Editors

3 Retail Predictions for 2017

EditorsJan 11, 2017

3 Retail Predictions for 2017

There’ll be continued consolidation and a desire to experience and access, but not necessarily own, things.

20170111_predictions-blog.jpg
Continued retail consolidation, consumers’ desire for experiences and the acceleration of the “access” economy are three predictions National Jeweler’s editor-in-chief is making for 2017.

Hello, and Happy New Year. I hope that 2017 is treating you well so far.

Before 2016 ended, I rounded up the six stories I thought had the biggest impact on the jewelry market last year. Now, I offer three predictions for the year ahead.

If you have thoughts or predictions of your own, please email me or leave them in the comments below.

1. Retailers, including big chains, will continue to close. My brother worked at Sears selling ceiling fans when we were teenagers back in the 1990s. The store wasn’t very busy then, and it’s even less so now.

Sears is, or was, the place for Craftsman tools and … well, that’s actually a hard to blank to fill in because I really don’t know what exactly people would go to Sears for that they couldn’t get at Best Buy or Macy’s or Home Depot or Amazon. And that’s one of the biggest reasons this year could mark the sad end for an American institution that started as a mail-order catalog business in 1886: After losing ground for years, it never established a modern identity.

Sears won’t be the only retailer shutting down or, at the very least, consolidating in 2017, continuing a pattern that accelerated in 2016.

It’s only Jan. 10, and we’ve already seen women’s clothing retailer The Limited announce that it’s shutting down its stores and going online, and it seems likely American Apparel also will close all its stores.

In the jewelry sector, a total of 895 jewelry stores in the U.S. and Canada had shuttered by the end of the third quarter.

While there has been some discussion on Facebook lately pointing out that some of those are jewelers who switched to by-appointment or custom only, the closures still vastly outnumber the amount of new businesses opening.

In Q3, the 895 closures represented a 46 percent year-over-year increase. The number of retailers that opened in the U.S. and Canada in that same time period totaled 51, down from 62 the previous year.

In an interview last year, I asked JBT President and CEO Anthony Capuano if he sees the trend of store closures reversing itself anytime soon. He said no, adding later in the conversation that, “Retailers are really fighting for those dollars because they are fighting a whole pattern of purchasing,” meaning increased competition brought on by the internet and consumers’ changing tastes and desires (more on that below).

“You

just have to be really good to survive and prosper.”

2. The experiences will continue to be important. I’ve seen two commercials (likely caught between quarters of the Steelers’ dominating late-season run) recently that speak directly to consumers desire to do stuff instead of having stuff.

The first was for a retirement fund and the second was from Groupon, which is encouraging people to “own the experience.”

{youtube}JZkFmYrdn-A{/youtube}
In the spot, Groupon draws a line between the “haves,” people who spend their money on cars or lavish and extremely elevated bathtubs, and the “have dones,” those who spend their money on experiences, such as aerial yoga and dinners (presumably using Groupon).

Groupon launched the multi-million national advertising campaign back in May and the company’s head of marketing for North America told the Chicago Tribune that the idea behind the campaign is to expand the company’s customer base, attracting millennials, who are known to value experience over “things,” in particular.

If a consumer decides to spend money on an African safari instead of a diamond ring, I am afraid there’s not much a jeweler can do.

What they can do, however, is provide a great retail experience to the customers who are choosing jewelry over experiences.

National Jeweler columnist Peter Smith detailed three stores that are doing just that in his latest column.

3. We will see the acceleration of the “access economy.” One of my new year’s resolutions this year is to try out new things, and also to work less and enjoy life more.

Regarding the former, I am doing well thus far. I ate at a new restaurant last night and ordered from Rent the Runway for the first time.

For those of you who are not familiar, Rent the Runway is an e-commerce company (with a budding brick-and-mortar presence) that specializes in renting out dresses, jewelry and other accessories for special occasions.

Rent the Runway is part of what was once known as the sharing economy but now is called the “access economy.”

The access economy refers to goods and services being traded on the basis of access rather than ownership, a trend that has been fueled by technology. Two good examples are, as mentioned above, Rent the Runway, which gives its customers access to formal wear without having to pay full price for it, and Zipcar, which allows people to be able to use cars without having to pay to buy and maintain them.

The access economy has also consumed the music industry, as people pick streaming over buying albums in record numbers, no pun intended.

Companies like Rent the Runway and others that are part of the access economy seem poised to pick up steam in 2017.

RTR recently got $60 million from investors and will use some of that money to open stores, while Uber, Airbnb and Spotify are among the tech companies rumored to be going public in the coming year.

In some respects, fine jewelry falls outside the sphere of the access economy. No one, for example, wants to rent their engagement ring and send it back the day after their wedding.

But I think there definitely is a market for a website that rents out high-end pieces for special occasions.

Back in September, we wrote about Adorn, a website that does just this and is currently looking for a buyer.

So, if you made the same New Year’s resolution as I did this year--to try new things--maybe this is your chance.
Michelle Graffis the editor-in-chief at National Jeweler, directing the publication’s coverage both online and in print.

The Latest

Cartier Exhibition Installation at Victoria & Albert Museum
Events & AwardsApr 21, 2025
An Exhibition Exploring the History of Cartier Is Now on Display

“Cartier: Design, Craft, and Legacy” opened earlier this month at the Victoria and Albert Museum in London.

Bill and Birdie Levine of Van Cott Jewelers
IndependentsApr 21, 2025
New York Jeweler to Close After 111 Years

Van Cott Jewelers in Vestal, New York, is hosting a going-out-of-business sale.

IJO Director Samantha Larson
IndependentsApr 21, 2025
IJO Names New Director of Vendor Relations, Merchandise Strategy

Industry veteran Samantha Larson has held leadership roles at Borsheims, McTeigue & McClelland, Stuller, and Long’s Jewelers.

gia1d100 btyb.jpg
Brought to you by
Protect Your Customers and Your Business

The risk of laboratory-grown diamonds being falsely presented as natural diamonds presents a very significant danger to consumer trust.

Events & AwardsApr 21, 2025
Jewelers of Louisiana, Mississippi Jewelers Association to Co-Host Convention

The two organizations will hold the educational event together this fall in Mississippi.

Weekly QuizApr 18, 2025
This Week’s Quiz
Test your jewelry news knowledge by answering these questions.
Take the Quiz
Daymond John
Events & AwardsApr 18, 2025
Daymond John to Give Keynote at JCK Las Vegas

The entrepreneur and “Shark Tank” star will share his top tips for success.

Dukachi Easter Bread Pendant
CollectionsApr 18, 2025
Piece of the Week: Dukachi’s ‘Easter Bread’ Pendant

The Ukrainian brand’s new pendant is modeled after a traditional paska, a pastry often baked for Easter in Eastern European cultures.

gia-topimage 0325.jpg
Brought to you by
A Brilliant Future Is Here

Get online education from GIA experts.

Bremer Jewelry
IndependentsApr 18, 2025
Bremer Jewelry to Reveal Renovated Store

The jeweler has announced a grand reopening for its recently remodeled location in Peoria, Illinois.

Tiffany & Co. Strong Like Mom campaign
MajorsApr 18, 2025
Tiffany & Co. Employees Star in Mother’s Day Campaign

The “Strong Like Mom” campaign features moms who work at Tiffany & Co. and their children.

Athena Calderone x John Hardy Collection
CollectionsApr 17, 2025
John Hardy, Athena Calderone Partner on Art Deco Decor-Inspired Collection

Interior designer Athena Calderone looked to decor from the 1920s and 1930s when crafting her first fine jewelry collection.

Movado Connect 2.0 watches
FinancialsApr 17, 2025
Movado Group to Increase Prices to Offset Tariffs Impact

During a call about its full-year results, CEO Efraim Grinberg discussed how the company is approaching the uncertainty surrounding tariffs.

Natural Diamond Council Diamond Learning Center Graphic
Lab-GrownApr 17, 2025
NDC Launches Its Diamond Learning Center

The free program provides educational content for jewelry salespeople and enthusiasts to learn or refresh their diamond knowledge.

Jewelers of America logo
Policies & IssuesApr 17, 2025
Jewelers of America Requests Tariffs Testimonials from Members

The feedback will be used to prepare other jewelers for the challenges ahead, the organization said.

Technology Therapy Group logo
TechnologyApr 17, 2025
Technology Therapy Group Expands AI Training for Jewelry Retailers

The online sessions are designed to teach jewelers to use AI tools like ChatGPT and Claude to grow their business.

Catbird Chicago
IndependentsApr 16, 2025
Catbird Expands to Chicago

The opening marks the jewelry retailer’s first location in the Midwest.

Foundrae United in Love Campaign
CollectionsApr 16, 2025
Foundrae’s First Commitment Jewelry Collection Unites Through Love

The “United in Love” collection offers tangible mementos of hearts entwined with traditional and non-traditional commitment heirlooms.

Robert and Rose-Marie Goodman outside Robert Goodman Jewelers
IndependentsApr 16, 2025
Indiana Jeweler to Host Black Jewelry Designer Pop-Up

Robert Goodman Jewelers will hold a “Black Jewelry Designers and Makers” event on April 27.

Womens Jewelry Association WJA logo
MajorsApr 16, 2025
WJA Announces Board Members, New Chicago Chapter President

The announcements follow a tumultuous start to 2025 for WJA, which saw a wave of resignations following controversial statements about DEI.

The Golconda Blue
AuctionsApr 15, 2025
23-Carat ‘Golconda Blue’ Heads to Auction

The historic fancy vivid blue diamond set to headline Christie’s Geneva sale next month could sell for up to $50 million.

Bulgari Eden the Garden of Wonders ad
FinancialsApr 15, 2025
LVMH’s Q1 Sales Slip 2 Percent

LVMH CFO Cécile Cabanis also discussed the effects of tariffs so far.

Screenshot from new Jon Hamm series on Apple TV+, Your Friends and Neighbors
CrimeApr 15, 2025
Jon Hamm Plays a Jewel Thief on Apple TV+

The “Mad Men” and “The Morning Show” star steals jewelry, art, and handbags from his wealthy neighbors in “Your Friends & Neighbors.”

Kalpesh Jhaveri
SourcingApr 15, 2025
Diamond Club West Coast Names 2025 Board

The organization has reelected Kalpesh Jhaveri as president.

Two Movado Connect 2.0 watches
FinancialsApr 14, 2025
Movado to Restate Years of Financials Due to ‘Misconduct’ in Dubai

An investigation found that the former managing director of Movado’s Dubai branch overstated and prematurely recorded sales.

Sauer Balance Earrings in Ma Campaign
CollectionsApr 14, 2025
Sauer Embraces Emptiness Through ‘Ma’ Collection

The collection pays tribute to the Japanese philosophy of Ma, studying balance, stillness, and the interplay between presence and absence.

Mari Lous Fine Jewelry
IndependentsApr 14, 2025
Illinois Jeweler Closing After 45 Years

Mari Lou’s Fine Jewelry in Orland Park, a suburb of Chicago, is closing its doors.

GIA logo
GradingApr 14, 2025
GIA Expands Overseas Services as Tariffs Kick In

GIA’s labs in Dubai and Hong Kong are now accepting larger diamonds in light of the “logistical challenges” presented by the new tariffs.

×

This site uses cookies to give you the best online experience. By continuing to use & browse this site, we assume you agree to our Privacy Policy