

Rolex Miami store
WatchesDec 10, 2025
There’s A New Rolex Boutique in Miami

The new location in the Design District pays homage to Miami’s Art Deco heritage and its connection to the ocean.

×

This site uses cookies to give you the best online experience. By continuing to use & browse this site, we assume you agree to our Privacy Policy